South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[Mark wheeler]

Great Harmonie so far 

[Coopsy]

3 minutes ago, Dbarb said:

Where has all this negativity come from all of a sudden it's only 10 a clock things wont start till after midnight

The alcohol is kicking in for some it seems

[Dbarb]

2 minutes ago, Wynter said:

Doesn't look like it will start until post 6am now.

Where have you got that information from? I havnt seen anything suggesting this?

[Downpour]

Just now, Dj fart said:

Not panicking (it's only the weather), not being negative, just saying what I think will play out. I'd love to be wrong, I'd love to wake up to a decent covering and watch it build up under constant showers all day. 

Here's hoping, eh? 

I’d love to be wrong too but the trends have been running the wrong way for several hours now.

[Thinon]

Which 12z / 18z precip chart is the most accurate so far based on the current radar? Aperge/UKV/icon?

[tight isobar]

2 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

Based on radar trends - I am expecting most of Kent to be 'wintry' by 1am - plenty of ppn piling in as well.

I know Kent is only a part of the region, so a bit IMBY - but also the part of the region that has been largely starved so far. 

You’ll do well stu..watch

[Vesuvius]

Come on Darcy, welcome to SE England  

 

 

[pureasthedriven]

Just now, Mark wheeler said:

Great Harmonie so far 

DOWNGRADE!

[Keefo]

Temp dropping slowly from 7.5C during afternoon to 3.9C currently

[john mac1]

1 minute ago, Mark wheeler said:

Great Harmonie so far 

Yeah, that’s 100 miles further  north. 

[Stu_London]

1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

You’ll do well stu..watch

from radar watching alone - confidence is increasing.

Appreciate this isn't the whole of the region however. 

[snowking]

If you want an example of how models underestimate convective showers, take a look at the 12z EURO4 prediction for around now

Then take a look at what’s happening off the East of Scotland

 

[TommyB]

5.7c now. It's like pulling teeth, but it's getting there ❄❄❄

[caught somewhere in time]

1 minute ago, Downpour said:

I’d love to be wrong too but the trends have been running the wrong way for several hours now.

what trends nothing has changed its not due for another few hours 

[Downpour]

Just now, john mac1 said:

Yeah, that’s 100 miles further  north. 

That chart is 1900 tomorrow - everything pushed back? 

[Mark wheeler]

2 minutes ago, pureasthedriven said:

DOWNGRADE!

Nope 

[john mac1]

1 minute ago, Downpour said:

I’d love to be wrong too but the trends have been running the wrong way for several hours now.

Yes but this is a now acting event. The radar is building precip further north than the hi res modes have been showing. 

[lewis clark]

Just now, Dj fart said:

Not panicking (it's only the weather), not being negative, just saying what I think will play out. I'd love to be wrong, I'd love to wake up to a decent covering and watch it build up under constant showers all day. 

Here's hoping, eh? 

The classic I'd love to be wrong quote....you will be

[fulham snow]

3 minutes ago, pureasthedriven said:

Everton, Burnley, Sheff Utd, Palace. 9 points min required. Feb will define our season. 

Wishful thinking.Prem wins are hard to come buy and as much as my heart says there a chance,head says we’re down, think head will win.supporter for 40 years (Ivor error).

raining in Epsom,waiting for the change 

[mishy]

Have a dusting on the cars in Dunstable

[Speedbird]

3 minutes ago, Dj fart said:

Not panicking (it's only the weather), not being negative, just saying what I think will play out. I'd love to be wrong, I'd love to wake up to a decent covering and watch it build up under constant showers all day. 

Here's hoping, eh? 

The met are sticking to their guns, amber remains in place, maybe less totals west of region.

That was in the last hour.

[Neilsouth]

UPDATE :

 

 

[Julesthecat]

4.2C here now.  Meto app had light snow from 3am - just changed back to heavy snow between 3am and 7am.

[FetchCB]

3 minutes ago, Dj fart said:

You're not allowed to say anything "negative" in here, careful. Even if it's just what you can see. It's blatantly obvious that the warnings are overblown and we are not going to see the sort of depths being mentioned 24-48 hours ago. That's just how it is. Doesn't make me a troll or on a downer. 

How blatantly obvious? Can you explain please as the storm that is the cause of the warning hasn't arrived yet.

The warnings are as the result of the Chief Forecasters professional opinion whose experience, knowledge and access to meteorological data far exceeds anybody on here (no disrespect meant) 

I can almost guarantee the models will not have the track right they never do, two weeks ago the models said I wouldn't get snow and I ended up with 3 inches 

[Don]

Time to watch the radar I think and not the models!