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Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Medway - 125m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: Medway - 125m ASL
    39 minutes ago, VillagePlank said:

    GFS 6z has location better than GFS 12z.

    The 12z puts the start of this too far North and West,

    6z.thumb.gif.e57c8af18443bc75db53baf7204e2161.gif12z.thumb.gif.6023b8634955e51ff7757ce42a2a1857.gifblitz.thumb.png.440c0ca4d189f56f0b11038f1176dfa4.png

     

    What does this hold in store for tonight? (as if you haven't already looked),

    precip1.thumb.gif.58c51066d801328fed92113e6b12623f.gifprecip2.thumb.gif.864855a26072ee146002803ef8079a96.gifprecip3.thumb.gif.6b43f111f027520de78a9187150609b3.gifprecip4.thumb.gif.5352e231f4d87d52ab1885212a4f17e5.gif

     

    Which looks like a direct hit for Medway. Direct. Hit.

    We shall see ...

    🙂

     

     

     

     

    Don't jinx it!

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    The rain has arrived. 

    the air has that stormy feel to it, even though its cooler than a lot of places as am on the coast. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

    Latest radar:

    DE7795B5-F0AB-4410-B6E0-6EF9702D0AAC.thumb.gif.41774f6c1552f2d2db145b918393ff0d.gif

    I’m still not sure whether this is the starter or the main course, I think it may actually be only the starter.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: storms lightning thunder
  • Location: Southampton
    1 minute ago, Mike Poole said:

    Latest radar:

    DE7795B5-F0AB-4410-B6E0-6EF9702D0AAC.thumb.gif.41774f6c1552f2d2db145b918393ff0d.gif

    I’m still not sure whether this is the starter or the main course, I think it may actually be only the starter.

    definitely the starter the main course is still cooking in the bay of biscay 🙂 

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    Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Cold. Thuderstorms
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
    2 minutes ago, Robbie Garrett said:

    The one that interests me with this plume.  Up and until now, there was none of the usual muck at high altitude.  It was crystal clear blue skies today.   That's already a different to events 🙂

     

    image.thumb.png.d6825c462bf7afa546020c1167c18900.png

    Great picture. Nice to see you on here. Seen your videos on Flyer Forum (I'm a photographer from Lee on Solent airfield)

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms, heatwaves, extreme weather
  • Location: Sheffield
    7 minutes ago, Alderc said:

    Damn it, maybe time to call the misses? 'Sorry darling, got a bit of tickly cough, you mind if we make it tomorrow night?' then grab a couple of triple of cheeseburgers at Maccy D's and head for the cliffs!! 

    200.gif

    Edited by Steel City Skies
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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill
  • Location: Bexhill
    1 minute ago, Sam jackson88 said:

    definitely the starter the main course is still cooking in the bay of biscay 🙂 

    Good because I’m hungry, lightning starved

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    Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: storms lightning thunder
  • Location: Southampton
    Just now, Electricmumma said:

    Good because I’m hungry, lightning starved

    we all are and i could eat a main of msc or a supercell course

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing West Sussex
  • Location: Worthing West Sussex
    7 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

    The rain has arrived. 

    the air has that stormy feel to it, even though its cooler than a lot of places as am on the coast. 

    That rains smells divine 😍😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunder
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire

    Looks a bit "thundery rain" type on current radar - activity is still south of it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
    3 minutes ago, Electricmumma said:

    Good because I’m hungry, lightning starved

    Currently on the seafront, darker skies to the SSW of here with that approaching area 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

    All of the lightning is on the eastern most of that cluster of storms. No lightning elsewhere.

    Am I the only one concerned? Lol

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

    Lots of instability now, but still dry so far, Dover.

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    Feels like a storm is brewing. I stable in other areas of the atmosphere as well, feel like this'll be nothing like the Models, so hard to predict. 

    16238665745801268337041749077430.jpg

    1623866606412232004103753855390.jpg

    Edited by Eagle Eye
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    Posted
  • Location: Hastings
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Hastings

    Going back frame by frame on lightning radar, it seems Hastings might, just MIGHT be a good place to be. Bag packed, ready to pop over to Bottle Alley with the gear. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill
  • Location: Bexhill
    11 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

    Currently on the seafront, darker skies to the SSW of here with that approaching area 

    Trying to time my trips down to the seafront so I don’t end up doing it too much.. though I do like a good cloud.. and the ice cream hut is calling 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill
  • Location: Bexhill
    2 minutes ago, Blake Allen said:

    Going back frame by frame on lightning radar, it seems Hastings might, just MIGHT be a good place to be. Bag packed, ready to pop over to Bottle Alley with the gear. 

    Wish we had a bottle alley here, not many places to hide on the seafront 

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    Posted
  • Location: Lee, SE London, SE12, 21m (68ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme!
  • Location: Lee, SE London, SE12, 21m (68ft) ASL

    I'm under the start of the Heathrow landing flight path, in SE London, and the engine noise keeps making me double take/listen. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    I could be in the middle of two storms hopefully 1 hits but in the middle could be good for pictures probably won't survive here for long though. 

    Screenshot_20210616_190829.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    Steady rain here, the air has got that 'I need to go bang' feeling about it..... which means it will probably just rain.... 😉 

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate

    Rain's about to reach Reigate. I'm sitting out enjoying some slightly cooler air before it arrives. I see most of the lightning activity is well south and east, probably heading for......................

    Kent.

    Edited by StormLoser
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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, Very Warm, Warm! Sunshine & TS
  • Location: Bournemouth

    Lightning rates on the storm nearest to Brighton tailing off quickly, the south eastern storm clearly feeding off a riper environment and probably heading for Hastings at best. 

    Further west some individual showers trying to get going but not able to sustain any updrafts. Looks like a big wet mess heading into much of the central south however I'm still not convinced the netweather radar is on top form.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

    Cloud cover increasing now, and it looks a little west of where the models were saying, I think:

    BED801C3-32D5-4612-9E40-B421964FE797.thumb.png.fe44a294cc7e4323811480d045ac661f.png

    Edited by Mike Poole
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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, Right on the South coast!
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Icy weather, and extremes.
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, Right on the South coast!

    Just want it to happen earlier rather than later, ive got to get up for work at 5.30 in the morning! Glued to the radar and windows here. have a perfect high up view of the sea south but no flashes yet (ooh err misses) 

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