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April 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests


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Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    7.9C and 122.6mm please 

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    I was saying that a cold and dry April is an unusual combination. So I checked the data, EWP data go back to 1766, so for the 59 Aprils in that period with mean CET 7.2 or lower, these are the only si

    Cold reload after reload to the 22nd now with just a slight hint of moderation then. I could imagine the running CET drifting down into the 5-6 range by this coming weekend and then staying there to t

    The single day drop in the CET maxima from yesterday to today could exceed 8C. In the record for April this has only been achieved 15 times. Just 2 days have dropped by more than 10C, they are the 1

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    8.7c and 110mm please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)

    Blimey looking at the latest output for the first half of April it’s looking ❄️ 

    My 9.1c could be to high 🤔

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    Posted
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWY WINTERS AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT

    my guess for April I would go for temp 7.5c I think this April will be quite dry precipitation therefore I will take 55 mm thank you.

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    Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
    17 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

    Blimey looking at the latest output for the first half of April it’s looking ❄️ 

    My 9.1c could be to high 🤔

    It will probably end up being spot on if you change it though!

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

    8.4°C and 68mm please

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
    1 hour ago, Timmytour said:

    It will probably end up being spot on if you change it though!

    I still have memories of last November, as I and most went far too low when looking at what the models were forecasting for November ❄️

    Then 30 days later I was over 3c out 🥴

    So your right my guess will stay at 9.1c 👍

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Going for 8.6C and 63mm of rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York

    7.9 and 59mm please

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    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands

    Will go for 9.5*C and 55mm rain/snow, please. Tar

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    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    You ... are ... being ... pulled ... into ... the ..... VORTEX ...... of ........

     

    DOOM

    said the voice of anti-Lettucing Gutted.

    6.9 and 48.2 mm. 

    Seriously the GFS output would give an average near 4 C after 14 days, probably won't work out but I have a bit of a cushion, even if reality is 5.5 or 6 my forecast won't bust until the last ten days inevitable burst of heat. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

    9.9c 110mm

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    I can see this month being appreciably below average 7.2C thanks and 90mm.

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    Posted
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL

    Coldish first half, warmer second half.

     

    I'll go for 9.1c and 55mm.

     

    MM

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    8.3C and 75mm, thanks

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .

    7,9C and 64.5 mms of rain please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Are there any notable 1st-10th/1st-15th values we should looking at challenging since the 80's based on current output.

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    8.8c and 71.5mm please.

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