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North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Newhey, Lancashire ( 165m a/s/l )
33 minutes ago, dodge said:

IMBY Just about scrapes into the updated warning area, but the good news is areas that could see a bit more substantial snow i.e. Saddleworth is within my scope of 'Lockdown' exercise in only going to places you can walk back from.  Longish walk...but still plausible.

Ogden, Denshaw, Saddleworth Moors all within my radius for snow fun (cough) I mean exercise

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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.

Away from the Radar 

Yes - cr* p  PPN risks charts -  but 06z for the Front on Friday...….

+120

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+123

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Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl

Just been out for daily exercise and perfect for doing so. Cold with a biting E/NE wind and an occasional flurry of snow. 

I wouldn't get too hung up on the warnings, whether you are inside or out. Much uncertainty as shown by the accompanying matrix which shows relatively high impact but probability at bottom of scale. Granted, chances will be greater the further East you are but the models indicate decent potential at times for many parts of the region.

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Posted
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, storms
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL

A few snow grains and flakes coming down here. Very light. But I’m hoping it’s a good sign

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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.

SE looks like getting battered 

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

Snowing here 

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

Wow, SE getting hammered. They get the best summer weather and the best snow. Unfair. 

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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67

A few flakes of snow here. Not enough to tell if it’s settling or not. 2.2°C, DP about -2.

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Posted
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat, thunderstorms and winter snow
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL
3 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

Wow, SE getting hammered. They get the best summer weather and the best snow. Unfair. 

When you say SE its mainly Kent, Sussex into EA that are getting the heavy snow. London westwards towards places like Berkshire, Surrey and home counties north of London like Hertfordshire towards Milton Keynes etc... are pretty miffed its not a SE wide event. Kent has got a great climate though warm-hot summers and always best placed in these BFTE scenarios.  

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Not wildly enamoured by the 06z EURO4’s position of the streamer. It now looks like we will miss it and it will go to our south (maybe Cheshire will get it), however there are opportunities further north in the region if you run the frames. 06z GEM is similar @Day 10
 

BUT 

- there are still likely to be showers 

- it might be wrong 

I think this is the last time I look at a high- res model and I’ll just stick to the radar from now on (yeah right). 

The ENE’ly will push the Humber streamer to our south most likely. 

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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

Liverpool and Manchester Airport is going for light snow

Temporary
from 07 at 12 UTC to 07 at 24 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the East with gusts up to 25 kt

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft

light snow

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 08 at 00 UTC to 08 at 03 UTC

Visibility: 5000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

light snow

Temporary
from 08 at 03 UTC to 08 at 18 UTC

Visibility: 5000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

light snow showers

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Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL

Just flurries here today. Main interest I think will be tomorrow. Inside the warning area here so it'll hopefully be interesting.

Edited by Frost HoIIow
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Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
1 minute ago, Weather-history said:

Liverpool and Manchester Airport is going for light snow

Temporary
from 07 at 12 UTC to 07 at 24 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the East with gusts up to 25 kt

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft

light snow

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 08 at 00 UTC to 08 at 03 UTC

Visibility: 5000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

light snow

Temporary
from 08 at 03 UTC to 08 at 18 UTC

Visibility: 5000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1000 ft

light snow showers

Pretty sure that's an upgrade on the Liverpool TAF as now showing chance of light snow all day today. I don't think it was showing this on the previous update.

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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
Just now, Dexter said:

Pretty sure that's an upgrade on the Liverpool TAF as now showing chance of light snow all day today. I don't think it was showing this on the previous update.

It has gone from nothing to light snow showers to light snow.

Not sure where the light snow is coming from? 

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Posted
  • Location: Wallasey Village, Wirral. 15.7m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Temps under 25 degrees and Disruptive Heavy Snowfall any other time
  • Location: Wallasey Village, Wirral. 15.7m ASL.

Been out walking along the prom in New Brighton for the past hour and there have been tiny little bits of snow floating around in the brisk icy breeze!

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Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
17 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

Wow, SE getting hammered. They get the best summer weather and the best snow. Unfair. 

Let them have their fun. Had quite a bit of snow up here this year, this is the first for a lot of them in 3 years.

 

Once that low clears out the way things should be better for us. 

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Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frosty nights, thunderstorms and the odd gale
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
3 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

It has gone from nothing to light snow showers to light snow.

Not sure where the light snow is coming from? 

The radar is showing flurries getting right across to there now. We've had flurries on and off for the past 30 mins which has now got more intense. Radar looking more and more promising.

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Posted
  • Location: 6 miles west of Manchester 50m asl
  • Location: 6 miles west of Manchester 50m asl

Was really disheartened last night as the really strong echoes were just instantly dying as they hit Manchester but the showers today seem to be surviving much better and even the light ones seem to be making it over. Nothing more than a few flurries here so far but feeling more hopeful now for the next few days. 

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