Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?

[sheikhy]

My god what an upgrade at just 108 hours!!!!

[Cloud 10]

UKMO 12z 96hrs.

 

[Mike Poole]

Much better GFS 12z, T108 with T114 from the 6z for comparison:

And all good over the pole too.  

[weirpig]

Much better 12z   snow showers pushing way inland on a brisk easterly wind on Saturday      will feel raw

[frosty ground]

Interested to see what happens when the Atlantic moves in / slides by

[ICE COLD]

Yesssssss was so nervous bout this run but it’s there . Come on

[Notty]

T+96

UKMO 12z

GFS 12z

[Griff]

Just now, frosty ground said:

Interested to see what happens when the Atlantic moves in / slides by

You've read my mind

[MJB]

UKMO 120h

[Notty]

12z T+120

UK Met

GFS Op

[Mike Poole]

Just now, Notty said:

T+96

UKMO 12z

GFS 12z

Think I prefer GFS, UKMO just taking a little longer to clear the low T120, but should be OK:

[Ali1977]

Just now, MJB said:

UKMO 120h

Slightly slower than GFS, but still v good. 

[frosty ground]

These changes have a massive effect on where the snow falls, Scotland now dryer at this point.

[Winter Hill]

1 minute ago, MJB said:

UKMO 120h

That low south of Greenland ready to slide 

[Captain Shortwave]

Day 5

GFS

Clean easterly flow here, turning cold everywhere at this point. The -14c into eastern Scotland at day 6.

UKMO

low clearing south east, easterly following.

Not bad so far from these two.

Edited February 1, 2021 by Captain Shortwave

[Continental Climate]

1 minute ago, Notty said:

T+96

UKMO 12z

GFS 12z

Let's hope the gfs verifies we want the cold air in by Friday and no delays from now on. 

[Stu_London]

Just now, frosty ground said:

These changes have a massive effect on where the snow falls, Scotland now dryer at this point.

The frontal boundary doesn't look like affecting the south east this time - less risk - but less reward

[winterof79]

1 minute ago, MJB said:

UKMO 120h

Yes the DODO is about to consume the UK.

[TSNWK]

Just now, Stu_London said:

The frontal boundary doesn't look like affecting the south east this time - less risk - but less reward

fine by mine, just have to settle for streamers and littl troughs that pop up

[MJB]

Stunning from GFS 

[Griff]

Ia, is good. 

Satisfactory 

[Stu_London]

2 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

The frontal boundary doesn't look like affecting the south east this time - less risk - but less reward

I think after what the 06z served up I would tend to agree.

South east should do ok with an easterly in any event

[tight isobar]

Gfs 12z. I’ll take it . We can shout for some open spread top.n bottom ie the med >Iceland.. then we get the beast... everything playing out great right now... easterly inflow @on cards... I’m greedy.. I want the open ended BEAST... on we roll....

[That ECM]

Not sure if se have had much snow yet they’ll be for this.

[Notty]

I hope this isnt an outlier ...