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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?


Paul
Message added by Paul,

Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread

For local cold/snow and weather related chat, please head over to the Regional Area.

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Posted
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters, hot summers
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany

spacer.png

Finally CFS is on tracks!

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
8 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

ICON looks good.

Need the UKMO to firm up on the Greenie ridge in the t+120 range.

T96 looking better, t120 this morning had the LP to our NW blow up somewhat.  T72 to t96 has it diminishing

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Pontypool, 132m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Pontypool, 132m ASL

Cold coming a bit earlier on the GFS(P) 12z

06z - image.thumb.png.249380b604af4f26d0620fb309f7e00a.png

12z - image.thumb.png.2ebc20eec7d43c59bdc60cb99b6b0ee1.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire

UKMO T120 

EF23362E-A5B3-4BFB-8E4E-B5CC0254F460.gif
 

And 144 39202C92-1F78-4C32-BCC8-0983DCAE4150.thumb.gif.455b28fcd60920a09bf74aa4e5e5f961.gif

Edited by ICE COLD
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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

image.thumb.gif.0d37280e7a80d52f0e233a3d564d1fe1.gif
 

t144....where does that go?  I tell you what...there’s nothing to come from the west!

 

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Ukmo looks good to me at 144!

Cut off nicely and ridge about to head up

UN144-21 (13).gif

Good as in ..not mild..I’ll drink too that..oops not updated yet!?

9B7FDECA-5D69-4D7B-B90B-727118135D91.thumb.png.daf24aaac3a8f1c152dfa4ebbf25a3dc.png

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

06z at t156


image.thumb.png.00a2c3546da08641b780d611a551897e.png
 

12z at t150

image.thumb.png.feddac308643484129a8b4731c276c7b.png

 

I know which one I would prefer to be right

 

BFTP

 

 

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST
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Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
2 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

image.thumb.png.00a2c3546da08641b780d611a551897e.png
 

 

 

why are you showing the 6z run??

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Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
1 minute ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

To compare the two runs

the 2nd run wasnt showing for some reason

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Posted
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters, hot summers
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
5 minutes ago, fromey said:

why are you showing the 6z run??

This I don't understand, the comparison off "middle" and "full" runs is just...

GFS data usage

 

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Source: https://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/gfs_gdas_observation_amount_quality.asp

 

Edited by Vikos
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Posted
  • Location: Near Gouda, Holland. 6m Below Sea Level.
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, snow, ice. Very hot or very cold.
  • Location: Near Gouda, Holland. 6m Below Sea Level.

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

Here we go...

a lot better than the 06z run.

gfsnh-0-180.thumb.png.10699448af906efa36329a22b0738091.pnggfsnh-0-186.thumb.png.fab367ce210df27ad498d7424d30c045.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Just now, Cold Winter Night said:

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

Getting there a lot quicker lol . 
 

T186

D9AA7606-408D-4B24-993B-726C6CC28E86.png

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
1 minute ago, Cold Winter Night said:

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

It’s heading for a Boom

 

BFTP

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