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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
11 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Milder and drizzly this morning, with no evidence of last night’s snowfall.

Same here, after the Man U game I did think about staying up, but when looking at the radar and Dp’s etc,  I knew it wouldn’t come to much

Glad I did now as I’m fresh for work.....

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)
On 03/12/2021 at 07:34, Dancerwithwings said:

Same here, after the Man U game I did think about staying up, but when looking at the radar and Dp’s etc,  I knew it wouldn’t come to much

Glad I did now as I’m fresh for work.....

It was a nice wintry scene to go to bed to. I woke up an hour later and it was pouring with rain, so looks like I timed it right.

Onto the next chase. Some of the weekend’s showers may be wintry but I’d expect little or no accumulation away from the highest ground. Still nice and seasonal, though. Much preferable to mild winter weather which I find vile.

Edited by MattStoke
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Benny123 Enthusiast

Benny123

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
Posted
1 hour ago, MattStoke said:

Milder and drizzly this morning, with no evidence of last night’s snowfall.

It was all but a dream..

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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted

Thick fog here this morning.

So technically, the snow is still there.

It’s just a few feet above the ground rather than on it!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted

Love the ICON low resolution charts for a bit of weather porn. An absolute deluge of snow next Tuesday. It's nice to dream!

iconeu_uk1_45_120_0skp2.png

iconeu_uk1_1_111_0vmn4.png

iconeu_uk1_1_117_0mhx4.png

iconeu_uk1_1_120_0iaz1.png

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shunthebartlett92 Enthusiast

shunthebartlett92

Posted
  • Location: Stourbridge, 100m asl
  • Location: Stourbridge, 100m asl
Posted
42 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Love the ICON low resolution charts for a bit of weather porn. An absolute deluge of snow next Tuesday. It's nice to dream!

iconeu_uk1_45_120_0skp2.png

iconeu_uk1_1_111_0vmn4.png

iconeu_uk1_1_117_0mhx4.png

iconeu_uk1_1_120_0iaz1.png

Good lord, stop this teasing at once! 

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shunthebartlett92 Enthusiast

shunthebartlett92

Posted
  • Location: Stourbridge, 100m asl
  • Location: Stourbridge, 100m asl
Posted
11 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

More realistically, Monday might bring another spell of transient snow for some, but in the day time. 

Far from boring eh, even if we're in a predominantly positive NAO state. Give me potential knife edge snow events over a dominant azores high and 12C!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
On 03/12/2021 at 10:52, shunthebartlett92 said:

Far from boring eh, even if we're in a predominantly positive NAO state. Give me potential knife edge snow events over a dominant azores high and 12C!

Very similar to last winter, which brought about a dozen snowfalls here and over 30 days of snow cover. It's just started earlier this time!

Ironically, more significant cold brings less snow here.

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted

It's a shame the airmass this weekend won't be just a little bit colder as there'll be a lot of showers piling in from the North West. I suppose some wintriness is possible to lower levels in any heavy or prolonged showers but I'd expect little if any snow away from the highest ground.

euro4_uk1_1_35_0kkz3.png

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Benny123 Enthusiast

Benny123

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
Posted
3 hours ago, MattStoke said:

It's a shame the airmass this weekend won't be just a little bit colder as there'll be a lot of showers piling in from the North West. I suppose some wintriness is possible to lower levels in any heavy or prolonged showers but I'd expect little if any snow away from the highest ground.

euro4_uk1_1_35_0kkz3.png

Is that a bit of a streamer event developing? Like you say, too bad 850s won't be cold enough

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Benny123 Enthusiast

Benny123

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
Posted

@MattStoke The 12z is an improvement for Mondays transient snow event! Would be nice to see that cold pool over Scandinavia just edge a little closer! 

Screenshot 2021-12-03 at 16.26.31.png

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
On 03/12/2021 at 16:21, Benny123 said:

Is that a bit of a streamer event developing? Like you say, too bad 850s won't be cold enough

Some of the models do bring a slightly greater chance of sleet and snow pushing in from the east during Sunday.

I'm seeing a few potential (mostly transient) snow risks next week as frontal systems move from west to east across the UK in fairly cold air, and wintry showers in between. This very messy setup is the sort that always seems to deliver snow to my location. It brought a lot of snowfalls last winter.

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Benny123 Enthusiast

Benny123

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Under Lyme
Posted
4 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Some of the models do bring a slightly greater chance of sleet and snow pushing in from the east during Sunday.

I'm seeing a few potential (mostly transient) snow risks next week as frontal systems move from west to east across the UK in fairly cold air, and wintry showers in between. This very messy setup is the sort that always seems to deliver snow to my location. It brought a lot of snowfalls last winter.

Yeah, last winter was great for us! We had a fair few snow days. I think 28th Dec was my favourite. Snowed really heavily all morning, ended up with about 14-15cm of snow that day and it stuck around for a bit too. 

IMG_5630.jpg

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RobR Community Regular

RobR

Posted
  • Location: Nantwich, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms, Extreme Weather
  • Location: Nantwich, Cheshire
Posted

This is the best setup as mentioned for the Midlands and did deliver last year with nearly 30 days of falling snow somewhere in Solihull (where I was last winter).

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

 ECM for Next Friday

I know it’s just for fun, but how many times in December we see any potential, not often

The end of November was Coolio but could December be

Just having a ramping moment

image.thumb.jpeg.5d9bf088f7de937c7b26dd669d16cdc7.jpeg

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BarometerCat Aficionado

BarometerCat

Posted
  • Location: Hinckley, Leicestershire 123m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow (Mostly)
  • Location: Hinckley, Leicestershire 123m ASL
Posted
On 03/12/2021 at 18:50, Dancerwithwings said:

 ECM for Next Friday

I know it’s just for fun, but how many times in December we see any potential, not often

The end of November was Coolio but could December be

Just having a ramping moment

image.thumb.jpeg.5d9bf088f7de937c7b26dd669d16cdc7.jpeg

This is not a bad start to December, yes we have seen better but recent years have been a let down. Hope it continues! 

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted

Similar to the GFS 12z, the latest ICON ‘squeezes out’ the higher upper air temperatures on Monday, and subsequently increases the snow risk.

iconeu_uk1_42_64_0kyr0.png

iconeu_uk1_46_66_0bpv2.png

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Similar to the GFS 12z, the latest ICON ‘squeezes out’ the higher upper air temperatures on Monday, and subsequently increases the snow risk.

iconeu_uk1_42_64_0kyr0.png

iconeu_uk1_46_66_0bpv2.png

Tricky one, cannot see it at low levels, air not really cold Sunday/Sunday night

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
18 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Similar to the GFS 12z, the latest ICON ‘squeezes out’ the higher upper air temperatures on Monday, and subsequently increases the snow risk.

iconeu_uk1_42_64_0kyr0.png

iconeu_uk1_46_66_0bpv2.png

Another close call, but the way things have gone lately my glass is more than full Matt

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
12 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

GFS 18z increases the snow amounts for the north of the region. Depends on how quickly the fronts occlude.

Yes that the best atm, tomorrow’s another day, more Modelling watching tomz

image.thumb.gif.170d21f8e9935325217d18b48b63f670.gif

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Wingman Blue Enthusiast

Wingman Blue

Posted
  • Location: Eight miles north of Dartmoor 155m ASL
  • Location: Eight miles north of Dartmoor 155m ASL
Posted

Good morning all! Sun-up and it’s +1.3. I guess this is the ‘mild’ spell we were promised!

Leaving aside that the models are all over the shop at present, I’m finding that there’s a growing disconnection between predicted weather and what actually occurs. For whatever reason, the earth feels colder than recent winter starts and falling snow is settling quicker and staying longer.

Could be an interesting next few months!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)

Maybe a localised dusting in the north/ east of the region from this little feature late tonight/early tomorrow. It’s shown up on a few model runs.

iconeu_uk1_1_22_0hfe0.png

Edited by MattStoke
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