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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward


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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    8 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

    I was thinking more of the lines of this 😂

    😂😂😂😂😂

    Meanwhile.....in Ipswich ....

    (I feel we might derail the thread if we continue but couldn’t resist)

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    It wasn't a lot but it was enough for a dwarf snowman

    A bit late in posting 😂 but we done very well (relatively) down here in the far west of Cornwall today. Proper snow for a solid 6 hours and unlike elsewhere in the country, no issue with settling. Set

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    18z ICON very similar to it's earlier 12z run, with a good snowfall for many inland areas of the region on Saturday.  Again, won't post all the charts, just a snapshot below;

    iconeu_uk1-42-84-0.thumb.png.86caeadf164cfba925f7de66f4786e50.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-87-0.thumb.png.696b59ea57353cf6e91aac7e06d32780.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-90-0.thumb.png.f8dca1d607429626aaeb8687f7694ba7.png

    Very consistent between both 12z and 18z output.  Still a rank outsider but we can hope!  Oh hail the mighty ICON!  😁

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke
  • Location: Basingstoke
    1 minute ago, AWD said:

    18z ICON very similar to it's earlier 12z run, with a good snowfall for many inland areas of the region on Saturday.  Again, won't post all the charts, just a snapshot below;

    iconeu_uk1-42-84-0.thumb.png.86caeadf164cfba925f7de66f4786e50.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-87-0.thumb.png.696b59ea57353cf6e91aac7e06d32780.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-90-0.thumb.png.f8dca1d607429626aaeb8687f7694ba7.png

    Very consistent between both 12z and 18z output.  Still a rank outsider but we can hope!  Oh hail the mighty ICON!  😁

     

    That would just about sum this cold spell up, I’ve been too far west, too far south and now too far east. Splendid 

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    Just now, alex12 said:

    Potential back on now for Thursday and Saturday?

    Wouldn't go that far yet.  Just an observation with regards to the ICON for now.  A lot of uncertainty with regards to snow/rain/dry on Saturday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset
  • Location: Somerset
    1 minute ago, AWD said:

    Wouldn't go that far yet.  Just an observation with regards to the ICON for now.  A lot of uncertainty with regards to snow/rain/dry on Saturday.

    Thanks for the updates!-Trying to learn a little more rather than chase snow 🤣

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    Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
    8 minutes ago, AWD said:

    18z ICON very similar to it's earlier 12z run, with a good snowfall for many inland areas of the region on Saturday.  Again, won't post all the charts, just a snapshot below;

    iconeu_uk1-42-84-0.thumb.png.86caeadf164cfba925f7de66f4786e50.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-87-0.thumb.png.696b59ea57353cf6e91aac7e06d32780.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-90-0.thumb.png.f8dca1d607429626aaeb8687f7694ba7.png

    Very consistent between both 12z and 18z output.  Still a rank outsider but we can hope!  Oh hail the mighty ICON!  😁

     

    Hmmm interesting. Must be positive signs still

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    Posted
  • Location: Plymouth, 7m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold & snow, hot & thundery!
  • Location: Plymouth, 7m asl.
    31 minutes ago, AWD said:

    Latest 18z ICON consistent in giving Devon some snowfall Thursday night into Friday morning.  Won't bother posting all the charts, here is a couple below as a snapshot;

    iconeu_uk1-42-59-0.thumb.png.186b6d3bd494364f7ba3695643aeb6b5.png

    iconeu_uk1-42-60-0.thumb.png.82c379febc22727b85f4339d0d6927bc.png

    Actually brings it slightly further NE into Somerset too.  Mainly light snow but nonetheless, something for snow starved Devonshire members to keep an eye on (and possibly Somerset folk here too).

    Thanks AWD, I'm pretty confident that even if it's a snow -to -rain event, lasting no longer than 10 mins...it will still be the highlight and 'potential' snow-worthy news for S.Devon since 2018.....i'll take it please.... 😁😉

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

    Taking the GFS 18z as raw data, Bristol gets 30 hours of precipitation showing as snowfall before the milder air finally pushes through....

    84h to 116h....each 6h frame in-between is showing ppn as snow for Bristol.

     

    16BEA32D-8171-418E-A6BB-123E92B952CE.thumb.gif.4b127295c9954e1510ba053f552a050b.gif98AAA246-37DF-4DD3-B142-BC5DC279A35C.thumb.gif.2caadb5f575fab5a774cf8e78e1ad99c.gif

    Edited by chris55
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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    Just now, chris55 said:

    Taking the GFS 18z as raw data, Bristol gets 30 hours of precipitation showing as snowfall before the milder air finally pushes through....

    84h to 116h....each 6h frame in-between is showing ppn as snow!

    16BEA32D-8171-418E-A6BB-123E92B952CE.thumb.gif.4b127295c9954e1510ba053f552a050b.gif98AAA246-37DF-4DD3-B142-BC5DC279A35C.thumb.gif.2caadb5f575fab5a774cf8e78e1ad99c.gif

    Hopefully the Met Office are on board.

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
    6 minutes ago, chris55 said:

    Taking the GFS 18z as raw data, Bristol gets 30 hours of precipitation showing as snowfall before the milder air finally pushes through....

    84h to 116h....each 6h frame in-between is showing ppn as snow for Bristol.

     

    16BEA32D-8171-418E-A6BB-123E92B952CE.thumb.gif.4b127295c9954e1510ba053f552a050b.gif98AAA246-37DF-4DD3-B142-BC5DC279A35C.thumb.gif.2caadb5f575fab5a774cf8e78e1ad99c.gif

    BANK

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    Posted
  • Location: Plymouth, 7m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold & snow, hot & thundery!
  • Location: Plymouth, 7m asl.
    9 minutes ago, chris55 said:

    Taking the GFS 18z as raw data, Bristol gets 30 hours of precipitation showing as snowfall before the milder air finally pushes through....

    84h to 116h....each 6h frame in-between is showing ppn as snow for Bristol.

     

    16BEA32D-8171-418E-A6BB-123E92B952CE.thumb.gif.4b127295c9954e1510ba053f552a050b.gif98AAA246-37DF-4DD3-B142-BC5DC279A35C.thumb.gif.2caadb5f575fab5a774cf8e78e1ad99c.gif

    You lucky old so and so..... 😉😋

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

    For anyone who hasn't seen the METOFFICE longer range update issued at 4pm today, it certainly highlights the risk of more snowfalls in the west going through the rest of feb. Doesn't look like they are expecting the Atlantic airmass to push through completely with a few mentions of snowfalls.....

    Here it is if you haven't seen it in the met office thread 🙂

     

    UK long range weather forecast

    Sunday 14 Feb - Tuesday 23 Feb

    It will remain cold or very cold with strong winds on Sunday but potentially turning milder over western areas. Outbreaks of rain and snow, potentially heavy for some southwestern areas are possible, whilst staying mostly dry and bright in central and southeastern areas. Further into this period, snow and wintry hazards are likely to continue which could affect mainly northern areas and eastern areas, especially over higher ground but not confined to. Although confidence weakens later in the period, the best of any sunshine looks to be in eastern and northeastern areas, with unsettled conditions mainly towards the west. Strong winds are likely throughout with the risk of coastal gales and temperatures overall remaining cold, with mild interludes in the west.

    Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Tue 9 Feb 2021

    Tuesday 23 Feb - Tuesday 9 Mar

    After a potential spell of milder and wetter conditions for most likely western parts, probably a return to colder and drier conditions overall. Whilst overall conditions are likely to remain cold, there is a continued chance for unsettled, milder interludes arriving from the west or southwest. These may produce a risk of disruptive snowfall during transition periods. Eastern areas are also likely to see some further snow showers, with the best of any dry bright and sunny weather in the north and northwest.

    Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Tue 9 Feb 2021

     

     

     

     

    Edited by chris55
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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Blimey it’s quiet in here tonight. Everyone given up 🤷🏼‍♀️😂 am I the last one standing at this party?! 
     

    standard 😂😂🥳

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    Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL

    I think the drama for Friday-Sunday is far from decided yet.

    The Icon continues to show a very snowy breakdown and the GFS 18z is not dissimilar with frontal snow across various parts of our region Fri, Sat and Sun! Strong SE winds throughout as well so some drifting if it happens like that.

    I'm still not convinced the Atlantic will break through completely just yet either. It def feels as though things are on a knife edge and could quite easily flip back to a colder scenario if things fall into place.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    Snow pepped up here now and has cheered me up slightly!

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    14 minutes ago, khodds said:

    Blimey it’s quiet in here tonight. Everyone given up 🤷🏼‍♀️😂 am I the last one standing at this party?! 
     

    standard 😂😂🥳


    Nah the party is still going for me. Feel a lot better now it's not just the ICON suggesting decent snow on Saturday. Hoping to hear a more detailed forecast from the MetO tomorrow for the weekend. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
    10 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:


    Nah the party is still going for me. Feel a lot better now it's not just the ICON suggesting decent snow on Saturday. Hoping to hear a more detailed forecast from the MetO tomorrow for the weekend. 

    Whoop! Glad there’s someone left to party with me (tho am going to sleep now haha!). Here’s hoping we get a nice dumping and the cold air wins.

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    Posted
  • Location: Calne, Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & storms.
  • Location: Calne, Wiltshire
    3 hours ago, Crackerjack said:

    Our Snizzle on the radar has gone from looking solid to quite fragmented in just 10 mins ❄️🤷‍♂️ I give up 

    3D838BC4-6C8F-486C-AB7A-8507EAFDCE01.jpeg

    E9A4BA83-0738-4492-86A5-6DF56E11A5CC.jpeg

    I know. It always seems to break up or

    skirt around those hills unless we’re extremely lucky😔

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    Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
    12 minutes ago, Don said:

    Snow pepped up here now and has cheered me up slightly!

    There's a definite streamer setting up just north of the A303 at the moment.

    I think it may sink southwards through the early hours but may well give anyone under it a decent dusting, especially if it is slow moving.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    1 minute ago, wiltshire weather said:

    There's a definite streamer setting up just north of the A303 at the moment.

    I think it may sink southwards through the early hours but may well give anyone under it a decent dusting, especially if it is slow moving.

     

    Yes, looks like a narrow band on the radar but giving me a good dusting so far!  Not sure how long it will last.

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    Posted
  • Location: NE Hampshire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: snow, cold, ice, frost, thundersnow,
  • Location: NE Hampshire, England, United Kingdom

    Some of the snow near Ludgershall/Andover looking fairly heavy. Probably a quick 1-2cm here? Very localised.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    2 minutes ago, sukayuonsensnow said:

    Some of the snow near Ludgershall/Andover looking fairly heavy. Probably a quick 1-2cm here? Very localised.

    Yes, relatively heavy snow in Ludgershall right now but a very narrow band.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chipping Sodbury
  • Location: Chipping Sodbury
    38 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:

    I think the drama for Friday-Sunday is far from decided yet.

    The Icon continues to show a very snowy breakdown and the GFS 18z is not dissimilar with frontal snow across various parts of our region Fri, Sat and Sun! Strong SE winds throughout as well so some drifting if it happens like that.

    I'm still not convinced the Atlantic will break through completely just yet either. It def feels as though things are on a knife edge and could quite easily flip back to a colder scenario if things fall into place.

     

     

    Please don’t give us false hope 😢

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