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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    2 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

    Dewpoints dropping over the region now.

    0°c Hampshire way

    1°C West Sussex 

    2°c further east. Essex/ Kent.

    so any precipitation that makes it further across the region more likely to reach the ground as snow

    You expecting them to fall further east? Thanks 

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    Hi everyone Been lurking on this site for probably around 12 years. Used to lurk on TWO. Never post but just wanted to share some pics from Folkestone Warren this evening looking out along the wh

    Some more photos from a local walk this morning. The freezing fog made everything special...

    Lots of Boom Posts starting to appear again in the MOD Thread so things could start to get interesting in the run upto the weekend as the models start showing the period 21-23rd by the 8th Jan runs.

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
    Just now, Jackski4 said:

    You expecting them to fall further east? Thanks 

    Dewpoints will normally drop off at night if airmass is consistent.  Strong winds from the sea will modify this somewhat, so less of a drop further east

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    Just now, chionomaniac said:

    Dewpoints will normally drop off at night if airmass is consistent.  Strong winds from the sea will modify this somewhat, so less of a drop further east

    Thankyou:) Hopefully they’ll drop enough.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea

    Can confirm it is now sleeting in Shoeburyness with 1-9DP. If it drops much lower this could get very interesting 

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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    Nothing better than watching the Footy With A Hot Chocholate and one Eye on a lamppost. 

    16097900029125622409812294946993.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
    2 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

    Thankyou:) Hopefully they’ll drop enough.

    Just checked UKV and it forecasts dps to be 0°C across the west from West Sussex and also including north downs. Elsewhere 1°c with exposed coastal fringes remaining around 2°C

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk

    It's beginning to transfer ladies and gentlemen, it's beginning to transfer 😂

     

    IMG_20210104_195405.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    5 minutes ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

    Nothing better than watching the Footy With A Hot Chocholate and one Eye on a lamppost. 

    16097900029125622409812294946993.jpg

    Living the dream mate 

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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Cold Cold
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey

    Evening! 
     

    temp 3 

    dp 0 (ish) 

    Farnham, Surrey 

    not a lot going on outside, seems a bit damp in the air! I can’t work out if blobs are going to get to me and/or if they will be more than sleet!! I still have no snow symbols at all this week! 🙁 

    Sue x 

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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Cold Cold
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey

    Does anyone else stare/look at charts where there are no names desperately trying to work Out exactly where they live! 
     

    ive only lived here all my life and I still struggle to work it out!!! 😳

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    Posted
  • Location: Crowborough East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: warm sunny days, tons of snow!
  • Location: Crowborough East Sussex

    We have sleet in Crowborough! The winter peak has been reached! 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Missing the showers here ATM ( just sliding to the south ) but in the mean time the air dries out more & conditions become more favourable.

    My heavy snow shower 'settling' parameter is still a few hours away but its coming into range... 

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
  • Location: Nr. Tunbridge Wells (150m/450ft asl)
    7 minutes ago, leemondo said:

    We have sleet in Crowborough! The winter peak has been reached! 😂

    Was driving through Frant 30 mins ago (next hill over) and during some heavy stuff it was very sleety with a few glorious moments where it went quiet and it was suddenly a white cloud. Didn't stay that way and was back to light rain/sleet 5 mins later at home.

    Plenty of time for those DPs to come down, but we're threading a needle here if we're to get anything notable out of this...

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    DP nearly at 0c here now temp 2.9c 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Feb 2018 Easterly
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Definitely going to snow lots now, hello lockdown.. 

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    Posted
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny; chilly and sunny; thunderstorms; extreme
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL

    image.thumb.png.139a343d2b4bcb89fcbb47807a5b4e34.png

    Only a matter of time, warriors

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    Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
    29 minutes ago, paget said:

    Does anyone else stare/look at charts where there are no names desperately trying to work Out exactly where they live! 
     

    ive only lived here all my life and I still struggle to work it out!!! 😳

    what i do is get a google map tab up and compare locations against the radar map 😄 

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    Posted
  • Location: Ipswich - Suffolk
  • Location: Ipswich - Suffolk
    13 minutes ago, lewis028 said:

    dew points falling quickly now 🤞🏻
    spacer.png

    Lower dp's in Spain... We need a southernly

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Biggin hill 1C/0D now. Nice conditions...

    Edited by Steve Murr
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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Cold Cold
  • Location: Farnham, Surrey
    2 minutes ago, MAF said:

    what i do is get a google map tab up and compare locations against the radar map 😄 

    I normally find the Isle of Wight go up and turn right a bit!!!  😉

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    Posted
  • Location: South Woodham Ferrers, Essex
  • Location: South Woodham Ferrers, Essex
    33 minutes ago, paget said:

    Does anyone else stare/look at charts where there are no names desperately trying to work Out exactly where they live! 
     

    ive only lived here all my life and I still struggle to work it out!!! 😳


    I can quite imagine I'd be doing that if I didn't live near a river. Hadn't realised that benefit of where I live before. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
    11 minutes ago, Jason T said:

    Definitely going to snow lots now, hello lockdown.. 

    Snowy daily walks during lockdown would be something to look forward to everyday that's for sure!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy, wintry weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
    10 hours ago, Stu_London said:

    Frankly, if this is the weather,  I wish it would warm up a bit and come of the atlantic.

    Maybe a small window for something a bit more wintry in around 12-24 hours, but don't hold your breath. 

    Proper reset needed I think, perhaps a few days of mild weather next week might be what is needed until the Strat events are resolved and we can get some cold pools into places where we might benefit from them.

    I fear 2021 might turn into a bit of a poundshop version of 2013. At least in 2013 January produced a little bit of lying snow, though not the metres and metres of stuff that the models were predicting at the time. 

    Anyone remember,  this Thames Streamer event in January 2003?

    I was staying with my parents, between Bromley North and Grove Park, at the time.

    I can remember watching the Weather on BBC Breakfast time, I think with Francis Wilson.

    The Southern North Sea started to bubble up just to the East of Southend, around Breakfasrt time, and a train of Snow Showers quickly developed and ran W.S.W., down the Thames Corridor.

    I faced a difficult journey from Bromley to my place of work, in Croydon,

    Below are a series of charts, relating to that event:

     image.thumb.png.694c86254b79163e16b7f443744b693e.png

    A fairly innocuous looking 500hPa archive chart,

     image.thumb.png.e4811f76601a773924e038d56a48fe60.png

    But a wedge of -10c Upper Air, crossing our Region.

     image.thumb.png.a451c65aac461f3e171cfd31da23f27d.png

    Finally, the Thames Streamer having left its Ppn imprint, across the affected area.

    It deposited around 3 inches of Snow, at my Parents home in Bromley.

    Does anyone remember the John Kettley, failed Beasterly?

    I think John had left the Met Office by that time and had set up his own Forecasting Company.

    I'm not sure of the Year but the Meto's Bob Pritchard had a Forecasting slot on Saturdays BBC Radio 5 Live, at the time.

    According to John Kettley, the Siberian blast was due to strike the U.K., the following Saturday but Bob Pritchard poured scorn on this Forecast, during his extended Forecast slot.

    Got to work in Croydon, to be met by Newspaper headlines proclaiming that the next Ice Age was imminent.

    I worked for a Bookmaker's at the time and a colleague, who knew that I was interested in Meteorology, wanted a £5 Bet with me, that the temperature would fall to -10c, by the following Saturday.

    Remembering how bullish Bob Pritchard was about mild Weather prevailing, I accepted the Bet.

    The Met Office proved correct, and I pocketed the Fiver.

    Does any Member remember, what Year this was?

    Another time a bit of Meteorological knowledge helped me win a Bet, was when one of our Betting Shop Managers phoned Head Office, where I worked, for his Weekly roster.

    This chap told me he would be going to the Races at Sandown (near Esher), at the end of the Week.

    I told him he wouldn't be, as a Cold Spell was about to strike and frosts would become severe.

    He Bet me £5 that Racing would go ahead but by midweek temperatures dropped to -5c/-6c and the Racing at Sandown, was duly abandoned.

    But on another occasion, I got egg on my face "big time."

    The lunchtime Forecast on BBC 1 showed a big blob of ppn (Snow), around about the N,E,Midlands and the METO expected this to track South towards London, later.

    I made the mistake of calculating the E.T.A. of the Snow, by looking at Surface wind speeds (not at cloud level) and the mileage between S.E.London and the N.E.Midlands.

    I bet my colleagues that it would be Snowing in S.E.London (East Dulwich), at 5 P.M.

    A few of them jumped at the chance of making a couple of easy £'s, as the sky was crystal clear at the time.

    Of course, I'd failed to calculate the E.T.A. of the Snow correctly and plus the Radar/Satellite images on that Lunchtime Weather report, were no doubt a little old by the time of that Forecast.

    It clouded over in S,E.London around 3 PM and bucketed down with Snow for around half an hour. By 4. the sky was crystal clear again and stayed that way, for the rest of the Day. That left Yours Truly eating Humble Pie, and a few £'s lighter, in the pocket!!

    It was a time when a little bit of knowledge, can prove costly.

    Regards,

    Tom. 👍

    Edited by TomSE12
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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
    2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Biggin hill 1C/0D now. Nice conditions...

    DPs have dropped quicker across the whole region tonight than I was expecting tbh. Just need to hopefully get some showers going overnight now 🤞

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