Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?

[ICE COLD]

And still loving at day 10 

[Decemberof2010]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Long way to go still yet, need it or something similar to verify!

Agreed. But let's not think about that till tomorrow.

[chris55]

10 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

BOOM!

Yep.....that is a BOOM .....I concour lol

[Ali1977]

1 minute ago, pinball wizard said:

Will it snow in Carlisle?

Yes, generally does quite well in an Easterly or North Easterlies, showers filter down the A69 gap between southern uplands and north pennies!! 

[Matt H]

The ensemble mean continues to clear the low without any issues and is rock solid out to t120 with bringing in the easterly!

[ICE COLD]

T120 mean

[Captain Shortwave]

 

1.....

 

2 cross polar flows the space of a few days. Quite a sight to see. 

The Count is most pleased....

Edited January 31, 2021 by Captain Shortwave

[andy989]

Great pub crawl tonight, see you in the morning for the inevitable hangover 

[Mike Poole]

GFS 18z // doesn’t follow it’s brother and puts the oomph into the northern of the two lows I mentioned earlier, the one that affects the UK, so we won’t see a Cobra run off of this...

[Weathizard]

Wouldn’t be the GFS if it didn’t get out of high res and just decide nahhhhhh this high is weak, cyaaaa! Despite the fact the heights looked most robust at around day 8  

[snowbob]

@feb1991blizzardjust boomed the pub run

il take that

bank

must be perfect

 

[MJB]

Lovely run from 18z 

[mountsbaysnow]

Just now, andy989 said:

Great pub crawl tonight, see you in the morning for the inevitable hangover 

Toys at the ready.

 

[Griff]

Parallel at 96

[Battleground Snow]

1 minute ago, Mike Poole said:

GFS 18z // doesn’t follow it’s brother and puts the oomph into the northern of the two lows I mentioned earlier, the one that affects the UK, so we won’t see a Cobra run off of this...

It will still get there Mike, it will just be a little slower,

[Stu_London]

18z excellent run for Kent - which is one of the places that has done worst so far this season with a 30 hour snow event dumping several inches. 

Being a frontal boundary event it is fraught with danger as any deviation south and the ppn stays in the channel. If it pushes north, then marginality creeps in along with slightly higher upper and surface temps. However, barring one run where it placed the ppn south, the GFS has been pretty keen on this over the half dozen outputs. 

[MJB]

Control also looking good 

[Djdazzle]

Amazing run!

But it’s just for fun at the moment. 0z will downgrade I’m sure. Or maybe not for once . . .

[Daniel*]

It can only really go downhill from here GFS 18z has it all easterlies, northeasterlies, northerlies - frigid.

[Tim Bland]

With this much cold in the northern hemisphere it’s a long way to mild!.. I will be checking the ECM from behind the headboard at 7am!

[Griff]

5 days later... 

[Allseasons-Si]

Sorry i have not been on today as i had to see my OH off in an Ambulance earlier,thankfully she is OK now and i have just picked her up from Hospital 

great model output today and i am glad that the ECM is coming on board

the 18z is a peach of a run so far

please continue

goes to catch up on the rest of the thread now,i will leave you with the latest cpc and De-built...

and the 12z gefs ens getting close to -10

 

 

[ICE COLD]

Control and mean at T144 is superb

[BLIZZARDMAN]

2 minutes ago, Griff said:

5 days later... 

With hopefully a country covered in snow

[Griff]

Just now, Allseasons-si said:

Sorry i have not been on today as i had to see my OH off in an Ambulance earlier,thankfully she is OK now and i have just picked her up from Hospital 

great model output today and i am glad that the ECM is coming on board

the 18z is a peach of a run so far

please continue

goes to catch up on the rest of the thread now,i will leave you with the latest cpc and De-built...

and the 12z gefs ens getting close to -10

 

 

Glad she's OK, sorry to hear that. Relax with the GFS!