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Model output discussion 24/01/21


phil nw.

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Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
Just now, Battleground Snow said:

You know something is brewing when 4am club is bigger than me and @Kentspur

Upgrades on the 00z? Unbelievable!

Beast is in at 192 on gem too

gemnh-1-192.png

Only question is does it persist and block? 

gemnh-0-204.png

gemnh-1-204.png

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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
14 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

You know something is brewing when 4am club is bigger than me and @Kentspur

Upgrades on the 00z? Unbelievable!

Beast is in at 192 on gem too

gemnh-1-192.png

Beautiful chart can u tell im back on night shifts for 10 days- love it get to stay awake for the 0zs haha and works dead while we're in lockdown

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Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire

Trouble with parallel is it could too easily be short lived as per last night's 18z..

Could do with better heights, more blocking. 

gfsnh-0-180.png

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Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry
Just now, Griff said:

GFSP knife edge to catastrophe, but a slight upgrade over 18z... Can it redeem itself? (perhaps next time) 

gfsnh-0-204.png

It looks messy and confused doesn't it,

I had a quick peek at the hi Res models for the snow tomorrow, and there is a wide range of options, from rain, sleet and heavy snow. Forecasting nightmare and probably a nowcast out the window job.

Arome attached

 

aromehd-45-47-0.png

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Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
11 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

It looks messy and confused doesn't it,

I had a quick peek at the hi Res models for the snow tomorrow, and there is a wide range of options, from rain, sleet and heavy snow. Forecasting nightmare and probably a nowcast out the window job.

Arome attached

 

aromehd-45-47-0.png

Next frame will show cold pool moving away from UK to the east... 

Didn't someone say gem is more accurate day 10  

Edit... No gets better  

gfsnh-0-234.png

gfsnh-1-234.png

 

 

 

 

Edited by Griff
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Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire

By which point if it ever happened the cold ship may have sailed east, but wow, incredible chart. 

Stuck in the middle with you  

 

gfsnh-0-282.png

Edit: // worst of the bunch so far today, but has cold moments, and definitely an improvement on 18z from last night. Hopefully trending back to more blocked and cold in FI today? 

Edited by Griff
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