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North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Crewe
  • Location: Crewe
4 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

What a chart for T+78. A cause for celebration. I’d genuinely be very surprised if it was dry. 
 

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This is what I've been looking out for too. On the face of it, direct easterlies gradually give lower falls the further west you are...that I agree with and is what many people are worried about.

 

...but I have been saying (to myself) that if we get some disturbances, kinks etc then we all have a chance of a decent fall as that will still make it over the Pennines...even if it's a few cm. Fingers crossed for more of that kinky shizzle  

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Just now, IM NOT REALLY HERE said:

If I remember correctly, showers coming from slightly south of east rarely make it to my location but showers slightly north of east usually do. Maybe somebody could correct me? 

I’m struggling with the same question to be honest.. the flow looks generally direct E’ly with a slight ENE’ly element on Sunday? How that impacts Greater Manchester I don’t know. 

All depends of course on where the showers hit the east coast - I remember in previous easterlies showers congregating around the Humber is usually good news for us. Lots of radar watching early next week. 

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Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl

This should cheer a few folk up. That feature we've been keeping an eye on bares a remarkable similarity to some old 2010 streamer set ups that I think people in this thread have said many times is one of the best snowfalls from an Easterly over here. Unfortunately / fortunately dependent on your exact location it's sunk slightly south on the latest GFS on Monday before pushing back north of Tuesday, potential for snow everywhere in the region on this.

 

image.thumb.png.a2a357f08b1ee8e4fc3cd16c14dd4bf3.pngimage.thumb.png.0c5f6445b29012ae0d2a2a8270509143.png

 

 

1 hour ago, Craigers said:

Here you go everyone

radara_22450.225434393695654.thumb.png.540cd138d31ca22e8400f1bcfed65947.pngradara_00150.825228748683916.thumb.png.9d32ff699a91f511d0e9bcca8ceb71c3.pngradara_05450.92589948519981.thumb.png.502c5d6d836406f1661bf0f9fe9e54db.png

radara_00300.404448873437108.png

radara_01000.0114987882125241.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
1 minute ago, Joe Bloggs said:

I’m struggling with the same question to be honest.. the flow looks generally direct E’ly with a slight ENE’ly element on Sunday? How that impacts Greater Manchester I don’t know. 

All depends of course on where the showers hit the east coast - I remember in previous easterlies showers congregating around the Humber is usually good news for us. Lots of radar watching early next week. 

Airflow through until Wednesday predominantly ENE.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
5 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Airflow through until Wednesday predominantly ENE.

In that case I want Bridlington to receive the bulk of the North Sea showers.

Will be interesting to see what happens. 

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Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl

image.thumb.png.52cf8db9362168a6b3a8414809437d12.png

 

Taking from the far north thread (apologise I like to earwig the other ones) - no source but supposedly a meteorologist's predictions for next weeks snow spell. 

 

Some meteorologist if they think the Blackpool Coast and the Wirral can see 5-10cms from an easterly? 

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Just now, Frosty the Snowman said:

image.thumb.png.52cf8db9362168a6b3a8414809437d12.png

 

Taking from the far north thread (apologise I like to earwig the other ones) - no source but supposedly a meteorologist's predictions for next weeks snow spell. 

 

Some meteorologist if they think the Blackpool Coast and the Wirral can see 5-10cms from an easterly? 

To be honest the flow is very slow moving so any streamer would be quite prolonged. So possible to see 5-10cm very locally west of the Pennines.

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Posted
  • Location: Bigrigg, West Cumbria 96m ASL
  • Location: Bigrigg, West Cumbria 96m ASL
6 minutes ago, Frosty the Snowman said:

image.thumb.png.52cf8db9362168a6b3a8414809437d12.png

 

Taking from the far north thread (apologise I like to earwig the other ones) - no source but supposedly a meteorologist's predictions for next weeks snow spell. 

 

Some meteorologist if they think the Blackpool Coast and the Wirral can see 5-10cms from an easterly? 

And look at Cumbria.....it’s a whiteout already!!!

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Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
5 minutes ago, Frosty the Snowman said:

image.thumb.png.845059a41abb29940022cb9d2e30b1f8.png

 

Thursday - in from the SW 

 

High risk high reward scenario for a battleground breakdown

 

image.thumb.png.ba72ea69e48dec4e0e65c37fa275200d.png

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The breakdown will be later than thurs/fri. Anyways nice posts to go to bed on there

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

18z GFS gives cumulative total of 13.9cm snow here next week. 
 

9cm of it from showers, the remainder from a frontal push. 
 

Not to be trusted, but at least there’s a signal. 

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Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
Just now, Joe Bloggs said:

18z GFS gives cumulative total of 13.9cm snow here next week. 
 

9cm of it from showers, the remainder from a frontal push. 
 

Not to be trusted, but at least there’s a signal. 

What link are you using?

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Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
7 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

18z GFS gives cumulative total of 13.9cm snow here next week. 
 

9cm of it from showers, the remainder from a frontal push. 
 

Not to be trusted, but at least there’s a signal. 

10.9cm cumulative here, but to be honest, given day time temperatures are going to rise on some days above 0C there may be some melting, though very minimal if it happens, along with sun melt. so the maximum on the ground at any one time will probably be closer to 4-5cm if it happens.

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Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

UKV bringing the cold in even earlier...

image.thumb.png.6bf0c312b444b2641eff4ec8adcd41d3.png18Z UKV run  Vs  21ZUKV / Sat 09:00

image.thumb.png.4330b442680d27826b122b36ba6936c3.png18Z UKV run  Vs  21ZUKV / Sat 10:00

 Also slowly getting on board showing better potential for streamers getting further west  

image.thumb.png.14079e618c591659a9e4eb208851b506.png< Saturday 21:00 

image.thumb.png.8a7c772c920eb1c02c22f799ab0e257d.png<Sun 03:00

 

Lets see what the next updates bring...

Edited by SnowWatcher2
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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.

W Lowland and coastal looking for scraps of ppn streaming over from the E. Not so according to 00z GFS as the front piles in from the SW. This is +150 Thursday.

8B5106B8-894C-446D-B25A-556AB8F6331E.thumb.png.0c457ae658f5b5aae76426a57eaf3842.png

Stalling front? 

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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
7 hours ago, Kasim Awan said:

Humber streamer - Hull > Scunthorpe > Doncaster > Sheffield > Glossop > Irlam (then it Peters out)

image.thumb.png.ab56b66e554c7adab0a01c5f52c4787d.png

That’s more like it! 

Thursday for us when the front barrels in from the SW. 

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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
9 hours ago, I Cumbria Marra I said:

 

20210204_204243.jpg

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