February 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[J10]

I think I'll hedge my bets 3.5c and 85mm.

[Man With Beard]

Please change mine to 3.9C

[Nigerian Prince]

I will  go for 3.6 CET and 75mm rainfall.

Gender Male Location Battersea London,

[sundog]

2.0c and 80 mm please.

[davehsug]

3.4C & 70mm please.

[Stationary Front]

1.1 with 88mm please

[Midlands Ice Age]

Just watched the pub run roll out.

Was going for 3.2C now changed to 0.1C

95mms of snowfall. (oh OK  2 meters then)

MIA

[booferking]

0.0c 66mm please.

[February1978]

2.8c and 77mm please

[snowray]

3 hours ago, snowray said:

4.7c and 56mm please.

Can I change please, starting to think that it could stay cold all month...short month February after all so might happen, had originally been thinking along the lines of a warm up in the second half. 

2.3c and 72.5mm...mainly of snow please.

[Man With Beard]

So sorry, can't decide between cold and mild, so going to change for the last time, 3.4C please

[Kentish Man]

1.4C thanks

[snowray]

9 minutes ago, Man Without Beard said:

So sorry, can't decide between cold and mild, so going to change for the last time, 3.4C please

Yes tough one this, I’m still torn. Good chance i’m thinking to myself that eventually HP will move up giving us some balmy mild Feb temps at some point.

[Godber 1]

Nodded off in front of the tv, so late. My guess is 2.2c and 88mm please.

[Cymro]

0.4, 73mm

[Roger J Smith]

Table of forecasts for February 2021

Numbers in brackets beside forecaster names refer to order of entry in contest. 

_ four marginally late by minutes, two before I even posted the table for further edit ... thanks for your honesty _ 

... 1930h Feb 1st, added one more later entries _ you can still enter until end of 3rd Feb. ...

CET __ EWP __ Forecaster __________________________CET __ EWP __ Forecaster __________________

10.0 __500.0__ Lettucing Gutted ( 02 ) _____________ 3.0 __ 95.0 __ moffat ( 08 ) __________________

 7.8 __ 50.0 __ Earthshine ( 11 ) ____________________ 3.0 __ 80.0 __ Leo97t ( 44 ) _________________

 7.5 __100.5__ syed2878 ( 35 ) _____________________ 3.0 __ 58.0 __ Mulzy ( 54 ) __________________

 6.0 __ 72.0 __ weather26 ( 03 ) ____________________ 2.9 __ ------ __ Typhoon John ( 32 ) __________

 5.2 __ 38.0 __ shillitocettwo ( 12 ) __________________2.9 __ 99.9 __ Polar Gael ( 40 ) ______________

 5.0 __ 65.0 __ pegg24 ( 09 ) ________________________ 2.8 __ 57.0 __ Tom SE12 ( 21 ) ______________

 4.9 __ 72.4 __ 1991-2020 average __________________ 2.8 __ 77.0 __ February1978 ( 66 ) __________

 4.6 __ 85.0 __ bobd29 ( 07 ) ________________________2.8 __150.0__ moorlander ( L1-11 ) _________

 ____________________________________________________2.7 __ ------ __ Summer Sun ( 38 ) ___________

 4.5 __110.0__ Timmytour ( 05 ) ___________________  2.7 __ 81.1 __ Dog Toffee ( 42 ) ______________

 4.4 __ ------ __ Froze were the Days ( 39 ) ___________2.7 __ 60.0 __ Born From the Void ( 50 )______

 4.4 __ 83.0 __ cawsand ( 49 ) _______________________2.6 __ 70.0 __ virtualsphere ( 17 ) _____________

 4.4 __ ------ __ Quicksilver1989 ( L1-3 ) ______________2.6 __ 70.0 __ Frigid ( 58 ) _____________________

 4.4 __ 66.5 __ 1981-2010 average __________________ 2.4 __ 88.0 __ stewfox ( 26 ) __________________

 4.2 __102.0__ Reef ( 45 ) ___________________________ 2.3 __ 72.5 __ snowray ( 67 ) __________________ 

  4.1 __ 68.0 __ Joneseye ( 37 ) _______________________2.2 __ 92.0 __ windysun1 ( 30 ) _______________

 4.0 __ 80.0 __ DiagonalRedLine ( 18 ) _______________2.2 __ 88.0 __ Godber 1 ( L1-1 ) _______________

 4.0 __100.0__ DR(S)NO ( 25 ) _______________________2.2 __100.0__General Cluster ( L1-9 ) ________ 

 3.9 __ 60.0 __ Summer Blizzard ( 01 ) ______________ 2.1 __ 68.0 __ seaside60 ( 41 ) ________________

 3.9 __ 69.0 __ SteveB ( 14 ) _________________________2.1 __ 45.0 __ Captain Shortwave ( 57 ) _______ 

 3.9 __ 58.0 __ Federico ( 20 ) _______________________ 2.1 __ 62.0 __ jonboy ( L1-7 ) __________________ 

 3.9 __ 55.0 __ weather-history ( 36 ) ________________2.0 __ 58.0 __ daniel* ( 52 ) ___________________

 3.9 __ ------ __ damianslaw ( 46 ) ____________________ 2.0 __ 80.0 __ sundog ( 61 ) ____________________

 3.9 __105.0__ Mr Maunder ( 47 ) ___________________1.9 __ 56.0 __ Neil N ( 04 ) ______________________

 3.9 __ ------ __ Mark Bayley ( 55 ) ___________________1.9 __ 55.0 __ DAVID SNOW ( 27 ) ______________ 

 3.8 __ 93.0 __ BARRY ( 15 ) _________________________1.9 __ 91.0 __ Sky Full ( L1-8 ) __________________

 3.8 __ 90.0 __ Relativistic ( L1-6 ) ___________________1.6 __ 70.8 __ Kirkcaldy Weather ( 22 ) ________ 

 3.7 __ 90.0 __ noname_weather ( 51 ) ______________1.4 __ ------ __ Kentish Man ( 69 ) _______________

 3.7 __ 85.0 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST ( L1-4 ) ______1.4 __ 72.0 __ Let It Snow! ( L1-5 ) ______________

 3.7 __114.0__ stargazer ( L1-10 ) ___________________1.3 __ 46.2 __ Roger J Smith ( 10 ) _______________

 3.6 __ ------ __ dancerwithwings ( 16 ) _______________1.2 __ 63.0 __ Emmett Garland ( 34 ) _____________ 

 3.6 __ 75.0 __ Nigerian Prince ( 60 ) ________________ 1.1 __ 88.0 __ Stationary Front ( 63 ) ______________

 3.5 __ 93.7 __ 2010cold ( 53 ) _______________________0.4 __ 96.0 __ Walsall Wood Snow ( 43 ) _______ 

 3.5 __ 85.0 __  J 10 ( 59 ) ____________________________0.4 __ 73.0 __ cymro ( L1-2 ) ____________________

 3.4 __ 98.0 __ prolongedSnowLover ( 48 ) __________0.3 __ 75.0 __ Paul T ( 24 ) _____________________

 3.4 __ 70.0 __ davehsug ( 62 ) ______________________ 0.1 __ 88.0 __ Yorkshire Pudding ( 28 ) ________

 3.4 __ ------ __ Man without Beard ( 68 ) ____________ 0.1 __ 95.0 __ Midlands Ice Age ( 64 ) __________

 3.3 __ 85.0 __ Feb1991Blizzard ( 33 ) _______________ 0.0 __ 66.0 __ booferking ( 65 ) ________________

 3.2 __ 95.0 __ JeffC ( 06 ) ___________________________--0.6 __  ------ __ Duncan McAlister ( 31 ) ________

 3.2 __ 80.0 __ The PIT ( 23 ) ________________________--0.9 __ 112.0 __ SLEETY ( 29 ) __________________ 

 3.2 __ 75.0 __ Don ( 56 ) ___________________________

 3.1 __ 95.0 __ Summer18 ( 13 ) ____________________  

 3.1 __ 55.0 __ I remember Atlantic 252 ( 19 ) ______  

 3.0 __ 80.0 __ consensus __________________________

 69 on time forecasts, 11 one day late, total 80 ... consensus (median) 3.0 C.

======================================================

EWP forecasts (in order) 

500_LG ..150_moor^ ..114_star^ ..112_SLE ..110_Tim ..105_MrM ..102_Reef ..100.5_syed .. 100_DR(S)NO, GC^ .. 99.9_PG .. 98_pSL .. 96_WWS ..

 95_Jeff, moff, sum18, MIA . 93.7_2010c .. 93_BAR .. 92_ windy .. 91_Sky^ .. 90_non, Rel^ .. 88_stew, YP, SF, godb^ .. 85_bob, Feb91, J 10, BFTP^

 83_caw ... 81.1_DT ... 80_DRL, PIT, leo, sun, con ...  77_Feb78 .. 75_Paul, Don, NiPr .. 73_cym^ .. 72.5_snow ... 72.4_91-20 .. 72_wx26,LIS^ .. 

 70.8_KW .. 70_virt, Frig, dave .. 69_Ste ..  68_Jones, sea ...  66.5_81-10 ... 66_boof ... 65_pegg ... 63_EG ... 62_jon^ .. 60_SB, BFTV ...

 58_Fed, dan, Mul ... 57_Tom ..  56_NN ...  55_Irem, DS, wx-h ... 50_earth ... 46.2_RJS ... 45_Capt ... 38_shil

_ 60 on time forecasts, 10 marked one day late ^ .. 70 total .. consensus (median) is 80.0 mm. _

 

 

 

Edited February 6, 2021 by Roger J Smith

[Derecho]

I'll go for 4.4C

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

3.7c and 85mm

 

BFTP

[Roger J Smith]

2 hours ago, Man Without Beard said:

So sorry, can't decide between cold and mild, so going to change for the last time, 3.4C please

Am I losing my memory or were you recently Man with Beard? 

If so, when was the name change? 

[LetItSnow!]

i’m a little late this time!

1.4 and 72mm please 

[Relativistic]

A late 3.8C. Precip 90mm.

[jonboy]

A Late 2.1 and 62mm

[Sky Full]

If this competition is still open for entries, I would like 1.9C and 91mm, please.

Thanks!

[Methuselah]

Oops, a day late:  

2.2C and 100mm please Roger.

[Man With Beard]

10 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Am I losing my memory or were you recently Man with Beard? 

If so, when was the name change? 

Yes Roger. I threatened to shave my beard off when it was forecast not to snow on an easterly in January. When it rained in my location, I followed through with my threat.