South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[CAT05111]

This is why I think this could be massive

[80sWeather]

Argh It’s so addictive why can’t I stop reading about the upcoming cold spell.

Literally got nothing done this evening

[Hotspur62]

7 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

Lucy Verasamy - the end.

AgreeNot even a contest.

[starstream]

1 hour ago, Paul Sherman said:

Solid 20cm by the end of Sunday 

Monday to Wednesday god only knows all down to luck of the streamers after that

And then the breakdown whenever that might be

Exciting times

What’s your opinion for Maldon/ Danbury ? We’re in the amber but kind of tucked in along the coast.

[kold weather]

6 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Bet you wish you were back in Thurrock in Essex?

Sure you'll get some light snow 

That low moving from the west across N France could potentially brush some snow across Hampshire and W Sussex Tuesday if it tracks further north, though not a strong probability for now.

Haha yep, gonna be another classic to go along with the likes of 09, 91 and 87 I think over that neck of the woods! I'm ok about it this time though as I got a decent fill of snow 2 weekends ago.

I do think it will snow here, but I think based on previous experience it will be snizzle and basically not settle really and will get blown around in the wind, unless a really strong Thames streamer sets up, if its in the same ballpark as a 91, 87 or 09 it may well get this far west (it certainly easily did in 09 looking at the met office snow totals).

I think Tuesday is very unlikely, and actually I don't want it as light snow would probably kill off a streamer which will have a near perfect angle during Tuesday if that low stays far enough south. Who knows how it will attempt to breakdown, though I may end up being too far east for that as well!

If there was no lockdown I'd be travelling over there on Sunday for sure! But alas I'll have to cope with my dusting (if I get lucky!)

Edited February 5, 2021 by kold weather

[onepingonly]

58 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Even places further west that will have  no snow (such as my location possibly) 

Being quite near you, I hope you're wrong 

[zubzero]

2 minutes ago, 80sWeather said:

Argh It’s so addictive why can’t I stop reading about the upcoming cold spell.

Literally got nothing done this evening

Indeed and at the same time its a wind up seeing historic snowfall event unfolding just to the southeast and we might get a dusting if very lucky. Can't even travel to see it because of covid

[LightningLover]

Last sleep before tomorrow’s all nighter... Going to be tricky with how excited I am!!

Edited February 5, 2021 by LightningLover

[Mark wheeler]

Just took a snap shot between runs . This is the aprege and 1st  is the 12z and 2nd is the 18z and it’s not finished , Good trends peeps , Good trends .

 

edit to add , The run has just finished look at the difference between runs you can see the latest run is much better IMO .

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR

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Meteociel propose de manière régulière le modèle à maille fine de ARPEGE 0.1° de Meteo-France sur 5 zones (France, Nord-Ouest, Nord-Est...

 

Edited February 5, 2021 by Mark wheeler

[Sparky68]

oh for a change its chucking it down here, river already burst its banks.

[Sparky68]

Never experienced this much rain in a winter, global warming showing whats to come?

[snowrye]

Well im off to bedski, long night tomoz lol, just hoping im in a sweet spot, good night all.

[Paul Sherman]

8 minutes ago, starstream said:

What’s your opinion for Maldon/ Danbury ? We’re in the amber but kind of tucked in along the coast.

Well within the 6-8 Inch Zone in your location

[Neilsouth]

Anyone know what time its due to turn to snow roughly?

[kold weather]

7 minutes ago, onepingonly said:

Being quite near you, I hope you're wrong 

Honestly this is how I think it will go down in our region:

1: Maybe some slight snow on the backend of the front on Saturday night, could leave a dusting, especially with any altitude. Maybe 1-2cms above 150m

2: Snow showers coming in from the east, probably on the light side. They'll probably settle but melt in between as we won't have the cold nor deep enough snow cover in place required to keep things sub zero on Sunday. Probably 1-3cms but probably not at the same time, if that makes sense.

3: Mainly dry from Monday onwards with occasional snow showers coming in. *Maybe* a risk of a streamer (though I'm not sure if Petersfield might be a little too far south?)  which if it does come in stronger will be a real game changer totals. Otherwise probably looking at periodic light dustings.

4: Possible attempt at a snowy breakdown some point late this week, though that is highly uncertain, it may not get anywhere near this far east, or equally it may do, or indeed could end up way north. Hard to know this far out.

Regardless, going to be very cold, sub zero maxes probably Wednesday and Thursday, unless we have snow cover from a streamer in which case bring that forward 1-2 days.

Sorry if thats not very exciting, but our location is unfortunately probably not going to be getting all that much from this. We will probably have had more in 2hrs 2 weeks ago than we will have this entire week unless we get lucky with any breakdown.

Edited February 5, 2021 by kold weather

[alexisj9]

3 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

Last sleep before tomorrow’s all nighter... Going to be tricky with how excited I am!!

Noticed how cold it is tonight and a bit of light fog.

[Don]

I know these computer forecasts are not to be taken too literally, but the Metoffice now has my location on Thursday with a max of 2C and min of -1.  Earlier, it had a max of 4C and min of 1C.  Further evidence of a delay in the breakdown?

[LightningLover]

Just now, Don said:

I know these computer forecasts are not to be taken too literally, but the Metoffice now has my location on Thursday with a max of 2C and min of -1.  Earlier, it had a max of 4C and min of 1C.  Further evidence of a delay in the breakdown?

Yes, mine has dropped markedly too

[OzzyUK]

1 minute ago, Neilsouth said:

Anyone know what time its due to turn to snow roughly?

Think midnight Sat - 3am Sunday for me on the border of NE London and W Essex, temperatures predicted to drop 6 degrees in as many hours.

[kate1]

Can I ask: why is it that posts about the Covid vaccine are removed yet posts comparing the attributes of TV presenters are allowed?  - yes, I guess you could claim a weather connection, but surely there's a more appropriate thread somewhere on this website.....

[Hotspur62]

3 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

Anyone know what time its due to turn to snow roughly?

Between 12-3 tomorrow night/Sunday morning

[alexisj9]

2 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:

Anyone know what time its due to turn to snow roughly?

Well my Google weather has sleet at one am and snow storm at two am. Although obviously you can't really go by that. It'll be easier to say from tomorrow evening's high Res output.

[Buzzit]

Remember before the last snow I mentioned my knee was playing up which meant I knew snow was coming.. 

Well this time my leg has fallen off so it is baked on enjoy the snow everyone 

[Vesuvius]

Come on @nick sussex venture back to your old ground, what does your committee show for us snow starved SE/EA folk ?

[OzzyUK]

1 minute ago, kate1 said:

Can I ask: why is it that posts about the Covid vaccine are removed yet posts comparing the attributes of TV presenters are allowed?  - yes, I guess you could claim a weather connection, but surely there's a more appropriate thread somewhere on this website.....

There is a dedicated Covid discussion area - they are being moved to there.