Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward

[andy_leics22]

Now then, that shower activity near The Wash has caught my eye! Could be good for me later, if thar continues heading South Westwards.

Just saw @TEITS post on the last thread. How the devil have you been?! I haven't seen you post for years and years. I don't go into the model thread, just stick to this one  Wasn't even sure if you came on here anymore. Good to see you about  Still playing Gran Turismo?

Edited February 7, 2021 by andy_leics22

[cyclonic happiness]

Wash streamer perking up a bit now 

[bearing]

15 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

bbc weather video for tomorrow looks amazing, not the rest of the week mind you,

From that video, it looks like a battering for most of the day from those streamers.

[MattStoke]

BBC video forecasts won’t yet be picking up on the shower risk fully for Tuesday or Wednesday. It’s not yet in range of the high resolution model they use.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

BBC video forecasts won’t yet be picking up on the shower risk fully for Tuesday or Wednesday. It’s not yet in range of the high resolution model they use.

Aye, was thinking that

[MattStoke]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Aye, was thinking that

They use the Euro4 for their 24 hour ahead forecasts.

[Eskimo]

GFS going for an even colder easterly next week. Unbelievable stuff!

[nobble]

2 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

GFS going for an even colder easterly next week. Unbelievable stuff!

Imagine !

[MattStoke]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

GFS going for an even colder easterly next week. Unbelievable stuff!

Temperatures not getting above freezing for the next 15 days at least.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

GFS going for an even colder easterly next week. Unbelievable stuff!

Aye, on the same level as Feb 28th! lot of uncertainty though

[andy_leics22]

5 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

GFS going for an even colder easterly next week. Unbelievable stuff!

There will be absolute scenes in here if that comes off

The GFS picked up on this current Easterly at around t180, as well. Let's hope it's right about the next potential one

[syed2878]

Quick question guys those wash streamers are they likely to hit Birmingham area or are they going to miss us thank you

[DIS1970]

Direct miss for the West Mids on their current line.

[Eskimo]

1 minute ago, syed2878 said:

Quick question guys those wash streamers are they likely to hit Birmingham area or are they going to miss us thank you

Will need the intensity of showers to be fairly reasonable to offset the drier air over land. If they remain fairly light, they will die out before even hitting Leicester. 

[andy_leics22]

2 minutes ago, syed2878 said:

Quick question guys those wash streamers are they likely to hit Birmingham area or are they going to miss us thank you

It depends. At the moment, they haven't quite got the energy to reach the Birmingham area. That could change

[Sweatyman]

38 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

Wash streamer perking up a bit now 

Not budging past Leicester for last hour and half !!

[Gord]

4 minutes ago, DIS1970 said:

Direct miss for the West Mids on their current line.

On the current trajectory, you’re right. We need to be looking in a line that goes through Nottingham and Lincoln and off the coast south of Grimsby.

But don’t forget storm Darcy is still spinning away to the southeast and as she sinks, winds might eventually get back to a more straight easterly.

[WelfordRd]

They are not lined up correctly to hit Birmingham

[pegg24]

Snowing in Corby 

[andy_leics22]

3 minutes ago, pegg24 said:

Snowing in Corby 

Good sign! Now send it down here, will ya!

[DIS1970]

3 minutes ago, Gord said:

On the current trajectory, you’re right. We need to be looking in a line that goes through Nottingham and Lincoln and off the coast south of Grimsby.

But don’t forget storm Darcy is still spinning away to the southeast and as she sinks, winds might eventually get back to a more straight easterly.

Yeah, it's the low dragging the winds to a NE direction.

[bearing]

Looks like the low is starting to pull away. Hopefully that will start to change the trajectories

[pegg24]

3 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

Good sign! Now send it down here, will ya!

Hopefully the steamer carries on for us 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, bearing said:

Looks like the low is starting to pull away. Hopefully that will start to change the trajectories

Good to see you back on! Jan 24th was a great day! much better winter this year

[kev238]

The Met Office app moves from a light snow symbol to a heavy snow symbol at around 70-80% probability . I really wouldn’t follow them too literally 

Also 24hrs of light snow symbols with a % of 50% does not mean 24hrs of continuous snow