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Storms and convective discussion - 1st April 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Pagham, near Bognor Regis
  • Location: Pagham, near Bognor Regis
    22 hours ago, MP-R said:

    Oh yes these dates are etched in my memory! The 28th June storms were more impressive here, after the humdingers on the 24th... but the ore storm humidity on 31st August was some the most unpleasant I’ve experienced in this country. Positively steamy!

    I moved from Bulford near Amesbury to Pagham near Bognor in August 2015, so always in southern England in recent years. 

    In my experience, after the thundery year of 2006, there has been a general downturn in the incidence of thunder with several quiet years. Only 2014 has come close to 2006 in its thunderyness.

    I also remember 2005 storms on 28th June and 31st August. I also remember 24th June that year being a very thundery day when I was working at Larkhill that day - one storm after another. 

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    Funnel spotted!! Just spotted by me 10 mins ago from South Bristol. Had to use my phone to snap some pictures! It was from a cell north east to me. This is a first time for me!

    Just moving things on folks. But to be clear, this is a forum for weather enthusiasts. Guilt tripping for enjoying weather isn't welcome here. If you can't handle others enjoying interesting weather t

    We need another 24 hours with this in my opinion but here are some early thoughts. 7-9pm (16th June) Would expect Lightning to start being seen from the Dorset Coast eastwards to West Sussex alwa

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
    15 minutes ago, Harry's House said:

    ImI also remember 2005 storms on 28th June and 31st August. I also remember 24th June that year being a very thundery day when I was working at Larkhill that day - one storm after another. 

    24th June 2005 was epic in Wiltshire! Numerous storms formed quickly along a very slow moving cold front from around 05.00-12.00!

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    Posted
  • Location: CARDIFF
  • Location: CARDIFF
    12 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

    24th June 2005 was epic in Wiltshire! Numerous storms formed quickly along a very slow moving cold front from around 05.00-12.00!

    I think we had it bad in cardiff as well 

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

    Still early to say but hopefully first signs on GFS of something Thundery next week, this is for next Wednesday 

    image.thumb.png.73d4d0b18e6de479f86f24b3e9631682.png

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    All subject to change of course, but Wednesday next week is looking to be the day of potential fireworks. The models seem to be correcting and have the low to the WNW engaging more of the plume, rather than riding straight over the top. 

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    Posted
  • Location: London
  • Weather Preferences: Lighting and sunshine
  • Location: London

    Hey Google.  Driving directions to minus five please

     

    Screenshot_20210611-174845.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
    4 minutes ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

    Hey Google.  Driving directions to minus five please

     

    Screenshot_20210611-174845.png

    Could be a good week nexxt week if all goes well.

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    Posted
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
    1 hour ago, Eagle Eye said:

    A few pictures from earlier today. 

    IMG_20210611_162348.thumb.jpg.2d600ce378b676a06e253bce9ca830b3.jpgIMG_20210611_162406.thumb.jpg.a6db8b580bccc891c227db2ef6b3339c.jpg

    IMG_20210611_162705.thumb.jpg.fdd43e0743e6367df08b7e323b895a04.jpg

    IMG_20210611_162917.thumb.jpg.2f1431761170c41fb3e2a633e795e205.jpg

     

    Wrong thread??

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

    App showing 40% storm risk for Wednesday now with temps of 28C 🤞

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    Posted
  • Location: NW London
  • Weather Preferences: Convective Weather and Snow
  • Location: NW London

    There is definitely some consistency now between GFS runs on some significant instability building across parts of England and Wales next Wednesday, which is good news for most!     

    image.thumb.png.6e3e950f278fd723e675b0dbd4a3c3a4.pngimage.thumb.png.55c2d8f75d075b32177ae4805964d8b2.pngimage.thumb.png.f86983568fd76e893a31cf2e60a346cc.pngimage.thumb.png.2174de5e0cdf60ae8f5af97888792275.png

    On the other hand it is the GFS of course, so we will have to wait and see what happens.  

    Meanwhile the ECMWF and GDPS seem to agree on the general pattern. We will have to see what any mid-range models say as they come into range over the next few days

    image.thumb.png.02b6d19ebe587feb6bf24c0d4ce9d579.pngimage.thumb.png.866ed6f33d8ea60e028b3c1889472cf6.pngimage.thumb.png.7fbb5df0b90714ee403815f5015a65da.png

    Really hoping for some good storms!!

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    Posted
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
    1 hour ago, Thunder and Lightning said:

    Well the UKV is already onboard...

    image.thumb.png.36ca6d32610ab68b2fc90f0e8b85ec13.png

    That'd be a late night but I'd bite your hand off for it to come off like that 😁 

    🤞

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    Wonder if this could be a similar event to June 1994! We can only wish. So far it is not looking bad at all!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
  • Location: nr Yarmouth, Isle of Wight
    18 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    Wonder if this could be a similar event to June 1994! We can only wish. So far it is not looking bad at all!! 

    I'm intrigued. Any charts/articles etc around for that particular event? I would have been 6 years old at the time and cr*apping myself no doubt, assuming those storms affected the IOW!

     

    Edit: found articles and BBC forecasts on Youtube 🙂

    Edited by Lance M
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    Posted
  • Location: NW London
  • Weather Preferences: Convective Weather and Snow
  • Location: NW London
    1 minute ago, Lance M said:

    I'm intrigued. Any charts/articles etc around for that particular event? I would have been 6 years old at the time and cr*apping myself no doubt, assuming those storms affected the IOW!

    WWW.THEWEATHEROUTLOOK.COM

    Coming up to the 20th anniversary of this event for the SE when it went bang with spectacular thunderstorms on the evening of the 24th June 1994...
    cover
    RMETS.ONLINELIBRARY.WILEY.COM

    Click on the title to browse this journal

    Found these two!

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
    3 minutes ago, Lance M said:

    I'm intrigued. Any charts/articles etc around for that particular event? I would have been 6 years old at the time and cr*apping myself no doubt, assuming those storms affected the IOW!

    I believe the MCS up from France would’ve done after the initial homegrown trough! It was a superb day. 

    The latest Icon looks pretty exciting/nuts! 

    5DAFFDE3-27CE-4480-9713-65FB7F21365F.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Cheshire
  • Location: Cheshire

    I was reminded of 57 years ago today, and the night of 12th/13th June 1964 when a spectacular thunderstorm and lightning kept people awake for much of the night in London & the South East. Of course in those days, there was little in the way of detailed forecasts, certainly not for days ahead. Fortunately the 13th was a Saturday and I was able to have a lie in rather than getting up for school.

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    Posted
  • Location: London
  • Weather Preferences: Lighting and sunshine
  • Location: London
    16 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    I believe the MCS up from France would’ve done after the initial homegrown trough! It was a superb day. 

    The latest Icon looks pretty exciting/nuts! 

    5DAFFDE3-27CE-4480-9713-65FB7F21365F.png

    Is it me, or is this the beginning of an eastwards shift modelwise?  Hopefully it won't be in the north sea by Wednesday

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    17 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:

    I was reminded of 57 years ago today, and the night of 12th/13th June 1964 when a spectacular thunderstorm and lightning kept people awake for much of the night in London & the South East. Of course in those days, there was little in the way of detailed forecasts, certainly not for days ahead. Fortunately the 13th was a Saturday and I was able to have a lie in rather than getting up for school.

    I remember that. It was so scary that my younger bro and I were allowed downstairs, to watch The Flintstones!😁

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
    2 minutes ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

    Is it me, or is this the beginning of an eastwards shift modelwise?  Hopefully it won't be in the north sea by Wednesday

    Not yet I don’t think. It’s only just started coming into the high resolution outputs, so we shall wait and see. If anything over the past couple of days, the plume has been getting better for us. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)

    The prospects of some imports overnight from Weds to Thurs do have my eye.

    Of course, I'm awaiting the inevitable shift east all the way into Belgium by Tuesday on models. 😆

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    Posted
  • Location: NW London
  • Weather Preferences: Convective Weather and Snow
  • Location: NW London
    1 minute ago, Jamie M said:

    The prospects of some imports overnight from Weds to Thurs do have my eye.

    Of course, I'm awaiting the inevitable shift east all the way into Belgium by Tuesday on models. 😆

    Has it already happened? 🤣

     image.thumb.png.6eb3ebd7c466289a94163f0423f8562f.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
    1 minute ago, Thunder and Lightning said:

    Has it already happened? 🤣

     image.thumb.png.6eb3ebd7c466289a94163f0423f8562f.png

    It really has been dreadful for imports over the last 2 years. Last year was the worst I can remember for it. Like Paul said the other day, the SE really is not as thundery as it used to be, even from imports.

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    BBC Weather's got storms so it'll just be rain now, oh well onto July lol 😁

    image.thumb.png.005b2997ee24b3eaecf765d3e0531dd6.png

    image.thumb.png.750e439ef4793f1a07bfa3a9305c37cd.png

    image.png

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    Posted
  • Location: West London
  • Location: West London
    47 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

    BBC Weather's got storms so it'll just be rain now, oh well onto July lol 😁

    image.thumb.png.005b2997ee24b3eaecf765d3e0531dd6.png

    image.thumb.png.750e439ef4793f1a07bfa3a9305c37cd.png

    image.png

    Same in West London too seeing Thursday early evening through the night. I'd love to see a mothership cloud even just do a drive by of the south easy skies to tease us would be a sight.

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