South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards

[magicpatch]

Thanks for the replies all, I know the BBC Forecasts do seem to be way-off at times, I presume this is down to their change of data provider a while back, I don't really follow them anymore I have to say, I seem to go more with the MO and double check that with what NW has up. They get it correct now and again, but their accuracy does seem to be a bit hit-and-miss.

The rain has stopped here (for now) so going out for a long-ish walk into town, and a local park to get some much needed air. Although I'm finding my walks are getting earlier and earlier in the day which means I need to find things to do in the afternoon! 

[suffolk lady]

thanks for that, no just have scientific minded hubby who likes to try out different things, also for earlier poster we talked of pineapple flavoured tomatos not pineapples

[Daniel*]

My part of London last week Tmax:

Monday = -1.2°C 
Tuesday = 0.1°C

Wednesday = 1.6° C

This week:

Monday = 12.1°C
Tuesday = 10.2°C

Wednesday = 11.8°C 

What a horrible reversal! 

[Jamie M]

Herne Bay Maximums last week:

Monday: -0.1°C

Tuesday: 0.9°C

Wednesday: 1.4°C

This week:

Monday: 10.9°C

Tuesday: 10.0°C

Wednesday: 10.8°C

[Zak M]

Some lovely convective skies at midday today.

 

 

 

Edited February 17, 2021 by Zak M

[yamkin]

Will the very cold conditions return to the SE? MRF Model - CFS shows the cold going all the way into the first half of March................We shall see!!

Edited February 17, 2021 by yamkin

[m1chaels]

2 hours ago, yamkin said:

Will the very cold conditions return to the SE? MRF Model - CFS shows the cold going all the way into the first half of March................We shall see!!

Wasn't the CFS 5 days ago saying we would be back in cold air tomorrow?!

[yamkin]

17 minutes ago, m1chaels said:

Wasn't the CFS 5 days ago saying we would be back in cold air tomorrow?!

Yes, CFS showed cold for tomorrow, but as someone quite rightly pointed out in the model thread, it was an outlier output.

Coincidentally, GFS is also hinting of a colder start to March!

Let's see if this trend continues into next week.

[yamkin]

 

[Tn9]

9 hours ago, yamkin said:

Yes, CFS showed cold for tomorrow, but as someone quite rightly pointed out in the model thread, it was an outlier output.

Coincidentally, GFS is also hinting of a colder start to March!

Let's see if this trend continues into next week.

It has since last cold spell,it puts it there ,takes it way run to run ,but you know something's afoot coz it can't quite fathom where at that time exactly what is going to where ,(which is a good sign I think) something it can't quite grasp ..yet

[Tom Quintavalle]

Morning all,

Hope I find yourselves and your Families, well.

After some early Morning rain, more wet Weather will spread across from the West, in a short while.

Still more unsettled but very mild Weather to come over the next few Days, with a possible 16c/17c on Sunday.

Those of us still hankering after one final shot of Winter, before Spring sets in, will be encouraged and at the same time a little confused, by recent Model Tweets. Will it come from the N. or E.? Not bothered, as long as it comes!!

Past experience tells me, the Weather can be extremely fickle, at this time of Year.

I've seen premature Spring warmth, suddenly be replaced by an Arctic blast and vice versa!!

It's possible, we could see High Pressure close to the U.K., eventually retrogress N.W. towards Greenland.

If so, I'd like to order one of these please:

            06z 4th March 1970                                18z 4th March 1970

 

Below, is a short article from the Kent County Weather Book, regarding the impacts of the event for Kent and especially hundreds of Miners, trapped below ground in the old East Kent Coalfield. The worst affected areas in the County were Romney Marsh, the Elham Valley and Folkestone. You may have to enlarge the image, to be able to read it properly:

I have vague memories of the Event, as I was 14 at the time and living in the far N.W. of the County, in Bromley.

I've also seen a few Snowfalls, in April. Although, I wasn't around at the time of the Snowfall, in the image below.

The photo was taken on 26th April, 1950.

It depicts the scene on Hayes Common, a little over 3 Miles South, of were I was born.

The Snow fell at relatively high temperatures and the very "clinging" nature of it, brought down hundreds of Miles of Telegraph Wires, throughout the County of Kent:

Below, is an archive chart depicting the Synoptic situation, at the time of the event:

       06z Tues. 25th April, 1950

So, those Snow lovers across our Region, don't give up hope just yet, for one last "hurrah" of the White Stuff, before true Spring sets in.

I'd like to thank Ian Currie (Co-Author), of the Kent County Weather Book, for giving his kind permission, for allowing me to reproduce the text and photo, from that Book.

Regards,

Tom.  

[Blessed Weather]

Much as I like snow I must admit to enjoying my early morning walk in these balmy temperatures. And the sky this morning was very atmospheric as an area of cloud/rain from earlier on cleared through giving glimpses of the sun breaking through.

There may be a bit of interest later on today as a cold front passes through giving a narrow band of potentially squally rain. One to watch on the radar.

[stainesbloke]

Milder air moved in here yesterday (reached 7°C), so most of the snow has now thawed. Surprised how quickly the cold air was shunted away.

Sowing my peppers/chillies this week, anyone grown these tiny peppers or these dark tomatoes? Had them out of a jar and they were delicious. Going to try this variety of tomato, not grown it before (won’t sow tomatoes until late March).

[Jamie M]

Can see how the milder air has truly moved in on the Herstmonceux soundings.

-12.3°C at 850 hPa on the 10th at 0z, compared to 0.6°C at 850 hPa today at 0z.

  

[suffolk lady]

 have scientific minded hubby who likes to try out different things, also for earlier poster we talked of pineapple flavoured tomatos not pineapples just had very squally heavy rain and gusty wind, out it dosn't feel mild. reply about  black toms have eaten them very tasty but skins on small toms can be quite tough good luck on growing the seeds 

[magicpatch]

On 17/02/2021 at 10:12, magicpatch said:

Any thoughts for this weekend in South London? 
Looking at the MO/BBC/NW all seem to agree that Saturday is likely to be breezy now, and potentially a bit damp/wet at times to what was forecasted a few days ago. BBC seem to be going for the milder option.

Sunday looks to drier, but both MO/NW seem to have it at around 12c around here with keen breeze still, where as the BBC seem to be out on their own opting for 16c. Is this a case of the BBC doing their usual optimistic forecasting on temps, only likely to downgrade them nearer the time?

Just to quote my own post, seems there’s more agreement for more cloud on Sunday now around these parts, temps around 12-15 depending on what app or site you believe. 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Well.. Days like these you can almost smell the BBQs coming.. Feels lovely in the sun!!! 

[alexisj9]

2 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Well.. Days like these you can almost smell the BBQs coming.. Feels lovely in the sun!!! 

I've still got cloud from that cold front hanging around.

[Jamie M]

23 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

I've still got cloud from that cold front hanging around.

Shouldn't be too far along from you. Cloud has just disappeared from here.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

24 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

I've still got cloud from that cold front hanging around.

Cloud cleared and some sun has come through just gone under a rouge shower but can see blue sky again.. 

Roll on spring! 

[alexisj9]

Yep clearing now.

[Sparky68]

22 hours ago, yamkin said:

Will the very cold conditions return to the SE? MRF Model - CFS shows the cold going all the way into the first half of March................We shall see!!

Daily Express says so, so must be true 

[Fresco1985]

Just a light shower just come past in south west London 

[RustyP]

Nice sunset anvil from north London. Looks on radar that this is from shower over north Kent. About 30miles? 

[NewEra21]

Did anyone order a beast for the start of March? Yes these charts are still way out in fantasy land, but they still keep regularly showing up for the beginning of March. The chase is still on!!