North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

[iand61]

2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Say the same for here but if the winds are strong I doubt I’ll get a measurement 

Pretty sure Oldham will be in the firing line for any snow on offer, especially over towards Saddleworth but I’m expecting many areas will get decent amounts and hoping that every square inch of our region turns white and stays like that for several days.

[frosty ground]

2018 small drifts

[Kasim Awan]

For this region, I am interested in Saturday as it is an ENE wind, so slightly lower "sheild precipitation loss" rates means the precip may make it over to Manchester, Central Lancashire, and East Cheshire / East Staffordshire as a wintry mix (note the hill run in Cheshire/Staffordshire is longer so will be a bit more restricted East here). But unfortunately heights look a little higher - meaning there will be some Fohen effect -  into low lying North West the Fohen effect increases air temp & decreases dew points (dries the air) AS the air descends through the low levels. This means that the precipitation gradient is often at 100 metres in East Manchester / Cheshire, as opposed to in the middle of the Pennines. So, I expect snow is likely to about this level on Saturday, possible further west if the front is stronger maybe 1-3cm.

Still saying M6 east (away from Cumbria where snow may fall west of the M6) for disruptive shower activity next week as heights look a little higher on the latest output, so possibly amounts maybe three quarters of BFTE 1 if latest Arpege/GFS verify. Of course get a trough in the flow & then quite easily further west with precipitation.

[iand61]

2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

2018 small drifts

Must be the inner child trying to get out but I love to see snowdrifts, even the small ones against kerbs.

[itsnowjoke]

Raining here

[frosty ground]

1 minute ago, iand61 said:

Must be the inner child trying to get out but I love to see snowdrifts, even the small ones against kerbs.

Assuming the snow comes I will be out and about looking for them 

[Slidergate '17]

26 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Well let’s have a bit of fun. By 5pm on Wednesday 10th Feb predict your snow depth  I’m going for a dusting barely measurable - say 1cm. Let’s go for concrete in back or front garden. 
 

 

I reckon 2cm max here... and I'd be delighted with that off an easterly 

[iand61]

3 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

Raining here

BBQ’s out here, just been out doing my bit of clapping for Sir Tom and it’s dry and feels pretty mild.

hard to believe that we’ve got a Day After Tomorrow spell of weather on its way by weekend.

[Winter Hill]

Expect about 100 pages in the mad thread in the next hour.. mild sector in the south east on the ECM 

[Wardlegacy]

Low ground on the road from Macclesfield to Wilmslow March 2018. 

[Spah1]

So far we have 

Spah1 - Chorley- 1cm

Frosty the Snowman- Blackburn - 6inch

Andypvfc - Cheshire - 2cm

iand61 - Bacup - 10-30cm

Snow Free Zone - Preston - 0cm

JoE Snow - Sandbach - 5cm

Slidergate17 - Sale - 2cm

Dealine for entry 5pm Thursday! 

Whoever is closest I’ll PayPal £5 for a couple of beers! 

Edited February 3, 2021 by Spah1

[Thunder Snow]

Not looking particularly good for Cumbria 

[Winter Hill]

I’ll go about 10cm 

[chicken soup]

4 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

So far we have 

Spah1 - Chorley- 1cm

Frosty the Snowman- Blackburn - 6inch

Andypvfc - Cheshire - 2cm

iand61 - Bacup - 10-30cm

Snow Free Zone - Preston - 0cm

JoE Snow - Sandbach - 5cm

Slidergate17 - Sale - 2cm

Whoever is closest I’ll PayPal £5 for a couple of beers! 

I'll add a light dusting for Blackburn blowing about in the wind. 

[WillinGlossop]

Hoping to get 15cm/6+ inches for most snow so far this winter ... had 4-5 inches early December 

Edited February 3, 2021 by WillinGlossop

[Spah1]

Chicken Soup and Winter Hill and Glossop added

Edited February 3, 2021 by Spah1

[Day 10]

That was a belter of a forecast on the BBC just then!

[Osca31]

39 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Well let’s have a bit of fun. By 5pm on Wednesday 10th Feb predict your snow depth  I’m going for a dusting barely measurable - say 1cm. Let’s go for concrete in back or front garden. 
 

 

Given recent easterlies I reckon 1cm at best.

[iand61]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

That was a belter of a forecast on the BBC just then!

For us or just the east and SE

[robbo88]

I got 12 cm in bfte1 and basing on what kasim wrote, ill go for like 8cm

Edited February 3, 2021 by robbo88

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, iand61 said:

For us or just the east and SE

For most of us, snow pilling across east to west as that low slips South Saturday & Sunday.

[NickyB]

3 minutes ago, iand61 said:

For us or just the east and SE

 

[Joe Bloggs]

I’m feeling ever so slightly less optimistic tonight , based on Kasim’s post, a slightly slacker flow on a few of the charts . Only slightly. 

Put me down for 4cm, that’s probably being optimistic for here but we’ll see ! 

[cheshire snow]

Bbc weather 

ECM -12 uppers and snow showers piling in Wednesday 

@Spah1 I am going for a historic event here 12cm for South cheshire some where in this region i am going for 30cm

C.S

[damianslaw]

6 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Not looking particularly good for Cumbria 

I wouldn't worry at this stage. Every chance snow will make it to Cumbria, Carlisle is about 60 miles from east coast.. far closer than most of rest of region.