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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
    3 minutes ago, Matty J said:

    I can’t believe how far north is actually got, currently it’s northern extent is north of Derby!

    Massive fail for the models again, nowhere was it forcast to get that far up. Some only just put it north of the M4 😳

    Very true, this is why I think there might be some more decent ppn to come for some in the coming hours plus, with temperatures dropping away as it gets dark, anything could happen.

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    4 minutes ago, Matty J said:

    I can’t believe how far north is actually got, currently it’s northern extent is north of Derby!

    Massive fail for the models again, nowhere was it forcast to get that far up. Some only just put it north of the M4 😳

    I was going by the aperge yesterday and it did pretty well... 

    4E1F5928-5910-491B-9345-067D04DC828E.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Ipswich, Suffolk 72asl
  • Location: Ipswich, Suffolk 72asl
    Just now, Coopsy said:

    I was going by the aperge yesterday and it did pretty well... 

    4E1F5928-5910-491B-9345-067D04DC828E.jpeg

    Pretty much spot on with snow line too 

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    3 minutes ago, Nimbusman said:

    Pretty much spot on with snow line too 

    Yup and that’s why I called the east of London as missing out due to rain/sleet which it picked out quite accurately - though I did think there’d be a dusting especially over high ground but that didn’t happen 

    Edited by Coopsy
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    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge,Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge,Kent
    1 hour ago, Speedbird said:

    I think. after today. it's time for a new hobby away from model watching.

    giving up smoking was easier,i dont smoke now, but i still look at this madness : -),cant help it can you lol 

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    Posted
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl
  • Location: ramsgate 42m asl

    stopped snowing now, hopefully we may get some more , still I have seen snow falling even though it was avery small amount

    Edited by PLANET THANET
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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Eastbourne East Sussex
    3 hours ago, jasonuk said:

    Ha! thats the best it got for us. Its almost passed us now. The last bit of hope for today is if it pivots like they say and comes back down, but i fear it maybe too far east of us and be fizzling away by then. Im just up the road from you in carew road, so a about 20m asl  😄

    Met office forecast dont look to good for later. Like you say fizzling out by then. Looked like just an area cloud. Maybe another system coming into cold air at the weekend but I dont think that's a good set up for us. Always seems to rain. Too close to the channel. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Welwyn Herts 115m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Surprises
  • Location: Welwyn Herts 115m ASL

    Looks like this weather has created a new mutation 😷 

    🙂

    Latest Mutation spotted in Welwyn 24-01-2021.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
    2 minutes ago, TN9 said:

    giving up smoking was easier,i dont smoke now, but i still look at this madness : -),cant help it can you lol 

    Haha same here, I gave up smoking much easier than giving up this weather lark too- it's impossible!

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Hot and Sunny but not opressive
  • Location: Chessington, Surrey

    Hmm , This wasn’t forecast was it ? Is it making its way towards some in the region .

    CBB6DB06-2C4F-46AF-9E52-5408A07FFADD.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    3 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

    Hmm , This wasn’t forecast was it ? Is it making its way towards some in the region .

    CBB6DB06-2C4F-46AF-9E52-5408A07FFADD.jpeg

    Think it's what's causing the sligh warm sector that changed the light stuff over London to drizzle.

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    Posted
  • Location: NE Hampshire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: snow, cold, ice, frost, thundersnow,
  • Location: NE Hampshire, England, United Kingdom
    4 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

    Hmm , This wasn’t forecast was it ? Is it making its way towards some in the region .

    CBB6DB06-2C4F-46AF-9E52-5408A07FFADD.jpeg

    It seems like more of a wintry mix away from high ground. That said for some in the region it might be of interest as it gets dark and temperatures drop a little.

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
    3 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

    Hmm , This wasn’t forecast was it ? Is it making its way towards some in the region .

    CBB6DB06-2C4F-46AF-9E52-5408A07FFADD.jpeg

    I agree, we can't rely on the forecasts and models too much, as they generally forecasted the system to be far further South than it is.

    There is still some energy left in this system, it's just a matter of radar watching and nowcasting.

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    Well here we are, 1 hour into the NW app's 9-hour-long 'snow event'... and, you've guess it: flock all!🤣

    In fact, the more I think about it, the more I come to believe that apps (whether they be touted as 'World-beating' or not) are next to bleeding useless!😁

    Edited by General Cluster
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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL

    There is still lying snow here in West London, so the warm sector hasn't reached here yet and shows how localised it is.

    I think there is still more to come, time will tell. 

    IMG-20210124-WA0000.jpeg

    Edited by Sno' problem
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    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
    36 minutes ago, Downpour said:

    All round fail for the models. GFS was the closest. The so-called hi-res models were in chocolate fireguard country.

    Absolute cannon fodder. 

    ECM last couple of days for this morning. Looks like a fairly good match 

    D7EBE098-05C7-49DA-A72D-61D06048C42C.jpeg

    CF53D73F-654F-4159-AAC5-72B2E7DFC869.jpeg

    B78AF72E-981D-489E-A793-C6BC3ECE481D.jpeg

    65FA0BA1-B9B0-421E-B854-24FE197FC22F.jpeg

    Edited by Tim Bland
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    Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood

    Started snowing again... I guess its starting the move back South.... 

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    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
    16 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

    Hmm , This wasn’t forecast was it ? Is it making its way towards some in the region .

    CBB6DB06-2C4F-46AF-9E52-5408A07FFADD.jpeg

    Front is going to pivot whilst dying out it will then head south so that stuff to the south west will go into the Chanel. Look north for this evening...

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
    34 minutes ago, Coopsy said:

    I was going by the aperge yesterday and it did pretty well... 

    4E1F5928-5910-491B-9345-067D04DC828E.jpeg

    What the Aberge didn't forecast was the amount of ppn coming from the West and NW that we can see building on the radar. 

    Keep an eye on the radar folks!

    Edited by Sno' problem
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    Posted
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards,Hot Thundery nights.
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
    1 hour ago, Nick F said:

    UKV performed pretty poorly with northward extent on yesterday 12z run with today's snow band, today at 14z radar vs yesterday's 12z UKV

    640537044_Screenshot_20210124-143451_SamsungInternet.thumb.jpg.90cf781395e88c5e5fad2c10db7ef7c8.jpgviewimage-31.thumb.png.c8f94d760ac24dea1a2b2400c7ba28e0.png

    For a high res model, not great 24hrs out

    Yes ECM looked much closer to what happened today.

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    Posted
  • Location: Surbiton, Surrey (home), Uxbridge, Middx (work)
  • Location: Surbiton, Surrey (home), Uxbridge, Middx (work)
    3 hours ago, weathergeek said:

    I'm in Ashtead (between Leatherhead and Epsom) and the pink blob had been sitting about 5m to the west for 1.5hrs then started and got about 5-6cm in 2.5hrs! Come up Epsom Downs now for a little sledge, still been very finely snowing but brightening up now. 

    Meto has more snow overnight so looks like it's coming back over later??!!!x

    What a lovely fall you had, I bet Epsom Downs was fantastic... might just creep there if any snow is left tomorrow:) We got a few cm with very heavy snowfall for a while before it went a bit splodgy but overall very happy with our walk to the local park. Will post a few pics later. I hope loads of people got a good covering of snow, it feels like years since we enjoyed this kind of snowfall in the SW London part of town.

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