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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Brentwood, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Brentwood, Essex
    6 minutes ago, essexweather said:

    Bit of a downgrade, haven't seen the entire 18Z run yet, but the latest UKV pushes the heavier snow to extreme eastern parts of Essex, North Kent looks the sweet spot right now.

    That being said, 6-9cm would be the best estimate from 02:00 Sunday until 18:00 Monday for much of south Essex.

    Thanks Tom

     

    hopefully it can push 10/20 miles further west 🙂

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    Posted
  • Location: Ashford Kent
  • Weather Preferences: 1. Clear skies 2. Cold 3. Snow 4. Hot
  • Location: Ashford Kent
    Just now, tight isobar said:

    Jumble sale data fed into that...🙄.. turn her off pal...

    I know but was funny 

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms in summer, cold/snow in winter
  • Location: Herne, Kent
    58 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

    Wind picked up massively outside.

    Dread to think of me walking in that windchill tomorrow.

    Not going sledging in cherry orchard? 😀

    Edited by East Kent Snow Desert
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    Posted
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: nr Chelmsford, Essex

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
  • Location: Brockham, near Dorking, Surrey. 75m ASL.
    7 minutes ago, weathergeek said:

    I remember an event a few years ago where roads were treacherous with ice because the grit put down had been washed clean away by heavy rain before it turned to snow, I think the same is going to happen this time too!!

    My 90% heavy snow from 3am-6am has changed to light snow from 4am and carrying on all day with between 40-60ish% chances (on Meto app) so bit of a downgrade but I'm aware that's not fixed!

    I plan on getting an earlier night tonight so I can wake earlier tomorrow and see what's happening outside the window!! I know I'll wake early wondering anyway, lol!!! Good luck everyone!xx

    I lived in Ashtead from October 1981 to 1986.  I recall the 1981/2 winter there fondly.

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    Not that NW's "will it" are anything to go by, but according to it I have a 4% chance of snow tomorrow, and a 95% chance on Monday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 78m asl

    Hmm, the met office app has removed the heavy snow symbols overnight and tomorrow for here...

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    Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
    1 minute ago, essexweather said:

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

    Isn't that 6AM?

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms & Snow
  • Location: Herne Bay, Kent (14m, 45.9ft)
    1 minute ago, essexweather said:

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

    Says 6 UTC for 07/02/2021 which is tomorrow???

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
    12 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

    Decreasing in intensity ?

    It hasn't started yet and i've seen nothing model wise to suggest that is the case.

    Do you have any links ?

    Well it's not for me to respond, but I'm seeing some worrying signs here.

    Originally met had us down for 41 straight hours of light snow, with 6 hours of heavy mixed in, then that improved to 40 hours of snow with 10 hours heavy mixed in. Now sadly we're down to 34 hours of snow with 8 hours heavy.

    Basically a write off before it's even begun...

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (Central)
    1 hour ago, Lord Grogon said:

    I know Darren Bett isn’t a fan of cold. But I love watching old forecasts on YouTube. You could genuinely see some of them getting excited as a big event approached. 

    I miss Rob McElwee. One of the best. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor
    2 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

    Hmm, the met office app has removed the heavy snow symbols overnight and tomorrow for here...

    🤦‍♂️ Why can’t they leave the symbols off until they’ve got 50%+ confidence!

    Edited by prolongedSnowLover
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    Posted
  • Location: TW13
  • Weather Preferences: Cold
  • Location: TW13
    2 minutes ago, essexweather said:

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

    That’s not looking good for my part of London at all......

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    Posted
  • Location: catford/grove park se6
  • Location: catford/grove park se6

    Pouring down with a sleety mix or rain and ice right now in kennington south west london 

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    Posted
  • Location: Brentwood, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Brentwood, Essex
    3 minutes ago, essexweather said:

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

    Blimey that is poor, just clipping the east coast on that 

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    Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire

    Right people ignore your apps and meto warnings it’s doing my head in lol just look at the radar. No excuses...Apps are based on information that is anything up to 6-12 hours old

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    Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans

    Increasingly smug that I’ve told the kids for days now, not to get excited for tomorrow and despite what they saw in the media that they wouldn’t be building a snowman .......of course if I’m wrong they won’t care so that a win win for me ! 

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    Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London

    I cannot see a red warning being issued for this event, as the likelihood won't be high enough until it pretty much arrives. Even then, some areas in the zone will see a lot of snow whilst others with have relatively little, they won't apply a red warning unless 99% certainty and widespread within the said zone.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
    4 minutes ago, essexweather said:

    18Z MO high-res run is rather poor, it has to be said. Heaviest snow is now pushed to Sunday night into Monday!

    Hopefully not a trend 😞

    hi-res-000346827.png

    Errm 😱

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    Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
    Just now, Matty88 said:

    Right people ignore your apps and meto warnings it’s doing my head in lol just look at the radar. No excuses...Apps are based on information that is anything up to 6-12 hours old

    By the time any impactual precipitation is overhead everything is stale data... I agree knock the apps off.. and switch to the radars....it’s coming!!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Really chucking it down outside now. The temperature is properly falling now, around 2c so maybe a little wintriness on the back edge of this band of rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers and cold snowy winters
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells
    3 minutes ago, wellington boot said:

    Well it's not for me to respond, but I'm seeing some worrying signs here.

    Originally met had us down for 41 straight hours of light snow, with 6 hours of heavy mixed in, then that improved to 40 hours of snow with 10 hours heavy mixed in. Now sadly we're down to 34 hours of snow with 8 hours heavy.

    Basically a write off before it's even begun...

    Doesn't sound too disastrous to me tbh....

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    Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast

    Sleet/Snow being reported in the Netherlands now, showing up just on the edge of our radars... Also everything across the uk is being pushed west/south west as the north east/east winds increase... Going well so far!!

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL

    Well, my local forecast for tomorrow is baffling to say the least...!?!?

    Weather forecast Sunday 7:2:21.png

    7 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

    Not that NW's "will it" are anything to go by, but according to it I have a 4% chance of snow tomorrow, and a 95% chance on Monday.

    Ahh, so it's not just me then! 😄

    Edited by Sno' problem
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