South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Stabilo19 said:

Can we at least wait until midday tomorrow before people call it a bust.. 

 

This is totally normal for these events 

Happens like Clockwork and same with Plume Set-Ups in the summer

Its hilarious

[Daniel*]

Just now, Downpour said:

Isn’t that the 0600 chart?

It is and actually it’s further west than 15z it spreads more west into afternoon.

[kold weather]

I wouldn't overly worry about what the models show now, we are basically in a nowcast situation and we've seen the models bust at this range, last Sunday was a classic example when it came to a poor forecast in terms of precip coverage.

However, that also doesn't mean its wrong. Its just going to be a case of keeping a watching eye on the situation!

 

[Sno' problem]

8 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

Sleet/Snow being reported in the Netherlands now, showing up just on the edge of our radars... Also everything across the uk is being pushed west/south west as the north east/east winds increase... Going well so far!!

Temperatures are now at, or below freezing over most of the Netherlands, so I reckon it'll be 2am before the temps manage to drop enough this side of the North Sea. All running according to schedule it seems.

Edited February 6, 2021 by Sno' problem

[Neilsouth]

2 minutes ago, essexweather said:

Here is the new run in full. That's a lot further east that previously with the heavier snow pushed to tomorrow night and Monday.

Harmonie still the best option for our region.

 

Eh? Looks the same as it always has, snow starting in the early hours, and lasting through the day... Perhaps too much on the sherry tonight Tom? 

[alexisj9]

12 minutes ago, natalee said:

Pouring down with a sleety mix or rain and ice right now in kennington south west london 

Best news I've heard, the cold is coming 

[Coopsy]

2 minutes ago, essexweather said:

Here is the new run in full. That's a lot further east that previously with the heavier snow pushed to tomorrow night and Monday.

Harmonie still the best option for our region.

 

The Arpege is now showing something similar - not making much inroads to the SE. Not sure what to make of it tbh 

[NewEra21]

Finally under a drier slot here, that rain that went through an hour or so ago was horrible. 

Also can quite clearly see things beginning to change over Norfolk/Cambridgeshire now.

Edited February 6, 2021 by NewEra21

[bluearmy]

Ec 12z looks pretty good for its snow prediction for 9pm. Obvs the slp prediction shouldn’t be wrong at 9 hours ! 

 

[kold weather]

3 minutes ago, North Easterly Breeze said:

Latest here....

 

Ironically my area actually does ok compared to alot of the areas around me, as there is a fairly constant stream of showers coming in from the Thames.

 

[maplesyrup]

6 minutes ago, Ian Docwra said:

Unfortunately I can see this starting to fizzle out for anything but the extreme tip of Kent as the main front seems to be moving erratically SE - away from us.  Rain and sleet continue over much of the SE area, but snow confined to the higher parts of Thanet.

Can't see that myself. Everything still pointing to a decent event for many.

[john mac1]

Not sure how to post a video but this is Holland at the moment. Horizontal snow. Blizzard conditions 

[James1979]

3 minutes ago, 80sWeather said:

Keep an eye out mate it’s coming down the A428 !

That's the best forecast yet - literally just starting to turn sleety! I think we're outside of the real fun and games zone here the next few days but keeping everything crossed.

[Angus Mcoatup]

1 minute ago, NewEra21 said:

Finally under a dryer slot here, that rain that went through an hour or so ago was horrible. 

Also can quite clearly see things beginning to change over Norfolk/Cambridgeshire now.

You’re right there, it’s sleet now here in king’s Lynn 

[Downpour]

4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

This is totally normal for these events 

Happens like Clockwork and same with Plume Set-Ups in the summer

Its hilarious

In fairness the UKMO run looks poor for much of our region. 

[Thinon]

The transisition from rain to snow is underway in the Netherlands currently 

 

[clark3r]

Thinks are not expected to kick off until at least the early hours, encouraging videos from the Netherlands

[SLEETY]

look at that YT in eindhoven now,nearly full cover now

 

 

[simonhall6]

 

[80sWeather]

2 minutes ago, James1979 said:

That's the best forecast yet - literally just starting to turn sleety! I think we're outside of the real fun and games zone here the next few days but keeping everything crossed.

Yes the radar looks like it’s clearing from the East typically  just as the cold is turning it to snow. Well we may catch a streamer in a couple of days here’s hoping.

[NewEra21]

4 minutes ago, Angus Mcoatup said:

You’re right there, it’s sleet now here in king’s Lynn 

Very good to hear, hopefully just the beginning of better things to come!!

[biddie]

Trying to snow here in herts but mainly rain

[weathergeek]

21 minutes ago, Ian Docwra said:

I lived in Ashtead from October 1981 to 1986.  I recall the 1981/2 winter there fondly.

I wasn't here then but a kid growing up in 80s winters on Box Hill - so you can see how the obsession started, lol!!!x

[Daniel*]

5 minutes ago, Downpour said:

In fairness the UKMO run looks poor for much of our region. 

The actual UKMO model is good.
 

[SnowBlake]

I just popped this in the MOD thread, may be useful for some here.

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Don't forget the live wind direction/speed map here!

earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions

EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET

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See current wind, weather, ocean, and pollution conditions, as forecast by supercomputers, on an interactive animated map. Updated every three hours.

Even over the far SE it is now NErly wind. Just waiting for the cold to start closing in which is probably over Belgium.

Good luck all, from a snow covered Latvia ❄