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South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    1715 Obs

    Temp is -0.5c

    Dewp is -5.1c

    Wind is from the ENE

    Weather is Cloudy with breaks to the East and Kent visible to the South 

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    Well blew work out and got some fun in the Snow at last  IMG_3041.MOV

    So surely there are no posters who say the Amber wasnt warranted now ?? I know not every area in the Amber got what an Amber warning deserved but plenty of places did. When Storm warnings are Issued n

    My 76 year old father snow blading today in Newnham, Kent.  They’ve had around 4” over the last 24 hours. Temp is -0.8 there right now  V jealous indeed as I look out over green fields in th

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
    1 minute ago, SHM040519 said:

    Isn’t that the 12pm one? Isn’t meant to sink south till 3-4 I believe when winds turn NE? Shoot me if wrong tho. 

    It does yeah. I'd rather it earlier but can't pick and choose!

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    Posted
  • Location: Woburn
  • Location: Woburn

    Cousin in Romford says it’s snowing with no accumulation 

    We need the likes of the heavy showers intensity from Lincs northwards or pushing into Scotland to get going down here. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Anything below 0c or above 15c (the sunnier the better!)
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent

    The cooling effect of the wind can be seen here in Maidstone today.

    From memory the sun nearly always melts south facing roofs and tarmac (especially in February) which today has been out nearly continuously since 11am. Today has only seen partial melting in these places and anywhere which is exposed is now dry.

    So, all eyes on tomorrows convection and convergence. Where will that twig end up? Streamers are quite emotional on the quiet; you're either over the moon or bitterly disappointed!

    The ups and downs of weather eh???

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    Posted
  • Location: Canterbury, Kent
  • Location: Canterbury, Kent
    Just now, Jamie M said:

    It does yeah. I'd rather it earlier but can't pick and choose!

    Guess if it comes 3-4, darker sooner and will lay? If it even happens!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    7 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

    A more traditional stream now, wind ene.

    Perfect wind direction for us on south bank of Thames but sods law all the lovely convection over North/East Essex has died down now its pushed south

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
    1 minute ago, SHM040519 said:

    Guess if it comes 3-4, darker sooner and will lay? If it even happens!!

    Ideally I'd want less of the snow melt during the day but let's hope it blinking happens first before I go all nitty picky. 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Woburn
  • Location: Woburn
    2 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    Perfect wind direction for us on south bank of Thames but sods law all the lovely convection over North/East Essex has died down now its pushed south

    Radar has ppn fading by the hour across EA and SE. 
     

    looks to be a cold, clear night 

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    Posted
  • Location: Grays, Thurrock
  • Location: Grays, Thurrock
    25 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

    That’s because the graphic/hourly break downs are 100% model data driven, i.e taking a snapshot of a single model run from a single model. 

    The text forecasts have human input & would have considered other variables besides a single run. 

    Why do the BBC even use the Meteogroup forecasts?

    Understand they didn't renew MET office contract as too expensive.

    If they saving money why didn't they go the full hog and just get their own presenters/forecasters to interpret the models and put their own graphics on.

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

    What's left after today's sunny skies.

    IMG_20210209_173109.thumb.jpg.da88edf61eb918d0c8755806fe39b720.jpgIMG_20210209_173101.thumb.jpg.4977de3e54872a0d13dcc214bc536043.jpg

    I can not walk down that, using next doors stairs.

    IMG_20210209_173130.thumb.jpg.8da710a2adc998761564e1c18c1ddb81.jpgIMG_20210209_173230.thumb.jpg.1d2ef822feb7d3e9ecf851e14264e215.jpg

    and that road and pavement are dangerous. Cars still driving on it though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sible Hedingham, North Essex
  • Location: Sible Hedingham, North Essex
    4 minutes ago, Polaris said:

    Radar has ppn fading by the hour across EA and SE. 
     

    looks to be a cold, clear night 

    Looks that way - can’t work out where the showers suggested by the Met will come from.

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    Posted
  • Location: SW London, 30m asl
  • Location: SW London, 30m asl
    34 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

    image.thumb.png.fb2582f2410b0939497e6c59392a9619.png

    Convergence zone slightly further W

    12z EURO4 shows it in pretty much the same position, gradually sinking south through the afternoon.

    euro4_uk1-1-23-0.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Cricklewood, north London
  • Location: Cricklewood, north London

    I rarely post but wanted to give my thoughts on this cold spell.

    Here in Dollis Hill, north-west London, we've had snow falling constantly and in varying intensity for 60 hours. That's pretty rare and a first for me at the age of 36. We've had heavy bursts and some heavy showers today, but mainly it's been light and steady. Overall, ratings out of 10 would be:

    Snow falling - 8
    Snow settling - 6
    Depth of cold - 6

    One thing I learnt a long time ago is to tune out the hyperbole in the model thread. That way you avoid disappointment if things don't live up to expectation. This was never going to be a beast from the east; none of the experts predicted so. That said, for *many* right down the east side of the country it's been, and continues to be, a notable wintry spell. Overall I'd rank it just behind the 2018 BFTE. It proves, again, that winter can still deliver.

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    Posted
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
    37 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

    image.thumb.png.fb2582f2410b0939497e6c59392a9619.png

    Convergence zone slightly further W

    Right, can I order that version please?!

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    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Anything below 0c or above 15c (the sunnier the better!)
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
    3 minutes ago, musehead said:

    12z EURO4 shows it in pretty much the same position, gradually sinking south through the afternoon.

    euro4_uk1-1-23-0.png

    Oh no, it's right over my head meaning by tomorrow it'll be somewhere else... (please excuse my imbyism!)

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    8 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

    Looks that way - can’t work out where the showers suggested by the Met will come from.

    If you look on sat the moisture plume from above Holland, does seem to move away soon, but I think it will be replaced by one coming up from the south, not the front it's self, but above it. That may produce the moisture for showers to refire.

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    What a magical spell this is. Just had a small, perfect snow shower amongst the crisp blue skies with perfect 6 sider flakes falling. Looking like an organised streamer is forecast to come through here overnight too, replenishing any thaw! 

    Make the most and best of what you get folks. Might be another few years before another easterly like this! Hoping to be proven wrong of course. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick

    Just typed in Ian McCaskill Feb 1991 into YouTube to give myself a fix of a forecast from a proper old school easterly that puts this tame affair (aside from the few locales that struck gold) to shame. Not just a regional but a national event. That was the stuff.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    16 minutes ago, Polaris said:

    Radar has ppn fading by the hour across EA and SE. 
     

    looks to be a cold, clear night 

    You need to look at the 600mb and 700mb Isotachs that might give you a clue a to where things might take shape. Where these winds converge will be clear to where the Twig as people call them takes shape. And anywhere over the warm SST's will create shower clouds at 10,000ft.

    Certainly will not be clear here tonight but might be where your located as your a good 50-60 miles from where the convergence zone might set up.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey

    Of course as the snow starts to dissipate it starts settling widely on all surfaces. 

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    Posted
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON

    Snow depth 1.4cms

    Hoping for some more over night 

    This cold spell so far for falling snow hasnt been bad 

    But the snow showers streamers have been to light 

    So crap for snow depth 

    A couple of weeks ago had 2 day cold snap with 7cms

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    Posted
  • Location: herne bay,kent
  • Weather Preferences: lots of snow and cold crisp mornings! thunder storms!
  • Location: herne bay,kent

    Evening my lovelies, how is it looking tomorrow for herne bay and Maidstone? Got to take  drive from the bay to maidstone tomorrow for an appointment they cancelled today because of the road conditions but rescheduled for tomorrow just wondering what my chances are of it still going ahead 

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