Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?

[Tim Bland]

Snow showers into the east..heavy stuff very close to the south east...

[ICE COLD]

Beautiful pub run #stonker 

[icykev]

GFS still @ it then

[Nick F]

We're all in it to win it next Sunday on 18z GFS ... sub -10C T850s for all 

Edited January 31, 2021 by Nick F

[kold weather]

Really good 18z GFS, again the GFS holding utterly rock solid on this evolution.

Its the one model that hasn't really wavered from this solution yet, whereas just about all the others have wobbled at least to some extent.

Lets hope I don't regret those words in the morning!

Really classic run though this 18z!

[MJB]

Bitter brrrrrrrrrrrrrr across us for sure 

Snow across the UK

[Penrith Snow]

8 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

GFS pub run special, NH vortex sliced like butter, T120:

I repeat, T120!

Wow, talk about a cross polar flow, trace back the isobar over northern Scotland, it passes through Norway, Arctic Russia, Alaska, Arctic Canada and finally Greenland.

Ain't going to be any marginal uppers in that air mass!

Andy 

[Cloud 10]

Well,no shortwave faffing about on the 18z is there?

 

Just takes route 1.

 

[Tim Bland]

South east getting buried now...

[Man With Beard]

The beast is back on the pub run, landing D5/D6 - D7 is very very cold with more to come. Mild to the south just about kept out!

[ICE COLD]

This is such a good run

Edited January 31, 2021 by ICE COLD

[tight isobar]

Bosh. -12 hpa a plenty and with stored backing...the flow is almost perfect on view....winter proper hits our shores...some bk peddling from certain agencies for sure the next 24 hrs!!!

Edited January 31, 2021 by tight isobar

[Mike Poole]

Pub run T168, just awesome:

Snowfest:

Just need to clear that low at T72!  Stella run

[Windysun1]

4 minutes ago, Griff said:

Don't shoot me, but I'm finding the 18z satisfactory 

If we could improve on the angle Griff. What you think. Deeper cold would come our way. Not a big complaint mind.

[Decemberof2010]

Well well the GFS 18z throws open its pub doors, and says I'll take the £10,000 fine, everyone's welcome

 

 

But a word of warning. Before the 0z's it's important to let you know, the pramstore is only doing click and collect

Edited January 31, 2021 by Decemberof2010

[sheikhy]

The 18z is stuff of dreams❄!!look at that 174 hour chart!!!

[kold weather]

Just now, Man Without Beard said:

The beast is back on the pub run, landing D5/D6 - D7 is very very cold with more to come. Mild to the south just about kept out!

The good news for us down here is that if the evolution happens as per the GFS even a small northward adjustment puts the frontal boundary over our nexck of the woods with an offshore flow, so no need to hugely worry for coastal areas in that solution.

Certainly better run than that rubbish GEM for us though thats for sure!

Lets hope the ensembles hold steady as well.

[feb1991blizzard]

BOOM!

[BLIZZARDMAN]

Wow what a difference a year makes, simply breathtaking...

[Matthew Gill]

Jet at 186, still pushing to the south 

[Ice Day]

Then this at 192!

A run to bring the house down - look north east

[Jason M]

Great 18Z from the GFS. Big temperature contrast between two competing airmasses and an explosion of snow results. Talk about tight margins though as at times you could throw a stone from the white cliffs of Dover and the stone would be in the mild air!!!

[kold weather]

Just now, Bartlett High said:

I'd say it was sucking awesome. 

Yep, your namesake is no where in sight which is always a bonus!

This is hopefully the way the ECM/GEM will trend towards. The UKMO is ok on the 12z run but still a very close call.

I'm very keenly waiting to see what the ensembles will show!

[ICE COLD]

Let’s hope these upgrades keep coming 

T192

[Man With Beard]

Snow for many by next Sunday according to the 18Z

 

Atlantic profile looks primed for a longer cold spell. Could be a pub run special tonight!