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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Crawley
  • Location: Crawley
    5 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

     

     

    I have attached the associated charts, both btw show 'actual snow accumulation by the end of their respective runs'

    Expect UKV is being slightly conservative further inland.

    ukv.thumb.png.65b4f01712c74a523aea71ae491420dc.pngeuro4.thumb.png.530a2197ff87827885843cbfa5cc0eb6.png

    If it shifts just slightly west, I'm in the money haha

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    I suppose not really weather related but I just wanted to say thank you all so much.  I've really really enjoyed following the posts today.  I am awaiting Open Heart Surgery sometime this year and you

    Oh my f**king god. How many times does it need saying? 1. The amber doesn't expire until tomorrow midday 2. Widespread heavy showers & streamers are going to follow later, tonight,

    Evening. Here's my estimated #snow depths for England and Wales that I expect until noon on Monday, using a blend of high resolution models.

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: East Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Supercells n snow
  • Location: East Hants

    No surprise the metoffice have downgraded the forecast for my part of East Hants from rain during Sat evening till midnight or so then turning to "heavy snow" for a few hours then light snow virtually from 4am and all day tomorrow. Now literally no snow forecast for next 24 hours for here. Typical! 

    Though the NW radar showing rain/snow literally on my doorstep just to S in Petersfield and South Downs a short while ago and the rain seemed sleety when I checked 30 mins ago. 
     

    Just have to see how this pans out! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)

    Hmm, slightly sleety element within the rain here it seems. Like @lawrenk says, fairly early!

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    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone in West Kent
  • Location: Maidstone in West Kent
    3 minutes ago, Big Dave said:

    Mrs Dave just stuck her snoz out the window and said “it smells like rain, not snow”!

     

    thoughts?

    It's a mystery to me mate. I didn't  think rain or snow smelled of anything other than water 😊

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    Posted
  • Location: Eythorne nr Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow freak
  • Location: Eythorne nr Dover

    Can confirm sleety rain here, its on the turn! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    Think I will get some sleep, not looking to turn snow anytime soon, but will hopefully wake up to a wintry wonderland in around 5-6 hours!

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    Posted
  • Location: Hertford Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder and lightning
  • Location: Hertford Hertfordshire
    3 minutes ago, Biggin said:

    U never say that to me KT 😞

    Nighty Night Biggin from Smileyqueen Katie. xxx 😊😊😊 I said it now. lol 😁

     

    I have just been outside and Its turning quite breezy and cold here in Hertford Hertfordshire. Hopefully waking up to the white fluffy stuff.

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/ hot not mild muck!
  • Location: South Norfolk

    It’s Really blowing here! Wind is roaring. Temp 1.5   Pressure 996, ground is almost dry after hours of heavy rain fall. All eyes to the radar just now.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
  • Weather Preferences: The colder the better
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
    2 minutes ago, Jo Dawkins said:

    Can confirm sleety rain here, its on the turn! 

    Intensity in the system over the north sea is really building now. Still a couple of hours until it reaches here but will be worth the wait

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    Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent

    Sat waiting for the transition to snow like

    tenor.gif

    Edited by Ben M
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    Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Anything below 0c or above 15c (the sunnier the better!)
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent

    Calling it a night weather watching. Latest here in Maidstone is a steady fall in temperature with mostly rain but increasingly sleety during heavier bursts. Keeping to the script so far.

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Temperatures beginning to fall more rapidly now - Snow line is about halfway across the N Sea.

    1717438162_Screenshot2021-02-07at00_25_31.thumb.png.defc6dc093e75e67beaad3d27dd481a9.png

    Precip should begin to pep up increasingly as colder air triggers convection within the main band. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
    6 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

    Hmm, slightly sleety element within the rain here it seems. Like @lawrenk says, fairly early!

    Glad I’m not going mad! Checked again and definitely the case, if anything more sleety. It definitely feels colder but not that much, so it’s a bit surprising.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
  • Weather Preferences: The colder the better
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
    Just now, Spraggyy said:

    To sleep or not to sleep that is the question 

    grab a couple, that's all i'm doing

     

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    Just now, Met4Cast said:

    Temperatures beginning to fall more rapidly now - Snow line is about halfway across the N Sea.

    1717438162_Screenshot2021-02-07at00_25_31.thumb.png.defc6dc093e75e67beaad3d27dd481a9.png

    Precip should begin to pep up increasingly as colder air triggers convection within the main band. 

    That's really far north right?  

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    8 minutes ago, Jo Dawkins said:

    Can confirm sleety rain here, its on the turn! 

    I hope to see that down here soon then.

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
    Just now, Met4Cast said:

    Temperatures beginning to fall more rapidly now - Snow line is about halfway across the N Sea.

    1717438162_Screenshot2021-02-07at00_25_31.thumb.png.defc6dc093e75e67beaad3d27dd481a9.png

    Precip should begin to pep up increasingly as colder air triggers convection within the main band. 

    How far west do you see this getting? 

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    Posted
  • Location: waltham abbey, essex 142ft a.s.l
  • Location: waltham abbey, essex 142ft a.s.l

    Well after another day on here. I’m still none the wiser to what might happen tomorrow. 😂 I get a sneaky feeling that there may be some surprises. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent
  • Location: Coney Hall Village 260ft asl, North West Kent

    Still raining here but wind increasing

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
    4 minutes ago, Howie said:

    That's really far north right?  

    Looks about where it should be to me, perhaps a touch further north than some models. 

    3 minutes ago, danm said:

    How far west do you see this getting? 

    It's probably roughly reached it's western extent, the band will tend to pivot and move NE>SW before breaking up to be replaced by showers/streamers tomorrow afternoon.

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    Posted
  • Location: West Kingsdown Kent
  • Location: West Kingsdown Kent

    Some info on the met office web site in respect to there icons. If the correct conditions to snow and it’s 80% or more chance of precipitation you get two snow flakes if 70% or less it’s one snow flake. So the way the site/app is set up you can’t have heavy snow if there is only 70% chance of precipitation. So very very poor guide on intensity of snow fall.

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