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Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

     

    From earlier this evening 

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

    Nebraska

    Kansas

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

    image.thumb.png.49c4d7d349efe051a448e7d4e5d1c0d5.png

     

    Rinse and repeat...could be kicking off from their mid day

     

    0744 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021 Valid 271300Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of the southern Great Plains into the Ozarks and Mid-Mississippi Valley. Significant damaging winds, very large hail, and a few tornadoes are possible. ...Southern Great Plains to Mid-MS Valley... Most guidance has poorly simulated overnight convection along with the stabilizing impacts of ongoing and decayed convection in parts of the open warm sector. Confidence is greatest in a strongly unstable air mass with MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg developing from west TX into most of OK this afternoon where upper 60s to low 70s surface dew points persist beneath the eastern extent of the elevated mixed-layer. Lesser confidence exists in the amplitude of destabilization with northeast extent into the Mid-MS Valley given a combination of lesser boundary-layer moisture, weaker mid-level lapse rates, and/or residual cloud cover. Guidance that has more closely simulated the elevated convection in the northwest OK/south-central KS vicinity generally suggest increasing coverage this morning as low-level warm/moist advection persists in the wake of earlier decayed convection. This activity should eventually impinge on richer boundary-layer moisture towards north-central/northeast OK, yielding a potential severe threat as early as midday. One or more clusters with embedded supercells should develop east towards the Ozarks and south towards the Red River through the afternoon. Additional supercells should form along the dryline by mid to late afternoon in the afternoon from the TX Trans-Pecos north to the intersection with the cold front/leading outflow near the southeast TX Panhandle into western OK. Large hail (some very large) will be most pronounced with supercells, while amalgamating cold pools should support a significant severe wind threat by late afternoon continuing into the evening. A few tornadoes are also possible particularly in interactions with storm-scale outflows owing to relatively modest low-level shear. Timing of transition to severe, as well as how far south convection will develop prior to peak surface heating, lowers confidence in attempting to identify a mesoscale corridor of greater hazard probabilities with this outlook cycle. Farther northeast across the Lower MO to Mid-MS Valley, multiple MCVs are evident with leading convection in northeast MO rather poorly simulated by guidance. Confidence is fairly low that the degree of destabilization indicated by guidance will truly be achieved downstream across the Mid-MS Valley, as well as over the Lower MO Valley where an attempt at air mass recovery may occur ahead of the impinging cold front. Nevertheless, favorable deep-layer shear and ascent downstream of the northern Great Plains shortwave trough will support a conditional severe threat through this evening. ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2021

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

    image.thumb.png.343630d3a31db2202a47435cecc11618.png

     

    That'll be another new windscreen needed for Reed Timmer 

    Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes are possible across parts of west and central Texas into eastern New Mexico, mainly this afternoon and evening. ...TX... A very moist and potentially unstable air mass is in place today across much of central and southwest TX, with dewpoints in the mid 60s to lower 70s, pockets of strong heating, and very steep mid-level lapse rates. Forecast soundings across the region show afternoon MLCAPE values of 3000-4000 J/kg and little cap. This should result in the development of scattered intense supercells along the various boundaries analyzed over this area and along the dryline over southeast NM and southwest TX. Deep layer shear will favor rotating storms, and straight-line hodographs suggest left-moving supercells will also occur. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are possible. However, the primary threat appears to be very large hail. Therefore, have opted to add an ENH risk area and a 30%/sig hail probability area. Storms should maintain severe threat through much of the evening as they spread southeastward toward central TX, with an increasing risk of bowing structures and damaging winds.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
    13 hours ago, matty40s said:

    image.thumb.png.343630d3a31db2202a47435cecc11618.png

     

    That'll be another new windscreen needed for Reed Timmer 

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    @CatchMyDrift hoping you are safe 

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Wind driven falling snow
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)
    16 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

    @CatchMyDrift hoping you are safe 

     

     

    Aye that big blob skimmed south of us, all we had was some rain and steady thunder for a while but now blue skies clearing in behind. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Wind driven falling snow
  • Location: Calgary, Canada (1230m asl)

    @Kirkcaldy Weather this is an hour away from me.

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    🤩 Bonkers structure 

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

    Amazing....

     

     

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