South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[North Easterly Breeze]

Blowing a gale in SE Essex now! 
Come on Darcy, show us what ya got ?

[JABWootton]

1 minute ago, suffolkboy_ said:

Sounds like a line from the alternative version of Pride and Prejudice 

Thought it was that new DVD that's out (Porn & Prejudice)!

[Maidstone marginal]

I think Hawkinge and Densole on the downs near folkestone will do rather well. They always did when I lived in that area.

[Mikel Nimbus]

The panic on here feels like the evening of 1st Feb 2009. No weather apps back then but worries that "The skies are clear!!! There's nothing forming in the Estuary!!! It's too cold to snow!!!" That turned out to be the most epic snow event I've ever witnessed with a 24 hours Thames Streamer. Relax people.

[Hotspur62]

Temperature dropped to 3.6 here in Locksbottom and steady rain.Latest radar from Holland looks encouraging and who knows how far north and west it will go?Just 10-15 miles further north and West  will make a huge difference to how many receive snow in the SE and in grand scheme of things is a small change.Going to bed shortly and hope to wake up seeing the snow falling(and settling).

good night,good luck and stay safe

[Martz86]

2 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

Anyone know why there's reports of snow in Kent even though dew points are around 3°C?

I'd presumed it'd be cold air undercutting but not reflected in DP.

Perhaps evaporative cooling?

[Biggin]

24 minutes ago, Ian Docwra said:

With 'Darcy' expanding but still moving E/SE as a system, unless its expansion is faster than its movement away it will miss the UK entirely at the current rate of progress.

Stop this nonsense

[BucksBlizzard]

Big flakes starting to settle on cars

 

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, North Easterly Breeze said:

Blowing a gale in SE Essex now! 
Come on Darcy, show us what ya got ?

Yh that wind is getting really strong now

[Mark]

Enjoying the snow reports from the fringes and heights of the region. Bodes well. 

[craigore]

Just popped into the Mods .

Everyone's very happy.

Bitter cold -14uppers coming back in nxt weekend.

Here in S.E we never get above freezing at 2m all week..

[Vesuvius]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yh that wind is getting really strong now

Thoughts tomorrow, Paul ?  Still think we are in a good space ?

[steveinsussex]

1 minute ago, BucksBlizzard said:

Big flakes starting to settle on cars

 

You are basically in the midlands though lol

[bobbydog]

Forget the Apps and watch the RADAR!!!

 

[sunnijim]

Temperatures gradually on the fall.

A bitter feel to a gradually increasing Northeast Wind.

Finally a FI set of charts come to fruition.

Enjoy the ride.

Best of luck to all Southeasterners.

See you all on 'Christmas morning'

[North Easterly Breeze]

2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yh that wind is getting really strong now

You fancy our area to do well Paul? 

[Angus Mcoatup]

I’ve got a touch of N.F.I. now, soon off to bed, wonder what I will wake up to, apart from the wife wanting a cup of tea.

[Lampostwatcher]

First snow shower of the event about to hit north london

[Vesuvius]

Just now, craigore said:

Just popped into the Mods .

Everyone's very happy.

Bitter cold -14uppers coming back in nxt weekend.

Here in S.E we never get above freezing at 2m all week..

Brave of you, my friend. I’m looking at the next ten hours, not ten days, but your news sounds positive 

[alexisj9]

18 minutes ago, Blake Allen said:

Nothing will die out, coldest still crossing north sea, will generate further precip as it does so whilst dragging in colder air from the continent. 

For what it's worth just look out to check for sleet, none yet, but the wind has definitely grown colder. It's coming.

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Vesuvius said:

Thoughts tomorrow, Paul ?  Still think we are in a good space ?

Yep

Expecting 10cm tomorrow and then streamer should add another 10cm on Monday, should have 20cm going into Tuesday locally.

Great thing is snow will stick around all week, with freezing fog and rime and then cold carries on into next weekend

[kold weather]

18z AROME really has eased up on totals, even further east. It has no where in our region above 10cms by 00z on Monday and most areas are considerably lower than that, widespread dusting across the region. ARPEGE somewhat similar though it does strengthen showers around early morning on Monday in N.Kent.

Based on the trend tonight though, I'd not bother staying up tonight unless you are in N.Kent or maybe E.Suffolk and SE Essex.

Much better to just get some sleep and see what you wake up to. A large majority will be green, or maybe with a dusting.

Thats what I will be doing anyway.

[Dazza9525]

9 minutes ago, FetchCB said:

How do you know a cold spell is about to arrive? 

1. The model thread turns into when is the breakdown coming thread 

2. The regional thread turns into into its not going to arrive thread 

I would love to respond with emoji's to some of what I've been reading in the last hour but making enemies is generally a bad idea!

This is the beginning of a rare event for us and I understand the anxiety over it going wrong at the last minute. I guess it's ok to be fearful of that but getting irate with each other is just so pointless and frankly it's killing the mood!

[abruzzi spartan]

A small suggestion from someone born in 1965.  Turn off your apps, log off the internet, light your paraffin heater with its purple liquid and heady aroma and fire up your coal fire.  Make sure your net curtains in your bedroom are away from the glass so they don't freeze to the windows.  Watch one or maybe all two forecasts a day on the BBC and supplement it with a look at the weather charts in your daily newspaper.  After that, go out for a walk or 3, watch the clouds, check the wind direction.

In an emergency when you are worried it might not snow, write a letter to someone that lives in a maybe more snowy place and post it first class.  Ask what they are seeing.  Enclose a SAE and you'll get a reply about 4 days later.  By which time it will either have snowed or it won't and you won't need to worry any more.

There will of course in the meantime be power cuts and a 3 day week plus a bit later some fear of a nuclear winter.  But the main thing these days is to get in a ferment about whether promised snow has shown up on the festering Internet or not

Edited February 6, 2021 by abruzzi spartan

[biddie]

1 hour ago, Blizzard_of_Oz said:

Still rain here  your just a few miles to my north. 

Was definatly  snowing