Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?


Recommended Posts

Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
  • Replies 3.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Quick summary, GFS cold and snowy by 144 Para cold and snowy by 144 Ukmo cold and snowy by 144 Gem cold and snowy by 156 ECM cold and VERY snowy by 156.  

OMG I love this post . Shows just what a weird but wonderful bunch coldies are ! Your post in a nutshell sums up just how much this means for cold and snow lovers . Bless you Mike . 

Yes ! Low pressure finally developing over northern Italy . A biting east ne flow heavy snow showers driven much further inland . Lots of instability . Enjoy the snow UK coldies . Really gre

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry

    The gem has improved on its 12z run  and I think it will be superb by 168, but it's  not as good as the GFS and ukmo early on, we still need to remain cautions. We are not there yet.

     

    gemnh-0-132 (1).png

    gemnh-1-132.png

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    10 minutes ago, Daniel said:

    Some might call me picky but I don't like gfs 0z so much as I live on the south coast. The cold blast hardly lasts a day before milder med air starts mixing in. 

    gfseu-1-168 (3).png

    -12c uppers clinging on to Dover but the highs slipping SE 10/02

    Screenshot_20210201-042922_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Screenshot_20210201-042932_Samsung Internet.jpg

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
    3 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    Its an absolute snow fest for the snowstarved surely you can't knock this run fella, 20cms yes please! 2-3 days of continuous snow reminds me of 2010!

    Screenshot_20210201-042344_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Med air was starting to mix in that's all then just in time the wind turns more favourable and puts us into the freezer. This run might even beat 18z in terms of how long the proper cold air sticks around. Brilliant run! 

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry
    4 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    Its an absolute snow fest for the snowstarved surely you can't knock this run fella, 20cms yes please! 2-3 days of continuous snow reminds me of 2010!

    Screenshot_20210201-042344_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Really rooting for you guys down there and also the south coast, I've been very fortunate with 3 decent falls in the Midlands so far

    • Thanks 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: heavy convective snow showers, blizzards, 30C sunshine
  • Location: Darlington
    5 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    -12c uppers clinging on to Dover but the highs slipping SE 10/02

    Screenshot_20210201-042922_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Screenshot_20210201-042932_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Hopefully a freezing fog high to preserve our 6 inches of powder snow on the ground. We can wish can't we. 

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wrexham,NE Wales - 89m
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Sunny Summers/Cold Wintry Winters
  • Location: Wrexham,NE Wales - 89m
    11 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

    The gem has improved on its 12z run  and I think it will be superb by 168, but it's  not as good as the GFS and ukmo early on, we still need to remain cautions. We are not there yet.

     

    The most important part is that it connects the Atlantic Ridge to the Arctic High and introduces the blocking. 

    This then eventually forces the low south and by 162/168 we are into the cooler air. 

    Interestingly the GEM seems pretty interested in a Greenland High and looks to throw in a slider at Day 8. 

    I'd be happy with both evolutions although that slider looks to be heading south of the UK on the GEM. 

    On the other hand that GFS run looks very unstable and reeks of troughs a plenty hopefully bringing more organised areas of snow for more Central and West areas. 

    Edited by Summerstorm
    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

    Coventry hits -10 on the mean

    I've also added Manchester so Feb can marvel at the clustering

     

    gfs-coventry-gb-525n-15w (11).jpeg

    gfs-manchester-gb-535n-2.jpeg

    Yes a good few -12c, while i dont expect much ppn here, the fact that -12c is as far West as Manchester, that really bodes well for Dumpings further E and possibly even the SE.

    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: SE Kent
  • Location: SE Kent

    Para GFS a little different this morning. Has HP building over the UK a week today and easterly feed getting cut off..A variation of a theme and waaay too far out to be concerned about..

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Ecm already far better with the placement of the low at 96hrs than yesterdays horror show, pretty much the same as gfs. Ukmo the odd one out with it tracking in the north sea.

     

    ECMOPEU00_96_1.png

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: heavy convective snow showers, blizzards, 30C sunshine
  • Location: Darlington

    ECM much better than yesterday. The low is tracking much better. Look at that epic Arctic blocking. How can we avoid some deep cold with this profile. I'm sure the UK will manage

    ECH1-120.gif

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20

    ECM day 5 is better but the limpet low is takes ages to clear but looks like it is getting there.  We need a bit of luck on the phasing of the two Atlantic lows.  

    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Market Rasen
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Frost Fog Thunderstorms
  • Location: Market Rasen

    Uppers aren’t anything special at 144 on the ECM though or am I missing something?

    26E70706-EE9A-4637-A4F7-9D9939FCC8A0.gif

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry
    1 minute ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:

    Uppers aren’t anything special at 144 on the ECM though or am I missing something?

    26E70706-EE9A-4637-A4F7-9D9939FCC8A0.gif

    Wait for the next frame, but yes ukmo and GFS is colder by this stage

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20
  • Location: Raynes Park, London SW20
    1 minute ago, Mr snowman 2018 said:

    Uppers aren’t anything special at 144 on the ECM though or am I missing something?

    26E70706-EE9A-4637-A4F7-9D9939FCC8A0.gif

    No not missing anything at all.  Though improved the ECM is still the poorest solution at day 6.  Limpet low still has not cleared!!

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Its laughable, best overall synoptic pattern of the winter, and the ecm refuses to clear the low from the UK!!

    'Stonking' for Scotland and the far north at this stage.

     

    ECMOPEU00_144_1-8.png

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • Settled, dry spell continues as daytime temperatures edge up a degree or so

      The risk of frost continues and it is chilly out of the sunshine but the fine, dry spell continues this week as the temperatures creep up, closer to average rather than below as they have been. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      2021 Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season Outlook

      Samual Hayes explores the trends and the main influencing factors as the Arctic Sea Ice Melt season for 2021 gets underway. Read the full article

      BornFromTheVoid
      BornFromTheVoid
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Cold waves hitting Europe continue to threaten growers, is there a link to climate change?

      Much of Europe, not just the UK, has experienced unseasonably cold weather since the Easter Weekend. A plunge of cold arctic air brought by northerly winds early last week brought several nights of frost and even snow across large swathes of Europe, followed by another wave of cold arctic air spreads across much of Europe this week. The frosts causing damage to new growth in vineyards and orchardsa0spurred on by a late March heatwave, the vineyards of France werea0particularly badly affected.

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather 4
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...