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North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

Had Worse

By Had Worse
in Northwest Weather Discussion

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

A bland day very average, max 9 degrees just, rain this morning, cloudy this afternoon..

Looks like we might have some weather to talk about mid week.

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted (edited)

Snow a possibility over higher ground Thurs Fri and Sat according to BBC breakfast 

C.S

Edited by cheshire snow
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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted

Looking at the models we certainly haven't left winter behind, although the GFS and ECM operationals are almost certainly exagerrating the easterly later on, it does look like some kind of winter could extend into April this year. 

Also I am of the opinion the summer is likely to be quite poor for warmth and settled weather as the jet meanders it's way northwards (over us) during the course of the summer (the long term seasonal models tend to agree)

But in terms of historical analogues for next winter that means...

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Author
Posted
1 hour ago, WillinGlossop said:

-1c nice sunrise... geese fly past on opening curtains... 

They flew over my house too.

No sun now. Grey still and dank.

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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted

Just to contradict my above post a bit have you seen the similarities between now and the 6z forecast v March 2003. Similar patterns leading the GFS to thrash out a similar scenario to 2003. Obviously the models are struggling with the exact placement of the pattern but interesting to analyse if nothing else 

received_782473639349021.jpeg

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received_267035758352168.jpeg

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

It's March.

I'm not interested in this at all.

1311984049_h500slp(1).thumb.png.432c699c23741dfc388a082836af748d.png

 

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

More like it - out at sea.

h500slp.thumb.png.8dfe8963cc9a6f9a3cc88709b5700b4f.png

Possible 972mb @3am at least it's the early hours.

"The March winds do blow"

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted
3 hours ago, SP1986 said:

Looking at the models we certainly haven't left winter behind, although the GFS and ECM operationals are almost certainly exagerrating the easterly later on, it does look like some kind of winter could extend into April this year. 

Also I am of the opinion the summer is likely to be quite poor for warmth and settled weather as the jet meanders it's way northwards (over us) during the course of the summer (the long term seasonal models tend to agree)

But in terms of historical analogues for next winter that means...

Winter not done my any means.

But Summer is a long way off to predict anything at all.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted
5 hours ago, cheshire snow said:

Snow a possibility over higher ground Thurs Fri and Sat according to BBC breakfast 

C.S

Freezing level 400m roughly expected, I think some of the maxima is rather high for Saturday, sub 528 dam air from Thursday. Under any showers temps will drop to about 3 or 4 degrees.. so yes some decent snowfall on high ground. All very normal for March which on high ground is often every bit as snowy as Jan Feb, this year has been odd last 3 weeks bare free of snow due to lack of precipitation

 

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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted
2 hours ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Winter not done my any means.

But Summer is a long way off to predict anything at all.

True. Well I suppose we should enjoy the next few days it might be the most interesting weather we have for a few weeks

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted (edited)

I can't see us having a spring like last year (which is a shame because May is by far my favourite month) but probably a safe bet that some hot, sticky humid weather will invade us from the south during High Summer.  We are after all cooking our planet.

Edited by dodge
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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted
50 minutes ago, dodge said:

I can't see us having a spring like last year (which is a shame because May is by far my favourite month) but probably a safe bet that some hot, sticky humid weather will invade us from the south during High Summer.  We are after all cooking our planet.

Didn't feel like it after that Easterly.

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted

Yes the weather might not play ball this Spring, who knows, but I guess we are only just over a week into it so plenty of time left. May can be a stunning month though - strong sun to get the Vit D topped up, short nights & low humidity. It's usually a decent month in the NW, sometimes the best of the year for dry, sunny and warm temperatures. Back to the here and now and finally some action on the weather front after boring nothingness. I really detest this weather we've had lately....not that cold but not warm either and often rather cloudy. It doesn't inspire the weather enthusiast.

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severe snowstorm Maestro

severe snowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
Posted

Yes, rather mundane weather in recent days. However, the predominantly dry weather over the past week or two has really allowed things to dry out. This has been great for getting out on the bike and much better than having to cycle through saturated bogs.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted
2 hours ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Yes the weather might not play ball this Spring, who knows, but I guess we are only just over a week into it so plenty of time left. May can be a stunning month though - strong sun to get the Vit D topped up, short nights & low humidity. It's usually a decent month in the NW, sometimes the best of the year for dry, sunny and warm temperatures. Back to the here and now and finally some action on the weather front after boring nothingness. I really detest this weather we've had lately....not that cold but not warm either and often rather cloudy. It doesn't inspire the weather enthusiast.

May is my favourite month weatherwise, can be superb think 2018! Generally it is a month full of positiveness and apprehension for the summer.

In the here and now.. March is about to come alive.. it has been a mundane rather cold start.

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted
2 minutes ago, Ramp said:

Seeing a snowflake symbol for Saturday still on the app, I’m not convinced.

Please.

No.

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

    Rattling through in the early hours.

ukgust.thumb.png.15196461c335f1437409b37fd1225afb.png

Still looking a bit on the vicious side.

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