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Model output discussion 10/02/21


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Looks like the chase is back on folks...phew! For a minute there I though I might have to start talking to my family again 😅

The Return of the Beast from the East !  Editors are still putting the finishing touches to it but haven’t decided yet when or if it’s going to be released ! They’re thinking of perhaps putt

Morning folks,havent posted in a while.Hope UK/IE did well out of this cold spell,we have also been paid a visit by Arctic BLAST with uppers of -20 today. EPS for my location next 15 days Keep me unde

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    At 216,..and this just gets better and better.

    ECH1-216.thumb.gif.4cb4c704a83c1cba9942053a2b0530d2.gif

    ...and there is only one way we are going from there,...back into the freezer,day 10 should look good.

    Edited by Allseasons-si
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    Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
    4 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:

    Really does look as though there is a wall there in the atlantic at day 6,and a sharp one at that.

    Strat related?

     

    ECM1-144.thumb.GIF.c05014c92c0703bdb81ed0205835c3a2.GIF

    Not another invisible block, surely!!  Actually in this instance I think it is the actual block in the troposphere, cold air being difficult to shift.

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts

    I feel the extended eps will trend colder this evening . Lovely ❤️ At day 9 . 

    592F38EE-BC56-466D-82B4-1774C480371C.png

    1B3AB873-24B9-4427-A010-6F33C4F2B06B.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Broadmayne a few miles north of Weymouth in Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Snowfall
  • Location: Broadmayne a few miles north of Weymouth in Dorset

    Pretty much following the set up as laid out  in the meto extended forecast.  Namely high pressure to build west to the north of the UK.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    2 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

    I feel the extended eps will trend colder this evening . Lovely ❤️ At day 9 . 

    592F38EE-BC56-466D-82B4-1774C480371C.png

    1B3AB873-24B9-4427-A010-6F33C4F2B06B.png

    Let's hope it's more than a kitten this time! a beast would be great, but even a cold E'ly will do

    Edited by I remember Atlantic 252
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    Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
    6 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

    Not another invisible block, surely!!  Actually in this instance I think it is the actual block in the troposphere, cold air being difficult to shift.

    It would be interesting to see the jet profile at that timeframe.

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    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)

    Just need a way to suppress that high to our south. Perhaps we can get a shortwave to undercut at day 8 / 9?

    78D7B87C-2362-452C-A458-B419400F7B1D.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts
    Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Let's hope i't more than a kitten this time! a beast would be great, but even a cold E'ly will do

    TBF mate I’m just hoping for a dumping of snow (proper dumping ) . Bit of a let down here snow wise with this spell . 

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    It’s a shame that the sinking high earlier removes so much of that deeper cold from the east . But at least we’re back in the game for another chance at an easterly . The ECM looks somewhat messy to the east and ne . But to be in with a chance to begin with you need that upstream troughing to sharpen up sufficiently and dig far enough south earlier .

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts
    1 minute ago, nick sussex said:

    It’s a shame that the sinking high earlier removes so much of that deeper cold from the east . But at least we’re back in the game for another chance at an easterly . The ECM looks somewhat messy to the east and ne . But to be in with a chance to begin with you need that upstream troughing to sharpen up sufficiently and dig far enough south earlier .

     

    Plenty of time for it to all sharpen up mate . I really feel we will get another easterly by the end of feb / start on March . Fingers crossed 🤞🏻 

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    Posted
  • Location: Oxford
  • Location: Oxford

    Good evening all ECM beginning to show a very short uptake in temperatures before returning to 

    the freezer.As I have mentioned in previous blogs my suspicion that the Atlantic milder air 

    might never happen,that said a possible 2 or 3 days of average temperatures is just possible 

    before pressure rises again.Will be looking to see where the high originates and orientation 

    that follows,my take make the best of some milder air it won’t last long.

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    Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

    ECM pub run with cold air inc. at the end.

     

    ECH0-240.thumb.png.892df22a232fc655fcf4619d10374b36.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Co.Laois > Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Historical weather events. ❤ the seasons! Winters crisp snow!
  • Location: Co.Laois > Ireland
    10 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Let's hope it's more than a kitten this time! a beast would be great, but even a cold E'ly will do

    Lets hope its more the Siberian snow leopard this time 😉

    In the here and now, Harmonie hopefully is correct going into tonight for Ireland, hasn't got going here yet, just in the west☹

    anim_vje3.gif

    And tomorrow night coming into the UK 

    anim_yui4.gif

     

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    Message added by Paul,

    Please ensure you only post about the model output in this thread. 
    For local snow discussion and will it snow posts, please use the regional threads
    For more general chat please use the chat, moans and ramps thread.

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