karyo Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted August 26, 2021 As the system is getting better organised the models are shifting its track further east. A day or so ago the models were going for a Mexico/Texas landfall. Now Louisiana looks more likely but the eastward shift is continuing so maybe states further east in the Gulf will get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Had Worse Posted August 26, 2021 Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Weather Preferences: All Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Share Posted August 26, 2021 (edited) 59 minutes ago, karyo said: As the system is getting better organised the models are shifting its track further east. A day or so ago the models were going for a Mexico/Texas landfall. Now Louisiana looks more likely but the eastward shift is continuing so maybe states further east in the Gulf will get it. Hopefully not another Irma in the making. Hector the palm tree isnt up to that sort of pummelling anymore. Edited August 26, 2021 by Had Worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
karyo Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted August 26, 2021 21 minutes ago, Had Worse said: Hopefully not another Irma in the making. Hector the palm tree isnt up to that sort of pummelling anymore. It will be a very interesting couple of days of monitoring this storm develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Had Worse Posted August 26, 2021 Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Weather Preferences: All Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Share Posted August 26, 2021 (edited) NOAA just updated and now two red areas and an amber. The pot is beginning to bubble. Edited August 26, 2021 by Had Worse 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East_England_Stormchaser91 Posted August 26, 2021 Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Share Posted August 26, 2021 Pretty concerning to say the least. This will be tapping into waters that will add rocket fuel to the system. Most of the GoM is at or above 30c right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
karyo Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted August 26, 2021 Just now, East_England_Stormchaser91 said: Pretty concerning to say the least. This will be tapping into waters that will add rocket fuel to the system. Most of the GoM is at or above 30c right now. Yes, but at least it is not heading for poor Mexico which has already suffered a lot from Grace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East_England_Stormchaser91 Posted August 26, 2021 Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Share Posted August 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, karyo said: Yes, but at least it is not heading for poor Mexico which has already suffered a lot from Grace. True. This one though I can foresee a potential category 5 in the making, if windshear levels remain low, and land interaction remains minimal. Could even start to bomb down by tonight as a named storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Snow Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Carlisle Location: Carlisle Share Posted August 26, 2021 We have tropical depression 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Had Worse Posted August 26, 2021 Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Weather Preferences: All Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Share Posted August 26, 2021 /images/i/microseven-logo-highres.jpg Microseven - Microseven IP Cameras WWW.MICROSEVEN.COM The Microseven Cam Outdoor security camera connects to Wi-Fi, POE and can stream 1080p HD video to your phone 24/7. Use it as a surveillance camera or outdoor cam. It's the best way to keep an eye on... Cayman Islands. Breezy but very useable weather to have a beer and relax in a deck chair. Some how, I think that could change quite markedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
karyo Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted August 26, 2021 The gfs is consistent with a Louisiana landfall and it then develops another Gulf hurricane by 240 hours! With La Nina developing, we could be having a very active autumn ahead of us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirkcaldy Weather Posted August 26, 2021 Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰 Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL Author Share Posted August 26, 2021 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East_England_Stormchaser91 Posted August 27, 2021 Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk. Share Posted August 27, 2021 Very interesting track now of Nora, now forecasted to actually head up the Gulf of California. Not sure I’ve ever seen that before! Maybe Arizona/SE Nevada getting hit?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 1, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swebby Posted September 1, 2021 Location: Exeter, Devon, UK. alt 10m asl Location: Exeter, Devon, UK. alt 10m asl Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 hours ago, matty40s said: Yesterdays GFS 0z had it becoming a major hurricane and heading north through the mid Atlantic and pitching up on the coast of Cornwall as a post tropical depression late next week for what would have probably been our first named storm of Autumn. Todays 0z has it doing a grand tour of the Atlantic basin and ending up over the Azores as a low pressure system with potential for it to then reform if it was to take that track - it would mean Larry may be with us for some time. Either of these solutions is better than another major shift west by the models - if this was to hit the Caribbean or US East coast that would be a bad result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
karyo Posted September 1, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted September 1, 2021 37 minutes ago, swebby said: Yesterdays GFS 0z had it becoming a major hurricane and heading north through the mid Atlantic and pitching up on the coast of Cornwall as a post tropical depression late next week for what would have probably been our first named storm of Autumn. Todays 0z has it doing a grand tour of the Atlantic basin and ending up over the Azores as a low pressure system with potential for it to then reform if it was to take that track - it would mean Larry may be with us for some time. Either of these solutions is better than another major shift west by the models - if this was to hit the Caribbean or US East coast that would be a bad result. The latest NHC update makes this a major hurricane by the weekend. So rapid intensification is expected. With the current model outputs, I think places like the Bermuda and Nova Scotia need to watch this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 5, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 5, 2021 Really not wanted at this point in time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
summer blizzard Posted September 8, 2021 Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet Share Posted September 8, 2021 91L appears to have a broad low level circulation on satellite so may be named albeit its now close to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 10, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 10, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 10, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 10, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 11, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 12, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 12, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Had Worse Posted September 12, 2021 Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Weather Preferences: All Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District Share Posted September 12, 2021 A very slight change this morning, One of the areas off West Africa has changed to Yellow. Other than that all pretty quiet LOL ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
karyo Posted September 12, 2021 Location: Brighton (currently) Location: Brighton (currently) Share Posted September 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Had Worse said: A very slight change this morning, One of the areas off West Africa has changed to Yellow. Other than that all pretty quiet LOL The disturbance in the bay of campeche is getting organised. We should easily see a tropical storm out of that. Texas and Louisiana need to watch out as there is the potential of a lot of rain on already saturated ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 12, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 12, 2021 (edited) Could well be Nicholas by the morning!! Ah, OK, already gone... Edited September 12, 2021 by matty40s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matty40s Posted September 13, 2021 Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Weather Preferences: extremes n snow Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton... Share Posted September 13, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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