Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward

[Terminal Moraine]

I was looking through the record for Buxton the other day and noticed that the highest maximum in August ( 20.6c ) was the lowest since 1986 but a fortnight later the maximum of 26.2c in September was the highest since 1919. Quite a turnaround!

[DIS1970]

BBC up to it's old tricks again - giving out weather warnings for light rain showers on Sunday, best to give a shrug of the shoulders.

[Terminal Moraine]

Weak sunshine through patches of Cirrus to start the day after a clear night but fog is creeping up the hillsides from the valleys and at the moment there is horizontal visibility of 400 mts with a largely clear sky overhead.

[Terminal Moraine]

Fairly warm and humid with persistent light-moderate drizzle this morning. Current temp' is 15.1c, with 96% humidity.

[Dancerwithwings]

I’ve had my new Weather Station for a couple weeks now and I can’t be bothered at the moment to get it up and running, as there’s very little action so why bother, but that may change this forthcoming week, so tomorrow is the day methinks to get it up and running, WOW if next weekend is to go by in looking at the 06z GFS.....I’d better make sure it’s very secure

 

Edit,

Im sure by the time if you’ve read this, the next GFS run will more likely show nothing of this

Edited September 25, 2021 by Dancerwithwings

[matty40s]

It seemed to be a glorious day outside, but I was stuck in the boat shed painting.

Nipped to Screwfix just before 6 and was amazed by this wall of cloud to the South, it's still there now .

 

[phil b]

Wow 1mm of rain last night! some actual weather

[Midlands Ice Age]

13 minutes ago, phil b said:

Wow 1mm of rain last night! some actual weather

Beat us here  - we had 0.6mms!!

MIA

[Neil Harris]

20 minutes ago, phil b said:

Wow 1mm of rain last night! some actual weather

Give me a September like this  every single time please.

looks like the last pleasant day ahead before Autumn kicks in.

[phil b]

Yeah I agree with you I've been working outside recently and its been lovely.

As a weather enthusiast though its nice to have some interesting weather to look forward to.

Enjoy Today.

[phil b]

35 minutes ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

Beat us here  - we had 0.6mms!!

MIA

Must have been very light drizzle as it didn't even make it onto the Net weather radar! 

[Terminal Moraine]

1.4 mm here, mostly drizzle but there were one or two light showers  on the radar during the early hours, moving up from the south and passing right over here.

[davehsug]

The rain just keeps coming today. There's been the odd torrential burst too. The forecast I saw yesterday, showed a shortish spell, clearing through quickly. It was wrong!

Edited September 28, 2021 by davehsug

[Midlands Ice Age]

3 hours ago, davehsug said:

The rain just keeps coming today. There's been the odd torrential burst too. The forecast I saw yesterday, showed a shortish spell, clearing through quickly. It was wrong!

Held off here until after golf finished.  (!3.30) 

Has been heavy most of the afternoon.  (with floods caused by leaves in blocked drains locally).

A total of about 8mms fell, most of in about 5 mins. 

MIA

[Dancerwithwings]

I posted some very wet a windy charts Saturday just gone, for this forthcoming weekend.

The GFS still won’t drop that idea 

MIA I think you’ll be getting more than just 8mm if this verifies

[davehsug]

Directly in the firing line of the first Irish Sea streamer of the season, and it's belting down. This last 24 hours must have been the wettest for many months.

Was it really only 3 days ago that it was still summer? Roll on next May please,

[MattStoke]

Perfect Cheshire Gap streamer this morning. Shame it's not winter.

[Midlands Ice Age]

14 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

I posted some very wet a windy charts Saturday just gone, for this forthcoming weekend.

The GFS still won’t drop that idea 

MIA I think you’ll be getting more than just 8mm if this verifies

Is it a GFS 'special' though?

I am having my Covid booster at Edgbaston Cricket Ground this pm.

Thought I would give the missus (and me) a treat and stop at a chinese on the way home.

I bet that by 18:00 that the GFS 'starter' to winter has been taken off the menu quicker than my crispy duck (with Seaweed)!! 

If the above comes off, I think the wind will be the major problem. (in both cases!!)  

Though any showers in the wake could well cause more flooding due to the leaves blocking the drains again.

MIA  

[Terminal Moraine]

Very autumnal this morning with continuous moderate rain, a fresh S/SE wind and a current temp' of 8.4c.

On my own personal summer index, the complexities of which I won't bore you with, the summer of 2021 ranked 17th out of the 58 years I've been recording, just above 2005 and just below 1994. The extended summer ( May to September ) ranked 21st. just above 2014 and just below 2019. The score for the summer was 109 and for the extended summer, 87. To put that into context the highest and lowest values for summer and extended summer are 624 in 1976 and -299 in 1985, and 636 in 2018 and -353 in 1972 respectively.

[Gord]

Anyone else hearing this thunder? A few loud cracks just to my east.

[Neil Harris]

On 02/10/2021 at 12:44, Terminal Moraine said:

Very autumnal this morning with continuous moderate rain, a fresh S/SE wind and a current temp' of 8.4c.

On my own personal summer index, the complexities of which I won't bore you with, the summer of 2021 ranked 17th out of the 58 years I've been recording, just above 2005 and just below 1994. The extended summer ( May to September ) ranked 21st. just above 2014 and just below 2019. The score for the summer was 109 and for the extended summer, 87. To put that into context the highest and lowest values for summer and extended summer are 624 in 1976 and -299 in 1985, and 636 in 2018 and -353 in 1972 respectively.

Pleasure bore away. Love stuff like that.

 

 

[BarometerCat]

wowsers!. some really intense downpours just now. You could see the line on the radar.  Very brief but intense!

[MattStoke]

13 hours ago, B-C said:

wowsers!. some really intense downpours just now. You could see the line on the radar.  Very brief but intense!

Timed perfectly with my running club group session. Honestly, half of the group nearly drowned.

[Dancerwithwings]

Nice to yourself Matt popping in

Looking forward to Winter and what maybe.....emmm ?

Far too early to mention what may happen...but we’ll see...hopefully  

[MattStoke]

10 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Nice to yourself Matt popping in

Looking forward to Winter and what maybe.....emmm ?

Far too early to mention what may happen...but we’ll see...hopefully  

I'm liking the talk of a weakened SPV leading into winter and La Nina conditions favouring a 'front loaded' winter, but then I've seen this talk many times before and it's failed to deliver wintry weather.

Also though I'm liking the Met Office contingency planner which reckons October is likely to be settled and mild but November and December likely to bring cold north to north westerlies - Often good around the Cheshire Gap!

Pretty sure there'll be Snow-on-Trent at some point, anyway!