Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?


Recommended Posts

Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
  • Replies 3.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Just a quick one, locations should now be displaying on posts if you're on a mobile. 🙂 

News just in ! The Crunchy Snow and Ice Day Committee will be meeting at 7pm .  On the agenda . Depth of cold and likely duration . Frontal snow prospects . Chances of a prope

We should all sit back and forget about snowfall, breakdown of cold spell and marvel at the N Hemisphere chart at only +48. I have lost count how many times I have drooled at +384 charts but even thos

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey

    Navgem a bit meh in comparison to most other models this morning . Not so mighty Navgem .

    0129B0D7-3B3D-48C7-A12E-EAEAB36656DD.png

    0254C86D-C709-4A9B-81FB-87FB34E80DD2.png

    15C13730-5EA3-459E-8AA3-B180AF43AA4F.png

    C30A0176-611D-424C-8102-D59182369FDE.png

    102E7031-20F0-484E-9150-9940F06AEDC3.png

    458D167F-AAC0-4B06-A87C-45A48D0DD11E.png

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    41 minutes ago, Paul said:

    The UKV is still steady in bringing the cold south over the weekend, with snow showers from the east. And whisper it quietly, but this also includes the south!

    ukv3z-2.png ukv3z-4.png ukv-3z-6.png

    prec1.png prec3.png prec5.png

    The UKV is the Met Office's operational hi-res deterministic model - more info here:

    visual-cortex-of-uk-temperatures.png
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    The Unified Model is run operationally in a number of configurations for weather forecasting at the Met Office.

     

    Very tasty UKV update, the set-up for Sunday morning there looks very interesting as the low gets far enough south to bring that more sustained area of snow into the south.

    Monday morning probably a little drier for the south but plenty of snow showers coming into the east coast.

    Wind flow looks good for a streamer down the Wash into areas that have in recent years struggled for snowfall in W.EA.

    • Like 8
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, 230ft ASL
  • Location: Maidstone, 230ft ASL

    So in election night style are we able to call it for the Beast yet?  The models look well aligned enough in my limited knowledge of models to call it.  Or do we still need to wait for some seats to be counted?  How is the swingometer looking?

     

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Amazing models! still not excited yet as it's FI, but one of best GFS and EC, I think I've seen, no mild air at all on GFS op, after Sat 6th

    Understandable and we are so close now!  Come on, lets not be let down at the very last minute!  I admit, I did breathe a sigh of relief seeing the models this morning.......

    Edited by Don
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    2 minutes ago, James Maidstone said:

    So in election night style are we able to call it for the Beast yet?  The models look well aligned enough in my limited knowledge of models to call it.  Or do we still need to wait for some seats to be counted?  How is the swingometer looking?

     

    Wait, be patient, tell no one and relax... 

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent
    2 minutes ago, James Maidstone said:

    So in election night style are we able to call it for the Beast yet?  The models look well aligned enough in my limited knowledge of models to call it.  Or do we still need to wait for some seats to be counted?  How is the swingometer looking?

     

    Landslide...

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
    3 minutes ago, James Maidstone said:

    So in election night style are we able to call it for the Beast yet?  The models look well aligned enough in my limited knowledge of models to call it.  Or do we still need to wait for some seats to be counted?  How is the swingometer looking?

     

    Only up to +72 is fairly nailed on right now. Air cold enough for snow does not look likely for the southern half of the uk until sunday so i wouldn't be calling it until after the 12z outputs tomorrow. 

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
    1 hour ago, Paul said:

    Just a quick one, locations should now be displaying on posts if you're on a mobile. 🙂 

    Brilliant.So useful to see.

    The models this morning are lining up much more in tune with the further outlooks we have seen from Exeter in recent days.

    There has been no talk their of the SE staying less cold.

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: NW London
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: NW London

    image.thumb.png.a10e0ab84cca9f082b86092ca4c1f25b.png

    Icon better and further south.. 

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I'm back from my sabbatical, and clearly the outlook has improved. Don't be to downbeat, should the GFS 06Z throw another wobbly, though, as it's been very 'consistent' these past few days...😁

    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Chester le street
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, heat, storms
  • Location: Chester le street
    2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    Looks like the Atlantic is going under at day 5 on the ICON. The only way this could get any more perfect would be for he pattern to shift south another 100 miles so the far south can join in the deeper cold.  ...but I’m being very greedy ! 

    97C33C82-B649-4BB1-8CDE-0B46CDDD756E.png

    Looks great to me 👍

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow,snow !!!!
  • Location: Devon

    Yes please!!!!!!

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le

    @Paul

    Maybe worth starting a cold spell thread so members can post pictures and have general chat.

    Back to the models All looking  fantastic this morning. 

    C.S

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Yeah the pattern is sticking around decently post 120hrs based on that 120hrs ICON, could be a snow risk coming in from the south-west around Thurs-Fri baqsed on the 120hrs ICON, however staying cold and snowy, especially for the east.

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)

    Looks about 1 mile further south at t06 🤣

    549DC9F5-5CB1-4397-AF39-74C13BD80881.png

    • Like 7
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
    1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

    @Paul

    Maybe worth starting a cold spell thread so members can post pictures and have general chat.

    Back to the models All looking  fantastic this morning. 

    C.S

    There’s the banter and moans thread for that.

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
    5 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    Looks like the Atlantic is going under at day 5 on the ICON. The only way this could get any more perfect would be for he pattern to shift south another 100 miles so the far south can join in the deeper cold.  ...but I’m being very greedy ! 

    97C33C82-B649-4BB1-8CDE-0B46CDDD756E.png

    That wedge of heights is consistently showing up to the ne . That’s key to keeping the jet to the south of the UK.

    • Like 8
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Message added by Paul,

    It's a busy time right now, so please ensure you only post about the model output in this thread. 

    For local snow discussion and will it snow posts, please use the regional threads
    And for more general chat please use the chat, moans and ramps thread.

    There's now also a cold spell chat and discusison thread.

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...