South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[Djdazzle]

Just hilarious how some in the mod thread have shown how little they really know about the weather.

All roads lead to cold!

Nailed on cold.’

Historic month.

No chance of Atlantic getting in.

Utter tripe!

[Polaris]

Signs of ppn backing west now 

However with it fragmenting and becoming lighter, expect more rain before it peters out to leave us with a frosty/icy night once skies clears especially NE of region 

[Polaris]

3 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Just hilarious how some in the mod thread have shown how little they really know about the weather.

All roads lead to cold!

Nailed on cold.’

Historic month.

No chance of Atlantic getting in.

Utter tripe!

I’m not venturing into that thread going forward. 
 

I’ll stick to the Met Office and you folk in here 

[Jason M]

18 minutes ago, Lord Grogon said:

Behold the snowfields of East London.

(sorry, can't make the graph on the right any bigger. The orange line means "flood" though)

We have had a lot of snow and blizzards lately. Trouble is its been the wrong kind of snow (ie rain).

[snowking]

Irritatingly light precipitation now but it is now sleet/snow

[Kentspur]

5 minutes ago, Polaris said:

I’m not venturing into that thread going forward. 
 

I’ll stick to the Met Office and you folk in here 

The same Met office that keep teasing us with wording such as this only to remove it a few hours later?

[Nimbusman]

Looks like the band is now breaking up as soon as we get temps more conducive for snow!  

[Jason M]

7 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Just hilarious how some in the mod thread have shown how little they really know about the weather.

All roads lead to cold!

Nailed on cold.’

Historic month.

No chance of Atlantic getting in.

Utter tripe!

Trouble is, people tend to see what they want to see rather than what is actually really in front of them. Its hard to get across to people that the dramatic northerly they think they are looking at is really just signaling cold rain for most. Despite all the ramping at no time this winter has a meaningful cold spell been modelled for our part of the world (bar an odd rogue run). That still holds true now. Its not even like a cold spell was predicted and disappeared. It hasn't really even been predicted! So people have been ramping charts showing rain and then getting upset when it doesn't snow.

[pureasthedriven]

1 minute ago, Djdazzle said:

Just hilarious how some in the mod thread have shown how little they really know about the weather.

All roads lead to cold!

Nailed on cold.’

Historic month.

No chance of Atlantic getting in.

Utter tripe!

To be fair, it’s a hobby for most and at least there are some spending lots of time sticking their head above the parapet to give detailed forecasts. That said, even the very knowledgeable posters haven’t been able to provide anything more accurate than what’s on offer from the BBC or, to be honest, my iPhone app in terms of a ten day trend! The models have been mostly consistently wrong when calling proper cold (as in for week+ forecasting) and Exeter has changed tune more times than Boris. That’s four consecutive MetO updates that have basically flipped. So no one has been accurate unless they’re just prepared to stick to one or two days, like most BBC TV forecasts - and a trained chimp can do that. I’m sure some forecasters can claim some success - but in terms of how the broad scale pattern has been modelled since mid-Dec? Wrong, wrong and thrice wrong. No doubt someone from northern climes will say ‘we’ve had four snow events already and it’s only mid-Jan’. But we don’t live in the north. And it used to snow in the south. Much is made of 2018 but before that it was 2013. Give or take a few slushy days, I can only recall three cold and reasonably snowy spells in the last 7 years and two of those were in 2013! Says it all. 
It’s gutting and an inescapable fact that winter in the UK - especially down here - simply isn’t what it used to be. Only recently the MetO said that in thirty odd years, snow could be basically ‘extinct’ in southern Britain. They just might be right... 

[Nimbusman]

6 minutes ago, snowking said:

Irritatingly light precipitation now but it is now sleet/snow

Would this be the result more colder dry air moving in?
 

You couldn’t make this up - well I suppose you could actually! Onto next week for more marginal excitement

[Polaris]

3 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

The same Met office that keep teasing us with wording such as this only to remove it a few hours later?

Hey @Kentspur

Totally agree mate. Meto is incredibly inaccurate some of the time, but at least they don’t BOOM us with Nirvana posts and ‘Winter nailed’ ‘Dead cert’ ‘No going back, winter nailed on’ which was happening only two days ago. 

[Polaris]

5 minutes ago, Nimbusman said:

Looks like the band is now breaking up as soon as we get temps more conducive for snow!  

Seems the form horse so far this winter. 
When it’s to warm for snow = ppn shall fall

When its cold enough = bone dry 

[Polaris]

15 minutes ago, snowking said:

Irritatingly light precipitation now but it is now sleet/snow

Rain pepped up again here. No sign of anything wintry 

[snowrye]

4.8c now, how depressing

[Paul Sherman]

Occlusion now running out of steam and Precip shrinking, just as things would become favourable as darkness comes lol like sucking lemons down here these days much the same as trying to get more than 5 strikes of Lightning in a storm in the summer.

As the Vorticity this evening loses steam skies should clear from the North East. Darren Bent seems to think it will only get down to 0c so expect a few -3c tonight and if that happens at least some should be in for a frost tomorrow. Much drier tomorrow which should be a bit cheerier for us all.

ROS (Roll On Spring)

[Jamie M]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Occlusion now running out of steam and Precip shrinking, just as things would become favourable as darkness comes lol like sucking lemons down here these days much the same as trying to get more than 5 strikes of Lightning in a storm in the summer.

As the Vorticity this evening loses steam skies should clear from the North East. Darren Bent seems to think it will only get down to 0c so expect a few -3c tonight and if that happens at least some should be in for a frost tomorrow. Much drier tomorrow which should be a bit cheerier for us all.

ROS (Roll On Spring)

Spring can never be too far away. You'd hope the summer could deliver some more storms this year compared to last if nothing else happens this winter.

[80sWeather]

Nice light snow falling now in Cambourne. 
But as usual the front is running out of steam just as the cold air is here.

Edited January 14, 2021 by 80sWeather

[Polaris]

3 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Occlusion now running out of steam and Precip shrinking, just as things would become favourable as darkness comes lol like sucking lemons down here these days much the same as trying to get more than 5 strikes of Lightning in a storm in the summer.

As the Vorticity this evening loses steam skies should clear from the North East. Darren Bent seems to think it will only get down to 0c so expect a few -3c tonight and if that happens at least some should be in for a frost tomorrow. Much drier tomorrow which should be a bit cheerier for us all.

ROS (Roll On Spring)

With you on that mate. 
 

When interior Spain picks up to 50cm of snow and Madrid city collects 40cm - it’s something only dreams are made of for us in the U.K. 

And they can guarantee a hot summer 2021 with storms every so often. 
 

[lawrenk]

Well the mid range MO update seems like another, much needed, kick in the proverbials for us in the SE. No mention of snow for us but, hey you guessed it, plenty more rain to come.

Looks like we may be waiting until at least the end of the month and into Feb for any chances.

 

[Mapantz]

26 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

ROS (Roll On Spring)

The CoS is adapting itself to other weather phenomena, just like the SoR here. 

[Paul Sherman]

Just now, Mapantz said:

The CoS is adapting itself to other weather phenomena, just like the SoR here. 

Haha how many we got now

COS

TOD

POS

SOR

ROS

All of them are in the words of Carry On Films - Khasi

[Blessed Weather]

I'm afraid some posts have been removed. Please, let's not get into sniping about other members in other threads. Thank you.

[clark3r]

This winter is frustrating, reason why, it’s been colder than recent winters so far, up north they’ve been getting snow, here we have had cold rain and frosts, I don’t see much changing going forward at the moment

[Tim Bland]

Wet snow Stevenage DP 0.5 temp 1c

[Polaris]

Sleet here just started 

Looking at the ever decaying ppn that looks as if the best I’ll get.