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Storms and Convective discussion - 25th July 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    On 27/07/2021 at 22:07, Azuremoon2 said:

    Is that it for today then, any overnight storms likely? 

    The NW of England could see activity through the night and into tomorrow morning looking at the UKV solely.

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
    14 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

    Looking interesting for Lincolnshire  👀

    Upon morning assessment, I may chase into Lincs tomorrow. Looks to be  very decent Deep Layer Shear overlapping sufficient CAPE. Although West Norfolk also looks decent. Storms tomorrow could be longer lasting than today from my take on it, with also more potential to become severe. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
    16 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    Upon morning assessment, I may chase into Lincs tomorrow. Looks to be  very decent Deep Layer Shear overlapping sufficient CAPE. Although West Norfolk also looks decent. Storms tomorrow could be longer lasting than today from my take on it, with also more potential to become severe. 

    There was a good little storm in Lincoln 7am this morning, pretty long rumbles of thunder, if we don't get a direct hit tomorrow I'm sure there will be plenty of impressive clouds around

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    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes
  • Location: Milton Keynes

    Some pics of the storm that hit Milton Keynes at around 4pm today. Surprisingly didn't notice any thunder or lightning from this one but it sure was looking quite mean as it got closer and closer with what looked like a wall cloud as part of it a few miles off to the south too (2nd image). 

    1037803573_P2060475(2).thumb.JPG.9b5c5a2d8c9e381bdc56cbcd42e97a2d.JPG1468781403_P2060497(2).thumb.JPG.9241e46b9bc133ce857393e0ab07a069.JPGP2060506.thumb.JPG.a6078e488ba58f3952a01ef40ab81d44.JPG

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    Meto's take on tomorrow,...pick the bones out of this lot...

     

     

    sorry,could not load the images,give me a sec.

    Edited by Allseasons-si
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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    On 27/07/2021 at 22:47, Allseasons-si said:

    Meto's take on tomorrow,...pick the bones out of this lot...

    PPN 1.bmp 259.09 kB · 1 download

    PPN 2.bmp 253.65 kB · 1 download

    Looks to be more CAPE around tomorrow in a swathe from N England down across the Midlands and across to Wales.

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
    6 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    Meto's take on tomorrow,...pick the bones out of this lot...

     

     

    sorry,could not load the images,give me a sec.

    That's 6 minutes and...47 sec

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    On 27/07/2021 at 22:54, matty40s said:

    That's 6 minutes and...47 sec

    Lol

    😄

    i failed,going to bed now,good luck tomorrow,for the UK and,...here👍

    look for yourselves,there could be a storm anywhere in the UK.

    MO_Master_W.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Met Office 5 day weather forecast map for UK including weather warnings, temperature, rain, wind speed, cloud, and pressure.

     

    Edited by Allseasons-si
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    Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
    2 hours ago, Pursuer of Storms said:

    Some pics of the storm that hit Milton Keynes at around 4pm today. Surprisingly didn't notice any thunder or lightning from this one but it sure was looking quite mean as it got closer and closer with what looked like a wall cloud as part of it a few miles off to the south too (2nd image). 

    1037803573_P2060475(2).thumb.JPG.9b5c5a2d8c9e381bdc56cbcd42e97a2d.JPG1468781403_P2060497(2).thumb.JPG.9241e46b9bc133ce857393e0ab07a069.JPGP2060506.thumb.JPG.a6078e488ba58f3952a01ef40ab81d44.JPG

    Saw a similar thing on Sunday - no lightning, significant rain or wind but definately something trying to develop

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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    Posted (edited)

    My area is under a SVR and MDT risk today. I will be chasing but hopefully won't have to go far. I probably won't even need to leave the house 🙂. However my plan is to get alongside the A38 or M1 for an easy route north.

    Estofex kind of at odds with other forecasts. They have the overlap of shear and CAPE much further south.

    2021072906_202107280726_2_stormforecast_xml.thumb.png.e12a4ba011386d28486570b739c5120b.png

    Edited by Supacell
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    Posted
  • Location: Beckenham, Kent, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, strong winds
  • Location: Beckenham, Kent, UK

    Wow estofex’s description 👀 

    80D8C541-0D7B-4070-9FAE-0BF76A62A341.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Anything interesting - mostly storms or snow
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, UK

    Under the SVR here, but does not seem or feel thundery this morning in the slightest

    107718238_20210728_090002(Large).thumb.jpg.a63dacdc76e92903155a64c3d78ebc7d.jpgimage.thumb.png.480b5ac5bf7c50ecd18e7bf882eef311.png

    Edited by Gonzolio Martinez
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    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Anything interesting - mostly storms or snow
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, UK
    10 minutes ago, oliverek7 said:

    Wow estofex’s description 👀 

    80D8C541-0D7B-4070-9FAE-0BF76A62A341.jpeg

    Is up to 1000j/kg considered marginal?

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
    35 minutes ago, Supacell said:

    My area is under a SVR and MDT risk today. I will be chasing but hopefully won't have to go far. I probably won't even need to leave the house 🙂. However my plan is to get alongside the A38 or M1 for an easy route north.

    Estofex kind of at odds with other forecasts. They have the overlap of shear and CAPE much further south.

    2021072906_202107280726_2_stormforecast_xml.thumb.png.e12a4ba011386d28486570b739c5120b.png

    Such a tough one for me! My head is doing cartwheels here! Last thing I want to do is miss a humdinger on my patio and have a hard time chasing, as these will be fairly pacey storms today, other than previous days! The stuff in S Wales looks to be heading straight for me at the moment. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
    On 28/07/2021 at 08:59, oliverek7 said:

    Wow estofex’s description 👀 

    80D8C541-0D7B-4070-9FAE-0BF76A62A341.jpeg

    That jetstreak is certainly helping. 15z GFS sounding from within Norfolk goes a bit potty

     image.thumb.png.2384e1dffd8ddec42662ffd97c3433fe.pngimage.thumb.png.b81a1b022bde2aa2f3e8aa0206760a76.png

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m

    Earliest I can get out of work is 3pm, car will need some fuel then I'll be off, will it be too late, who knows?! 

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
    17 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

    Earliest I can get out of work is 3pm, car will need some fuel then I'll be off, will it be too late, who knows?! 

    May still have time, as I would expect activity to still be going on until 20:00, possibly later, albeit the most active/electrical stuff will be transferring east as the hours go on. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Staffordshire

    Good amount of shear today, could be some interest! 

    gfs_icape_eur15.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Looking interesting today. Worried about the flow direction but hopefully should just about be alright for me. I love it when things are fast moving, hate being stuck under a decaying cell for ages.

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    From my bedroom window at only 10:15! Can physically see the tops being tilted towards the East above. Very decent shear up there by the looks of it already. 

    6ECC6D28-23BB-47A5-8FF4-132568BB4526.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    59 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    Such a tough one for me! My head is doing cartwheels here! Last thing I want to do is miss a humdinger on my patio and have a hard time chasing, as these will be fairly pacey storms today, other than previous days! The stuff in S Wales looks to be heading straight for me at the moment. 

    I have the same dilemma quite often. The only thing that helps me is that Belper almost always misses the storms 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: North Hampshire/Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Fog, Frost, Storms and Rain if it rains like it means it.
  • Location: North Hampshire/Surrey

    Gorgeous cloudscapes here on the South Coast this morning 😍. Met Office has a few thunder symbols for us but we're not in the warning area so ...🤞

    20210728_102117.jpg

    20210728_101811.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    @East_England_Stormchaser91 I would be careful about going too far away from home today. I am no expert but PJB over on another site 😉 indicates an area around The Wash into Norfolk later, and he is quite a viable forecaster from my experience.

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