South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[Flaked Queen]

54 minutes ago, Dunstable Snow said:

It’s a wonderful place !

It sure is I do miss the downs 

remember orange rolling ? 

[DJ Fart]

14 minutes ago, Floatylight said:

He left x

Ah, there you are! What are you thinking for our chances over night? 

[North Easterly Breeze]

Have a quick look at this while we wait.. Feb 22nd.

Brutal, record breaking

[SLEETY]

Whole SE buried if gfs run comes even close to verifying,best run ever seen in the mod thread.

[winterfreak]

2 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

I hope it's not SW mate  otherwise it will be sent packing back into the north sea

Lol!! Brain fade!! NE I meant!!

 

pushing it South Westerly is what I meant

Edited February 6, 2021 by winterfreak

[Alpine glow]

6 minutes ago, Snowman. said:

Euro still good.

Later on

Hope in a post!  I needed that - thank you!

[Maidstone marginal]

2 minutes ago, Big Dave said:

If you make it so then I’ll buy you beer! 

I was thinking the downs in the triangle rather than any of the towns. Ashford will do better than Maidstone I'm confident 

[Speedbird]

1 minute ago, winterfreak said:

Lol!! Brain fade!! NE I meant 

it's an easy mistake as it's travelling in a SW direction

[Angus Mcoatup]

My local BBC app shows light snow from now until 6pm on Monday.

I’ll believe it when I see it

[ChillyJuju]

Snow has stpped falling here in the East Chilterns, was great seeing it fall and settle for 30mins though, ready for the next lot now

[winterfreak]

Just now, Speedbird said:

it's an easy mistake as it's travelling in a SW direction

Getting forum fatigue

[North Easterly Breeze]

5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Effectivly there is a little low that forms over the next few hours over the channel (which is why the front is moving westwards atm) which then moves eastwards. As that happens it pushes the precip shield westwards (in the same direction the front is moving). At some point the low gets far enough east that the wrao around no longer gets any further west and then starts to pull back away eastwards. Once that happens we will move into a more classic showery pattern.

Thanks Kold. So effectively Darcy splits in 2?

[Froze were the Days]

2 minutes ago, North Easterly Breeze said:

Have a quick look at this while we wait.. Feb 22nd.

Brutal, record breaking

Sadly it's the GFS 18z...ECM and to a degree GEM not showing that at that range...

[ICE COLD]

Lol you think tomorrow and this week we be special the best is yet to come

INCREDIBLE 

[Downpour]

7 minutes ago, danm said:

Mate, the event hasn’t even started yet. It’s going to be nowcast from now on. If we’re going by the apps, then the BBC shows the below for our area tomorrow night. Chin up!

Low percentage risk of ppn and heavy snow! ? That’s quite bizarre

[Speedbird]

Just now, winterfreak said:

Getting forum fatigue

wait until 4am tomorrow - i'll be awake for the cricket and lamp-post watching

[North Easterly Breeze]

10 minutes ago, Jarv said:

Hey!

Been looking at these forums for years (mostly in the winter) but have never commented.. I decided I should make an account and get in on the action!

Excited about the next few days, I’m based in south east Essex and thinking back to 2018 / 2010 it seemed that we had an almost constant flow of show showers for 2-4 days thanks to Thames Streamers and snow depths locally up to my shins... wondering how this might compare.

Wind gusts have really picked up now! Sounds different in my house it coming from the East rather than the usual W/SW.

Welcome fellow SE Essex person ! I’m new today too. 

[kold weather]

12 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Yep, I think we could see a Thames Snow Streamer set up for a time Sunday night into Monday morning, as winds turn from NE to ENE as the low over Low Countries moves away. 

Yeah I think there is a fair chance it does form at some point, though the models don't seem to be suggesting a huge amount of instability is present beyond tomorrow, so may end up not being too potent outside of perhaps the usual favoured spots such as N.Kent and S.essex and die off quickly inland.

Still its probably the biggest wildcard we have .

Also, further west there is still a fair chance that some convective bands will work further west during tomorrow afternoon/evening, which could well give a small covering of maybe 1-2cms as well which will freeze overnight and probably stay in place from that point.

[Froze were the Days]

Just now, Froze were the Days said:

Sadly it's the GFS 18z...ECM and to a degree GEM not showing that at that range...

If it's an outrageous run it will come from GFS and 9 times out of 10 (or more) won't verify.

[Snowman.]

Just now, Speedbird said:

wait until 4am tomorrow - i'll be awake for the cricket and lamp-post watching

That lockdown sleep schedule 

At least I wont be alone!

[TommyB]

Now fallen to 4.8c, it's on its way

[Angus Mcoatup]

1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Lol you think tomorrow and this week we be special the best is yet to come

INCREDIBLE 

Are these real?

[Weathizard]

1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Lol you think tomorrow and this week we be special the best is yet to come

INCREDIBLE 

Only the 16 days away, we can’t pin down the track of this precipitation 6 hours out let alone that

[Biggin]

1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

Lol you think tomorrow and this week we be special the best is yet to come

INCREDIBLE 

New Ice age has begun. Still rain her.

[Speedbird]

Just now, Snowman. said:

That lockdown sleep schedule 

At least I wont be alone!

i'm WFH - have been since last March, it's killed my body clock and urge to sleep