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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards


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I suppose not really weather related but I just wanted to say thank you all so much.  I've really really enjoyed following the posts today.  I am awaiting Open Heart Surgery sometime this year and you

Oh my f**king god. How many times does it need saying? 1. The amber doesn't expire until tomorrow midday 2. Widespread heavy showers & streamers are going to follow later, tonight,

Evening. Here's my estimated #snow depths for England and Wales that I expect until noon on Monday, using a blend of high resolution models.

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Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
    5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    You can actually see the bands starting to already become a little more discrete on the front edge there.

    Also if you look at 2hrs ago and compare it to now I don't think it can be denied that the system is starting to weaken when looking at it overall. This process will slowly continue as it starts to become dominated by the stronger convective bands. which will then give a short burst of snowfall for those further west which won't be giving too much as the bands further west outside of that heavy zone are pretty modest at this point and there is no obvious reason why it would get more intense at this point unless an embedded streamer kicks in, which as of yet no real sign.

    The radar returns building more in intensity west of Colchester, which seem to be moving towards the eastern side of London:

    51BDF406-F4BE-4AE4-B0E1-069AB0E40E77.thumb.jpeg.ff9f3096df3829d7a221b3c2ede33688.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Thurrock, Essex
  • Location: Thurrock, Essex
    1 minute ago, Lord Grogon said:

    Bit of a frustrating day here really. Been snowing all morning but very light. Small amounts settling on windward facing sides but nothing on the ground. It's simply too wet.

    The heavier stuff seems to be passing just to the east of here (Southend/Leigh) but moving in a NE > SW direction.  I keep looking at the radar for signs of westward movement. It seems to be a little bit, but I'm not sure if it's simply hope vs reality!

    I’m in Grays and it started settling on the grass about 20 minutes ago

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    Posted
  • Location: Wimbledon
  • Location: Wimbledon

    Plenty of time to go at the home of the Wombles but nothing remarkable yet. Slight covering this morning when I got up at 9, now temperature above 2c and it's all melted. Snowed lightly all morning nevertheless. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: T storms, severe gales, heat and sun, cold and snow
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
    39 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

    Yep Finally

    All areas have now had a taste of wintry weather and settling for this winter I think.

    2020/2021 delivers

    Youre only saying that as you've had some snow, light dandruff here doubt it'll settle.

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    Posted
  • Location: Gants Hill, Ilford, Essex
  • Location: Gants Hill, Ilford, Essex

    Been snowing all morning since daylight at varying levels of intensity but not one flake has been able to settle.  Hoping for this to happen after dark perhaps if the snow persists. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    2 minutes ago, Lord Grogon said:

    Bit of a frustrating day here really. Been snowing all morning but very light. Small amounts settling on windward facing sides but nothing on the ground. It's simply too wet.

    The heavier stuff seems to be passing just to the east of here (Southend/Leigh) but moving in a NE > SW direction.  I keep looking at the radar for signs of westward movement. It seems to be a little bit, but I'm not sure if it's simply hope vs reality!

    Once that wind switches to ENE it should bring a lot more places further west into the action

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    1 hour ago, Laurence Hill said:

    For the unitiated what type of streamer is that?

    I think it's a front. There does seem to be a small wash streamer in the north though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Diss, South Norfolk
  • Location: Diss, South Norfolk

    Well bit of a let down so far. Moving very slowly, can't see any heavy stuff reaching me, and I'm supposedly in the amber area.   Heavier stuff was ment to arrive by 10am, which meant its probably not going to arrive, or break up before it does I expect.

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    2 minutes ago, Nick F said:

    Update on #snow affecting eastern Britain today & early next week in my blog for Netweather

    snow-uk-crop.jpeg
    WWW.NETWEATHER.TV

    An update on the snow affecting eastern parts of Britain today and early part of next week

    Snow across far SE/EA slowly edging further W & NW across SE England & E Anglia. Easing to snow showers tomorrow and Tuesday.

    This afternoon, band of vorticity, as shown at 700 hPa below, bringing heavier band of snow, should edge NW, taking heavier snow with it.

    ecmwf-deterministic-uk-vort700_z700-1612656000-1612699200-1612742400-20.thumb.gif.c49650916f7b7af899c69f5b1ed4b1bf.gif

     

     

    What time will this be?

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Just now, Freeze said:

    Youre only saying that as you've had some snow, light dandruff here doubt it'll settle.

    Am sure it will get down to Shoreham, temps and dps will become much more favourble from here on in 

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    Posted
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
    7 minutes ago, Bradley in Kent said:

    Assuming your weather has been similar to Kent, the roads are still holding energy from that warm sunny day on Friday. It got to 12c and what with the sun shining on them they'll still have some of that heat. 

    Here you can tell where the shadows were because that's where the snow is settling!

    Precisely!  Exactly what I was saying yesterday - the weather has been mild to warm recently and the ground soaks that up slowly, and releases the warmth similarly slowly.  I was met with a barrage of replies saying that was nonsense and that everything would instantly turn to ice, etc., etc.   The air is warmer than so many seemed to expect anyway (the first pulse left Holland at -1C or -2C and travelled across an SST of up to +6C so I don't see why they thought it would stay sub-zero!) and is therefore above freezing here.  

    As I write it is snowing a little harder here but is still +0.6C and will simply not settle on sodden ground at that temperature.  Box Hill is not visible in the snowfall at the moment and I imagine it to be around -0.4C up there and so probably accumulating.  Altitude is critical.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl

    Settling well on the grass/ roofs etc but not roads/ payments. 

    7BA5194D-A4DF-412C-8A3A-7D66D5EDEB03.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level

    not showing on radar, but i have some light snow here, a few flakes.

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex

    There’s nothing better than knowing this is just the start of some prolonged snowfall and none of it will be turning to rain today 😁

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    Posted
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick
  • Location: Horley, near Gatwick
    10 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

    Not even worth an Amber 😝

    Not worth a yellow for most. The warnings are so generic and catch all that they can’t really be accused of being wrong even when basically they are - these small local events aside, which skew the picture, because that’s all they are - highly localised. And even those, so far, I mean, c’mon... Even the real sweet spots so far are pretty standard. To cover themselves though, they take the warning up to Weds. Which masks the completely busted flush of a forecast for this past 12 hour period. If they can’t even get the nowcast right, what hope for Mon-Weds? Kold got it right after about five minutes! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: T storms, severe gales, heat and sun, cold and snow
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
    1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

    Am sure it will get down to Shoreham, temps and dps will become much more favourble from here on in 

    Hope so, could be some more surprises this week hopefully.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tottenham, N London
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy winters and hot, dry summers
  • Location: Tottenham, N London

    Coldest its felt all winter here, freezing cold in that strong easterly wind with snow/snizzle blowing horizontally since 9am. 

    Just the start of a long, cold week ahead.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Wintry and stormy weather
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
    14 minutes ago, snowblizzard said:

    Temperature just will not drop below zero! 🤬

    The miserly amount we've got is slowly fading. Bitter Easterly my ar5e..... 

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    Posted
  • Location: Barnehurst, near Bexleyheath, Kent
  • Location: Barnehurst, near Bexleyheath, Kent

    It seems to have turn more to light drizzly rain here now.  Can I be anymore unlucky 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
    3 minutes ago, Freeze said:

    Youre only saying that as you've had some snow, light dandruff here doubt it'll settle.

    Have word that is trying to stick now up by the Amex

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    Posted
  • Location: Dereham, Norfolk
  • Location: Dereham, Norfolk
    1 minute ago, Mr_Pessimistic said:

    In fact its actually melting lol

    we’ve not had anything to melt yet up here 😂

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