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Model output discussion 10/02/21


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Looks like the chase is back on folks...phew! For a minute there I though I might have to start talking to my family again 😅

The Return of the Beast from the East !  Editors are still putting the finishing touches to it but haven’t decided yet when or if it’s going to be released ! They’re thinking of perhaps putt

Morning folks,havent posted in a while.Hope UK/IE did well out of this cold spell,we have also been paid a visit by Arctic BLAST with uppers of -20 today. EPS for my location next 15 days Keep me unde

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Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    5 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    Is the gfs going to open the floodgates here?

    at 300.

    gfsnh-0-300.thumb.png.63804019a4dc293e2abeb809aee5e92a.png

    we are looking for another cold spell aren't we cos there has been hints of this showing in the gefs ext ens of late,are we ready to start chasing again. 

    Boom 🤪😜

    gfsnh-0-330.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Banbury
  • Weather Preferences: Deep Deep Snow causing chaos
  • Location: Banbury

    image.thumb.png.d2f2c74381bf692858866442a00b8c76.png

    Not again ,................please god no 

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    1 minute ago, Griff said:

    Boom 🤪😜

    gfsnh-0-330.png

    I would call it a mini boom at the moment😜

    lets see if it upgrades to one of these...

    huge-explosion-boom.thumb.gif.afd0bcb2b89864be3ae0edd2862123c9.gif

    it does get the lower heights into the Med to prop that high up though😏

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    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)

    We’re going to need that high to go a bit further north west or it’s just cold and dry bar a flurry in kent ...

    3A886663-6C1E-4C31-AD82-CAC7814AEF34.png

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    I can only find one GEFS member which supports the UKMO day 6 solution . 

    So 29 and the control run aren’t interested . 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

    I would call it a mini boom at the moment😜

    lets see if it upgrades to one of these...

    huge-explosion-boom.thumb.gif.afd0bcb2b89864be3ae0edd2862123c9.gif

    it does get the lower heights into the Med to prop that high up though😏

    No, all in, nailed as some may have said prematurely at the start of the year! 

    What could possibly go wrong... giphy.gif&ehk=0kHKf4QlqsVBQJf3gfdo53v1%2

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, Ice days, warm sunny days.
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
    2 minutes ago, nick sussex said:

    I can only find one GEFS member which supports the UKMO day 6 solution . 

    So 29 and the control run aren’t interested . 

    Why, is the UKMO day 6 chart good?

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    Posted
  • Location: Sedgley 225metres above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heatwaves and electrical storms, and fidgid Arctic type winters
  • Location: Sedgley 225metres above sea level
    2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    We’re going to need that high to go a bit further north west or it’s just cold and dry bar a flurry in kent ...

    3A886663-6C1E-4C31-AD82-CAC7814AEF34.png

    At that range its probably best we don't speculate on the details to much..🤣

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    The control is starting to sniff something out here at 192...

    gensnh-0-1-192.thumb.png.e35e56c044046fe54bf54548847c6766.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    11 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    We’re going to need that high to go a bit further north west or it’s just cold and dry bar a flurry in kent ...

    3A886663-6C1E-4C31-AD82-CAC7814AEF34.png

    loads in Jersey, reminds me of 11th March '13

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
    2 minutes ago, D.V.R said:

    Why, is the UKMO day 6 chart good?

     Nothing to write home about unfortunately . But if this was a new trend it would call into question any high to the south taking charge. It does however show the PV already moving away from southern Greenland .

    With a few tweaks it could look better and I’m in two minds whether to cheer this solution on as the possible route out of the mild crud takes an awfully long time in the GFS.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    9 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    GFSp lining up the big guns out east 🤔

    D6A43736-471D-438F-8801-1EB3E59BD7DB.png

    But what about the 'big gnus'... Aren't they lining-up too, in the Serengeti?😁

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

    I thought winter was over but.........

    Edited by lassie23
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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    45 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:

    Ohhh no...I just can't take anymore Estlys 🤣

     

    Me neither, I want some nice spring weather now! 🤪

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    Just now, Allseasons-si said:

    Oh!!!,give over Don,...we are still in Feb,...mid Feb,there is plenty of legs to this winter yet me son,...i won't give up until 😛

    I'm aving a laugh!  You believe that, you'll believe anything! 😆

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    7 minutes ago, Don said:

    I'm aving a laugh!  You believe that, you'll believe anything! 😆

    👍

    Trying that reverse psychology?,you know it doesn't work😁

    Edited by Allseasons-si
    typo
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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

    👍

    Trying that reverse cytology?,you know it doesn't work😁

    Oh it works a treat! 😉

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    👍

    Trying that reverse cytology?,you know it doesn't work😁

    You've lost me there, Si: 

    mw-logo-245x245@1x.png
    WWW.MERRIAM-WEBSTER.COM

    a branch of biology dealing with the structure, function, multiplication, pathology, and life history of cells : cell biology… See the full definition

    :drunk-emoji:

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    2 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    You've lost me there, Si: 

    mw-logo-245x245@1x.png
    WWW.MERRIAM-WEBSTER.COM

    a branch of biology dealing with the structure, function, multiplication, pathology, and life history of cells : cell biology… See the full definition

    :drunk-emoji:

    ^^ corrected it,...oops!

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    Message added by Paul,

    Please ensure you only post about the model output in this thread. 
    For local snow discussion and will it snow posts, please use the regional threads
    For more general chat please use the chat, moans and ramps thread.

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