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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Wokingham
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny summers and snowy winters
  • Location: Wokingham
    Just now, Timmytour said:

    Mention of 20 foot drifts in this report and the spell had only just got going 

     

    1987 winter

    20 feet is believable. 30 ft (thick end of 10m!!) isn't.....

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    Posted
  • Location: Wokingham
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny summers and snowy winters
  • Location: Wokingham
    2 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

    Red warning? 

    Say it aint so...

    extension of amber + a red is the speculation 😍

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    Posted
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
    2 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

    Red warning? 

    Say it aint so...

    I thought red warnings are only issued when there is immediate danger to life, not 36-48 hours before the event.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
    4 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

    Red warning? 

    Say it aint so...

    I’d be surprised if it went red tonight. Tomorrow I could understand. 

    Perhaps an extension of the amber zone.

    Or completely nothing related 🤣

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
    17 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    And I can absolutely back Paul up with this. I was living in Southend at the time and we had close to 2 level feet of snow. The easterly was blowing for 5-6 days solid and the drifting was just insane, particularly around hedgerows at the edge of fields. The number 1 event for me by a country mile 

    Yep my fathers favourite winter story . He is a plumber and it was the busiest time ever once the thaw set in that year . 

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    Posted
  • Location: SW
  • Location: SW
    4 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    That euro 4 shows nearly 20cm of snow out east 

    5-10cm of snow across London and into Richmond Twickenham etc and even out to bracknell Reading.. 

    If its what the met are going off and ignoring the other high res models then I would expect them to be looking at it very carefully.. 

    Must note Euro4 most westerly solution this evening so far 

    Evening Surrey, is this for Sunday?

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    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent - 25m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, heat aka summer + snow
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent - 25m asl

    Looking forward to darting around Knole park with a sledge in one hand and a go pro in the other. As usual, snow shield may be in force here but not far at all to gain some elevation in the north downs. As a runner it could be interesting to say the least these next few days. Although, having said that I have only gone running once in the snow.. January just gone and on trails.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
    10 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    EURO4 12z 

    Picking up on the Thames aiding in PPN rates as well some big totals even inland 

    Screenshot_20210205_185641_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.891090cf05a06f47f870115cf7826b3a.jpg

    Yep it was my 1st thought when I saw the charts .

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    Posted
  • Location: waltham abbey, essex 142ft a.s.l
  • Location: waltham abbey, essex 142ft a.s.l
    10 minutes ago, Southender said:

    👀

    31019A21-3054-49D8-A8E2-D9436BF3D4A9.jpeg

    I saw that! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Margate
  • Weather Preferences: Anything and everything
  • Location: Margate
    19 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    And I can absolutely back Paul up with this. I was living in Southend at the time and we had close to 2 level feet of snow. The easterly was blowing for 5-6 days solid and the drifting was just insane, particularly around hedgerows at the edge of fields. The number 1 event for me by a country mile 

    Yes I ok was living in southend at the time and can vouch for the amount 

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    2 minutes ago, Ian Docwra said:

    I thought red warnings are only issued when there is immediate danger to life, not 36-48 hours before the event.

    Usually yes, though they will do it in advance if the models show enough of a justification. I think they issued a red ahead of storm Emma due to model convergence.

    I definately think a red warning is possible simple due to the length of time those snow showers are going to be packing in to core areas. I'd imagine there are some talks about that happening right now in light of nearly all the 12z giving significant snowfalls to areas in the amber zone.

    Maybe enough to justify an extension of amber warning towards London as well which would be news worthy as well.

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    Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Snow and more Snow!
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
    1 minute ago, kold weather said:

    Usually yes, though they will do it in advance if the models show enough of a justification. I think they issued a red ahead of storm Emma due to model convergence.

    I definately think a red warning is possible simple due to the length of time those snow showers are going to be packing in to core areas. I'd imagine there are some talks about that happening right now in light of nearly all the 12z giving significant snowfalls to areas in the amber zone.

    Maybe enough to justify an extension of amber warning towards London as well which would be news worthy as well.

    I’m thinking extend the Amber out to Tuesday personally 

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Cambridge
  • Location: Nr Cambridge
    5 minutes ago, WheresTheSnow said:

    So what would we say the probability of this shifting further west in the following runs over the next 24 hours?

    Very low I would have thought

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    12z AROME already upto 10-15cms by 13z on Sunday and plenty more showers packing in.

    30-40cms locally down in N.Kent if that sort of rate keeps up for a long period of time.

    once winds shift ENE again late Monday that area will shift upstream to give usual Thames streamer locations a decent amount of snow though too early to know how strong any streamer will be at this point, especially given there will be frontal cloud perhaps coming nearby on Tuesday from the SW.

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    Posted
  • Location: Canvey Island
  • Location: Canvey Island
    1 hour ago, Lord Grogon said:

    Oh to be living in Germany now. No worries about being on the edge of the snow band there....

    On a stiff beasterly I was hoping all that was coming our way.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sompting, west sussex 10 miles west from brighton
  • Location: Sompting, west sussex 10 miles west from brighton

    Don’t think I will be sleeping tomorrow night lol waiting for my first flake of snow since 2019

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    Posted
  • Location: Mid Essex
  • Location: Mid Essex
    20 minutes ago, Timmytour said:

    Mention of 20 foot drifts in this report and the spell had only just got going 

     

    1987 winter

    snow-fall-almost-bliizzard-conditions.jp
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    The list below may look like something that would happen in the Arctic, but all of them happened in the UK during two particularly severe winters - in 1947 and 1963.


     

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
    2 minutes ago, clark3r said:

    Don’t think I will be sleeping tomorrow night lol waiting for my first flake of snow since 2019

    Yep, all nighter for me!

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Southend, Essex
  • Location: Near Southend, Essex

    Why do I feel like we're still just going to England up with cold rain in South East Essex?

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    Posted
  • Location: Canvey Island
  • Location: Canvey Island
    1 hour ago, Paul Sherman said:

    SE Essex out near Foulness - The East wind was so strong they had to plough through to villages cut off for 5 days and made a dome over the roads - Have some pictures somewhere 

    48cm of level snow in some spots

    Best snowfall in my lifetime. 50+cm in some places here and a guy I know who lives in Great Wakering had a 12 foot drift up the side of his house. Some really impressive icicles as well.   

    Snow 1987.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Hatfield Peverel near Chelmsford Essex
  • Location: Hatfield Peverel near Chelmsford Essex

    What are the wind speeds going to be when compared to 2018? Is there more drift potential this time?

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