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South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: BEASTERLYS
  • Location: Ramsgate,East Kent.

Morning peeps 

Couple of fresh cm overnight , so a nice squeak under foot.

3rd straight morning snowing all be it light (as I speak heavy).

Bottomed out at -3.2

Currently -1.5

Brisk wind.

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Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
11 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

Probably an inch or so of snow (3cm) here in Reigate now.

does anyone live near Bramley / wonersh? My wife has to head that way for work today? What are the conditions?

Not bad for now. We’re about 10 mins west of there but the snow isn’t heavy. Quite a covering on untreated roads, but it doesn’t look too disruptive at the minute

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
6 minutes ago, Southender said:

Well. Any milder weather will be brief according to the latest METO update.


UK long range weather forecast

Saturday 13 Feb - Monday 22 Feb

It will remain cold or very cold with brisk winds during the start of this period but potentially turning milder over southwestern then western areas for a time, but with a risk of gales at times here. Outbreaks of rain and snow, potentially heavy for some southwestern areas are possible across western and southern areas, whilst mostly dry and bright in the east and north. However with a continued risk of snow showers possible in central and northern areas. Further into this period, snow and attendant wintry hazards are likely to continue which could affect mainly northern areas and eastern areas but not confined to. Overall, conditions look to remain cold but some milder interludes are possible with accompanied unsettled conditions moving in from the west or the southwest.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 9 Feb 2021

Monday 22 Feb - Monday 8 Mar

After a potential spell of milder and wetter conditions for most likely western parts, probably a return to colder and drier conditions overall. Whilst overall conditions are likely to remain cold, there is a continued chance for unsettled, milder interludes arriving from the west or southwest. These may produce a risk of disruptive snowfall during transition periods. Increased confidence at the end of February and the start of March for cold and mostly dry conditions. However, there remains a greater than normal threat of disruptive winter hazards for all areas through this period, with snowfall possible for all areas, but most likely in the east.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 9 Feb 2021

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

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Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Not bad for now. We’re about 10 mins west of there but the snow isn’t heavy. Quite a covering on untreated roads, but it doesn’t look too disruptive at the minute

That’s good news for her, thanks 

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Posted
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
2 minutes ago, JamesL said:

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

Somehow this cold block isn't going g to be pushed away that easily

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Posted
  • Location: Godaming Surrey
  • Location: Godaming Surrey
Just now, JamesL said:

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

There is always a way back tomorrow the models might tell a different storey  

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
4 minutes ago, JamesL said:

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

Ahhh thanks James, really nice of you. 

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Posted
  • Location: SE London (60m ASL)
  • Location: SE London (60m ASL)

Definitely the most impressive spell of snow so far here in Bromley. Put in about a cm in the last hour. Estuary isn’t calming down yet either

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Posted
  • Location: LOWESTOFT (most Easterly town in British Isles)
  • Location: LOWESTOFT (most Easterly town in British Isles)

Can confirm what James says - don't shoot the messenger! 

No harm in hoping, but may as well be a realist as well.

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Posted
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
Just now, jamesgold said:

Definitely the most impressive spell of snow so far here in Bromley. Put in about a cm in the last hour. Estuary isn’t calming down yet either

Agreed mate I am just up the road from you. 

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Posted
  • Location: Bexleyheath (south), Kent
  • Location: Bexleyheath (south), Kent

Moderate snowfall here now. Looks like it's snowed lightly overnight. Been a great spell so far. People's expectations are too high sometimes. It was always going to be better the further east you were. As per the met office warnings which have been spotty on.

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Posted
  • Location: Springfield, Chelmsford, Essex 30Mtr ASL
  • Weather Preferences: snowy or sunny but not too hot!
  • Location: Springfield, Chelmsford, Essex 30Mtr ASL
2 minutes ago, JamesL said:

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

You may well be correct as this is the usual default winter position in the UK. On the other hand until the last two runs there was no turning back from further significant cold streaming in from the east. Carol K this morning was convinced the mild would be repelled over the weekend and make little progress into the UK. 

Call me Mr Positive but there is always a route back.

At the moment snowing quite heavily here and hopefully is set to do so for as few more hours.

Kind Regards

Dave

 

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Posted
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
Just now, PUTIN said:

Can confirm what James says - don't shoot the messenger! 

No harm in hoping, but may as well be a realist as well.

Tbh if all 3 are on board ok. I havent entered the mad thread cause of the sniping in there. Not since this snowy spell started 

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Posted
  • Location: Reigate Surrey
  • Location: Reigate Surrey
6 minutes ago, JamesL said:

This will change today.
 

Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

 

So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

I’m not convinced by one set of 00z runs to be honest . I will accept it if the next two sets show the breakdown not before then. Let’s face it 6hours previously they were hinting at an extended cold spell 

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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
Just now, PUTIN said:

Can confirm what James says - don't shoot the messenger! 

No harm in hoping, but may as well be a realist as well.

I’d love more than anyone to see an extension. They have also moved away from a snowy breakdown too in the west (for me) which is the worst of both worlds! 
 

But it looks like some of you in the SE will get a decent snow event over the next 2 days! 
 

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Posted
  • Location: Cliffe, NrRochester Kent
  • Location: Cliffe, NrRochester Kent

Nice couple of inches here. What’s in store for later today and overnight into tomorrow morning ? 

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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
Just now, claret047 said:

You may well be correct as this is the usual default winter position in the UK. On the other hand until the last two runs there was no turning back from further significant cold streaming in from the east. Carol K this morning was convinced the mild would be repelled over the weekend and make little progress into the UK. 

Call me Mr Positive but there is always a route back.

At the moment snowing quite heavily here and hopefully is set to do so for as few more hours.

Kind Regards

Dave

 

She was still using yesterday’s data sadly 

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