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Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14
    12 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

    Just seen a massive CG 

    They aren't very often but we definitely have visible lightning off the south coast

    Yes also seen looking toward Purbeck and Weymouth

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

    Things just starting to turn up seems to have built there.

    16270698253708278695036249127762.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate

    Estofex has updated its forecast to move the Level 1 in the UK to a more distinct zone, with the threat being heavy rain mostly, before storms.

    The northern France coast webcams are showing some good lightning in the Channel - especially west of Le Havre.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
    3 minutes ago, beckyonsea said:

    I'm in Burnham On Sea and it has significantly darkened. 

    My first post here and I'm very much enjoying the info and the banter. 🙂

    Welcome!

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: storms lightning thunder
  • Location: Southampton
    1 minute ago, StormLoser said:

    Estofex has updated its forecast to move the Level 1 in the UK to a more distinct zone, with the threat being heavy rain mostly, before storms.

    The northern France coast webcams are showing some good lightning in the Channel - especially west of Le Havre.  

    looks even better than the one from last night 

    image.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset

    image.thumb.png.8d0913ebf1c765297b13c49122cb35fc.png

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Looking at the animated lightning maps, it seems to be hitting a brick wall and not getting much closer.

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
    2 hours ago, Liam Burge said:

    Hey @Eagle Eye, sorry to bother but what do you think my storm chances are now? 🙂

    Around 35% still

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Probably some of the best plume engagement we've seen so far this summer. 

    1330667341_Screenshot2021-07-23at20_57_07.thumb.png.c4918ed38c6fa6931759902fd201cfdf.png346934066_Screenshot2021-07-23at20_57_16.thumb.png.b9aecb9a4b0aa12e5b40cb6760b21320.png

    Elevated convection holding together nicely along the frontal boundary as it drifts northwards, seemed initially a few hours ahead of schedule but the 10pm-2am window looks about right now as the system has slowed slightly, but is importantly continuing to develop.

    Dorset eastwards to about Brighton along the coast in the best position, IOW/Southampton area probably seeing a direct hit. 

    Starting to see that easterly back building Dan was speaking about yesterday too.

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    Posted
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
    18 minutes ago, viking_smb said:

    @Ben Sainsbury what are the reasons mate? please

    Models don’t have any intense activity moving much further north than the south coast. I personally think anywhere west of Bournemouth is out of the action unless you’re directly on the coast in S Devon and you should see lightning offshore tonight.

    Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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    Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
    39 minutes ago, Liam Burge said:

    Person just above that post said they heard some rumbles.

    I’m in Exeter and the sky turned threatening and now it’s raining very heavily! 
     

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    5 minutes ago, Sam jackson88 said:

    looks even better than the one from last night 

    image.png

    Not to me it doesn't lol, well at least I'm still in the lightning zone.

    Edited by alexisj9
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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    Thought I'd missed it having watched Black Widow at the cinema, glad I haven't yet. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: storms lightning thunder
  • Location: Southampton
    1 minute ago, Met4Cast said:

    Probably some of the best plume engagement we've seen so far this summer. 

    1330667341_Screenshot2021-07-23at20_57_07.thumb.png.c4918ed38c6fa6931759902fd201cfdf.png346934066_Screenshot2021-07-23at20_57_16.thumb.png.b9aecb9a4b0aa12e5b40cb6760b21320.png

    Elevated convection holding together nicely along the frontal boundary as it drifts northwards, seemed initially a few hours ahead of schedule but the 10pm-2am window looks about right now as the system has slowed slightly, but is importantly continuing to develop.

    Dorset eastwards to about Brighton along the coast in the best position, IOW/Southampton area probably seeing a direct hit. 

    Starting to see that easterly back building Dan was speaking about yesterday too.

    fingers crossed that most of us on south coast can get a nice light show, if iow and southampton get a direct hit i will be over the moon 😄

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    Posted
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bridgwater, Somerset
    1 minute ago, Cornishdave said:

    I’m in Exeter and the sky turned threatening and now it’s raining very heavily! 
     

    The sky is also turning very dark for me as well.

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    "Thundery rain" yes, you could sort of say that, come on keep going storms. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bournemouth
    24 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

    Just seen a massive CG 

    They aren't very often but we definitely have visible lightning off the south coast

    Was that the CG plus crawler S of the Purbecks 5 mins ago? 

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    Posted
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey or Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: clear skies , hard frost , snow !
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey or Manchester
    5 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

    Around 35% still

    Do you just pick a number out from thin air and stick to it ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    Looking forward to a light show later (maybe) 😉 

    I'll be on Worthing Pier should mother nature decide to deliver. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine. And storms
  • Location: Garvestone, Norfolk
    5 minutes ago, DragonFire said:

    I am very disappointed with the last storms we had a few days ago in Northampton as all we got was a few minor rumbles of thunder.

    Where are the flying cows?

     

     

    tornado-flying-cow-tornadoes-pinterest.jpg

    You'll just have to be satisfied with flying ants...

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    Posted
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather what else!
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
    2 minutes ago, Luke Best said:

    Was that the CG plus crawler S of the Purbecks 5 mins ago? 

    Was a while back now, but definitely a CG but with two 45 degree forks coming off it if that makes sense

     

    Seen more flashes, and a few deep rumbles, but we seem to be in a lull ATm

     

     

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