Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards

[Kasim Awan]

If this isn't a bust I don't know what a bust is.

[LightningLover]

Just now, Electricmumma said:

Okay mini me says galley hill so galley hill it is

It’s great up here!

[alexisj9]

57 minutes ago, Electricmumma said:

Don’t know if I’m ready to head out yet or the beach yet, guessing beach head would spoil my view 

Not sure, I can even see the odd flash to my sw here in Dover, I'm sure you'll see something, just not sure how much.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

Just now, LightningLover said:

It’s great up here!

Send us a selfie you 2!! LOL. Preferably with a strike in the background

[Jamie M]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

If this isn't a bust I don't know what a bust is.

Not even 12 am yet mate. 

[Electricmumma]

1 minute ago, LightningLover said:

It’s great up here!

 

1 minute ago, LightningLover said:

It’s great up here!

It’ll be a first for us. So when you see two small wet things that’s us

[tomp456]

Someone please tell me if it’s worth going to the beach right now or if I should wait a bit longer 

[Ben Sainsbury]

3 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

If this isn't a bust I don't know what a bust is.

[thunderhead 2005]

Still cant see any flashes but that cell behind the main band sound of the IOW has intesified.

[Kasim Awan]

4 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

Not even 12 am yet mate. 

According to what I can see on the lightning strikes the electrical energy has dissipated dramatically. Mostly just a large rain mass with a few rogue cells which will produce some CG. Can't see much significant developing now given the loss of electrification.

Edited July 23, 2021 by Kasim Awan

[*Stormforce~beka*]

Just now, thunderhead 2005 said:

Still cant see any flashes but that cell behind the main band sound of the IOW has intesified.

Me either!!

[mike5900]

big flash of lightning.

[Jamie M]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

According to what I can see on the lightning strikes the electrical energy has dissipated dramatically. Mostly just a large rain mass with a few rogue cells which will produce some CG. Can't see much developing now given the loss of electrification.

Haven't looked far behind then.

[Turquoise]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

According to what I can see on the lightning strikes the electrical energy has dissipated dramatically. Mostly just a large rain mass with a few rogue cells which will produce some CG. Can't see much significant developing now given the loss of electrification.

that was always gunna be the case, lightning out at sea, makes landfall and lightning activity dramatically slows down and then it just turns into convective rain........

people always get excited on here for no reason lol

[Met4Cast]

Hard to tell whether half the people on this forum are just miserable gits or wind up murchants. 

All going to forecast so far - First rain band destabilised along the leading edge of the plume and has died out somewhat in terms of lightning, second round should have a lot more oomph to it.

Early hours of the morning, as has been the case since the beginning.

[Kasim Awan]

1 minute ago, Jamie M said:

Haven't looked far behind then.

I guess sporadic electrification is possible inland in the early hours as the high theta-w / cape moves inland. Other than that, look to the M4 corridor tomorrow afternoon for some slow moving multi cell activity.

[Electricmumma]

@LightningLoveryou didn’t tell me it was windy out here though from the few flashes we’ve caught just walking down I think it’s worth it lol

[Dorset_Weather]

4 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

that was always gunna be the case, lightning out at sea, makes landfall and lightning activity dramatically slows down and then it just turns into convective rain........

people always get excited on here for no reason lol

Bit more than the odd CG down here on the coast, the detectors aren't picking up a quarter of what I'm seeing....

Edited July 23, 2021 by Dorset_Weather

[Kasim Awan]

3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Hard to tell whether half the people on this forum are just miserable gits or wind up murchants. 

All going to forecast so far - First rain band destabilised along the leading edge of the plume and has died out somewhat in terms of lightning, second round should have a lot more oomph to it.

Early hours of the morning, as has been the case since the beginning.

No, just a weather enthusiast sharing his opinions on the situation. Lightning has yet to strike land. 

[LightningLover]

2 minutes ago, Electricmumma said:

@LightningLoveryou didn’t tell me it was windy out here though from the few flashes we’ve caught just walking down I think it’s worth it lol

Haha, par for the course I’m afraid!

Edited July 23, 2021 by LightningLover

[Stabilo19]

Looks like there are plenty of intense storms over the Channel but lightning detectors are showing relatively little activity..

So the storms are elevated and should arrive to produce a nice light show 

[Ben Sainsbury]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

No, just a weather enthusiast sharing his opinions on the situation. Lightning has yet to strike land. 

Which has always been what's forecast?

[Kasim Awan]

5 minutes ago, Azuremoon2 said:

that was always gunna be the case, lightning out at sea, makes landfall and lightning activity dramatically slows down and then it just turns into convective rain........

people always get excited on here for no reason lol

Yeah, it's not a classic for sure . Sporadic lightning early hours south of M4 is a good bet imo.

[Electricmumma]

1 minute ago, LightningLover said:

Haha, par for the course I’m afraid!

Sorry seems we are bringing the rain up with us

[Kasim Awan]

1 minute ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Which has always been what's forecast?

I know that the system is a slow mover so chances persist well into the early hours. Just saying that this system so far is on the weaker side of projections. Statistically speaking this happens roughly just under half of the time (correct me if I'm wrong).