2021 Tornado events, chat & reports

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

 

From earlier this evening 

[matty40s]

Nebraska

Kansas

 

[matty40s]

 

Rinse and repeat...could be kicking off from their mid day

 

0744 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021 Valid 271300Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of the southern Great Plains into the Ozarks and Mid-Mississippi Valley. Significant damaging winds, very large hail, and a few tornadoes are possible. ...Southern Great Plains to Mid-MS Valley... Most guidance has poorly simulated overnight convection along with the stabilizing impacts of ongoing and decayed convection in parts of the open warm sector. Confidence is greatest in a strongly unstable air mass with MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg developing from west TX into most of OK this afternoon where upper 60s to low 70s surface dew points persist beneath the eastern extent of the elevated mixed-layer. Lesser confidence exists in the amplitude of destabilization with northeast extent into the Mid-MS Valley given a combination of lesser boundary-layer moisture, weaker mid-level lapse rates, and/or residual cloud cover. Guidance that has more closely simulated the elevated convection in the northwest OK/south-central KS vicinity generally suggest increasing coverage this morning as low-level warm/moist advection persists in the wake of earlier decayed convection. This activity should eventually impinge on richer boundary-layer moisture towards north-central/northeast OK, yielding a potential severe threat as early as midday. One or more clusters with embedded supercells should develop east towards the Ozarks and south towards the Red River through the afternoon. Additional supercells should form along the dryline by mid to late afternoon in the afternoon from the TX Trans-Pecos north to the intersection with the cold front/leading outflow near the southeast TX Panhandle into western OK. Large hail (some very large) will be most pronounced with supercells, while amalgamating cold pools should support a significant severe wind threat by late afternoon continuing into the evening. A few tornadoes are also possible particularly in interactions with storm-scale outflows owing to relatively modest low-level shear. Timing of transition to severe, as well as how far south convection will develop prior to peak surface heating, lowers confidence in attempting to identify a mesoscale corridor of greater hazard probabilities with this outlook cycle. Farther northeast across the Lower MO to Mid-MS Valley, multiple MCVs are evident with leading convection in northeast MO rather poorly simulated by guidance. Confidence is fairly low that the degree of destabilization indicated by guidance will truly be achieved downstream across the Mid-MS Valley, as well as over the Lower MO Valley where an attempt at air mass recovery may occur ahead of the impinging cold front. Nevertheless, favorable deep-layer shear and ascent downstream of the northern Great Plains shortwave trough will support a conditional severe threat through this evening. ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2021

[matty40s]

 

That'll be another new windscreen needed for Reed Timmer 

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes are possible across parts of west and central Texas into eastern New Mexico, mainly this afternoon and evening. ...TX... A very moist and potentially unstable air mass is in place today across much of central and southwest TX, with dewpoints in the mid 60s to lower 70s, pockets of strong heating, and very steep mid-level lapse rates. Forecast soundings across the region show afternoon MLCAPE values of 3000-4000 J/kg and little cap. This should result in the development of scattered intense supercells along the various boundaries analyzed over this area and along the dryline over southeast NM and southwest TX. Deep layer shear will favor rotating storms, and straight-line hodographs suggest left-moving supercells will also occur. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are possible. However, the primary threat appears to be very large hail. Therefore, have opted to add an ENH risk area and a 30%/sig hail probability area. Storms should maintain severe threat through much of the evening as they spread southeastward toward central TX, with an increasing risk of bowing structures and damaging winds.

 

[matty40s]

13 hours ago, matty40s said:

 

That'll be another new windscreen needed for Reed Timmer 

 

 

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[matty40s]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

@CatchMyDrift hoping you are safe 

 

 

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Bonkers structure 

 

 

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[matty40s]

Amazing....

 

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[matty40s]

 

[matty40s]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[matty40s]

 

[mike57]

There appears to have been a damaging tornado in the Czech Republic yesterday, does anyone have any more details. Just realised probably the wrong thread for this mods feel free to move it

Edited June 25, 2021 by mike57
added about wrong thread

[matty40s]

24 minutes ago, mike57 said:

There appears to have been a damaging tornado in the Czech Republic yesterday, does anyone have any more details. Just realised probably the wrong thread for this mods feel free to move it

Try the Euro storms thread...and the UK one, quite a bit in there.

[Norrance]

Just posted this photo in the North America thread from friends in Indiana last night. Apparently did not do much damage but not often that you can get a photo like this from your home.

[Gowon]

The Met office are investigating whether this was a tornado in London yesterday.

Met Office investigating 'tornado' which tore down walls and smashed windows in east London

INEWS.CO.UK

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Police were called to the incident in Barking on Friday evening but said no one was injured

 

[Chloe]

Why on Earth are they investigating?…if you had seen the sky’s over that way from West London you would see definitely something was gonna happen…thank goodness no one was injured in the event…