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Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
1 minute ago, sunnijim said:

Think Estofex have a level 1 for SE England tonight which has lead to some head scratching...

Yep they do, I'm watching the French storms, so far looks correct, but no idea on whether they are right about layer for us. Looks like it's chosen east.

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Posted
  • Location: Efford, Plymouth
  • Weather Preferences: Misty Autumn Mornings, Thunderstorms and snow
  • Location: Efford, Plymouth

Way to the south, but that's some storm between Orleans and Paris! 1000s of strikes.  

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Posted
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Heatwaves, thunderstorms, cold/snowy spells.
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
1 hour ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Typical luck of this rotten year so far! 

Ive just been reading the infamous El Gordo bust, and the build up to it! Good grief that must be the let down of many centuries, as charts then we’re showing circa 3000jkg CAPE and LI -12!! How that plume turned out so bad I’ll never know. This one didn’t have quite the same promise levels El Gordo had! 

Could you point me where to find the thread for this El Gordo bust please?

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
14 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Could you point me where to find the thread for this El Gordo bust please?

You'll have to search that one, it was like 10 years ago, I think?!

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Posted
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Heatwaves, thunderstorms, cold/snowy spells.
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL

Thanks @Paul, certainly will give them a read as i wasn't on here back then.

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The storms have hit, I’m being absolutely battered by drizzle……sigh……

24-48hrs ago the models (again) could really have got this evening any more wrong unless it had miraculously turned out to be 30C and sunny….

 

4CED24A0-3D49-45F8-91F8-837B0D5885D8.thumb.jpeg.45ece237c98802d8ef464fa53ed4a59f.jpeg

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Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

Noticed these creeping up pushing northwards, not thundery though, not sure if these were to do with tonight's potential for the South at least?

 

image.png

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Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
3 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Noticed these creeping up pushing northwards, not thundery though, not sure if these were to do with tonight's potential for the South at least?

 

image.png

Blitzortung suggests some of those are indeed thundery 

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Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

I remember El Gordo well. I lived in Yorkshire at the time but it did not stop me driving all the way to Essex in the evening to see the show. With the huge storms that looked likely I felt it was a worthwhile trip. I stayed out all night, slept in my car and was rewarded with.... nothing. By about 5am in the morning I gave up and headed home. As I arrived home I looked on the radar to see where I had been 3 hours earlier being pounded by storms several hours later than planned. It was a frustrating time but now I look back and laugh at my bad luck that night.

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Looks like the air is ripe for development behind the front, interesting, we will see if that happens over us too, as the front won't last long, it's fading out.

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Posted
  • Location: Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Anything even slightly exciting & less Vanilla.
  • Location: Kent

I was tempted to crack open a can but might hold off and see what  if anything develops in the Channel

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Sheffield
4 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

This bunch could be the ones to look out for 

image.png

There have been a few strikes appearing on the lightning maps.

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Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl

yep turned out to be El Bumo ....come to think of it if i remember history right....it was AJ poolshark   who may have coined the term as a spoof to El Gordo

Edited by Arnie Pie
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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Tornado damage to buildings, including a church, at Saint-Nicolas-de-Bourgueil in the Loire Valley in France this afternoon. Swathe of pretty strong storms including supercells moving NE from the west coast across France this afternoon

 

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