South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[Jordan S]

Some light sleet and snow likely later this afternoon and during the evening probably away from places south and east of London.. 1-2cm possible in one or two places.

Arome model as an example.

Edited January 31, 2021 by jordan smith

[Snipper]

Been a lot of rain round here. Seen worse flooding in the past. 

Chelmsford Weather Station - Rainfall Summary

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Welcome to this amateur weather station in Chelmsford, the capital City of Essex - Real time data, weathercam, WXSim 5 day forecasts, historical weather statistics and...

 

[Wivenswold]

5 minutes ago, Snipper said:

Been a lot of rain round here. Seen worse flooding in the past. 

Chelmsford Weather Station - Rainfall Summary

WWW.CHELMERVILLAGE-WEATHER.CO.UK

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Welcome to this amateur weather station in Chelmsford, the capital City of Essex - Real time data, weathercam, WXSim 5 day forecasts, historical weather statistics and...

 

Yeah, 2000 springs to mind. 

 

[Biggin]

Dew point still quite low in places considering.

 

 

[Tim Bland]

Flurries already appearing into the North west of the region. Expect more later. Front will likely stall around Buckingham / West Northants then pivot and spread into south of region and  exit east / fizzle out. Will be a weak affair by then but a dusting is possible 

[alexisj9]

13 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Flurries already appearing into the North west of the region. Expect more later. Front will likely stall around Buckingham / West Northants then pivot and spread into south of region and  exit east / fizzle out. Will be a weak affair by then but a dusting is possible 

I'll get drizzle lol, may be some rain first. DP is already over 0 here.

[Badgers01]

Wonder if we will get more heavy rain in north Surrey ? The mole has burst it banks in several places and is just not really going down ..

[Polaris]

I am right under the light ppn showing up as flurries currently. 
 

There is nothing falling. It’s dry. 

[Bazza118]

While while it was dry, and i don't mean under foot, I ti'd go out for a walk as the met office app just showed cloud all day. It definately felt cooler coming back home and i now check the met office forecast for Kenley this afternoon to see all the cloud symbols have disappeared to be replaced by it showing sleet and light snow showers now from 2 until 8pm. I guess it just shows what fine marguins things are these days and how the models are struggling.

[Mark wheeler]

11 minutes ago, Polaris said:

I am right under the light ppn showing up as flurries currently. 
 

There is nothing falling. It’s dry. 

Harmonie not showing anything . Im not saying it’s correct though .

Edited January 31, 2021 by Mark wheeler

[danm]

Well it’s snowing in the SW so as king as the precipitation makes it here, it’ll snow - except maybe for Sussex and Kent where DP’s are just the wrong side of marginal. 

[Blazerblue]

Today has been a good day so far, cold, bright, sunny and a drying wind, rather it stays like this now than have snow, at least its usable weather and you can get out n about for walks, rather than gloomy, rainy, flood soaked yuk.

[SLEETY]

Rain as usual here, let's hope the ECM is wrong or the chance of  deep cold easterly is unlikely

[Tim Bland]

Some showers breaking out ahead of the band. I’m near Milton Keynes and can see precip falling (streaks from the clouds) but there’s very little reaching the ground. Give it an hour or so...

[Snow Queen one]

Heavy drizzle here ground was dry now very wet 

[SHM040519]

Freezing here! In canterbury! Feels like it will snow, cloudy and chilly. I know it won’t but it defo feels cold enough! 

[Tim Bland]

35 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

Harmonie not showing anything . Im not saying it’s correct though .

Really?? Latest Harmonie for this afternoon / evening ...

Edited January 31, 2021 by Tim Bland

[Mark wheeler]

7 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Really?? Latest Harmonie for this evening ...

I just interpreted that as rain and possible sleet but glad if I’m wrong , probably just tempering my own expectations Tim . I’ll find out later as I’ll be queuing for my Covid vaccine later and hope to see some falling snow .

Edited January 31, 2021 by Mark wheeler

[Shunter]

Radar showing sleet but drizzle here.   Temp 3.6C  DP 0.7

[SLEETY]

Sleet a bit now, waiting for a proper snow flake still, lol 

[alexisj9]

15 minutes ago, Snow Queen one said:

Heavy drizzle here ground was dry now very wet 

Same here.

[Sno' problem]

Far more precipitation around than many models suggested, with dewpoints just over 0ºc in our region, there could well be a covering for some people this afternoon.

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Edited January 31, 2021 by Sno' problem

[alexisj9]

1 minute ago, Sno' problem said:

Far more precipitation around than many models suggested, with dewpoints just over 0ºc in our region, there could well be a covering for some people this afternoon.

That's cause it's a bit further north I think.

[North Downs Snowboarder]

Just took a look at the SW England thread - reports of snow around Bristol, Bath, the Salisbury Plain even coastal Weston-Super-Mare. So not just the higher ground of Dartmoor, Quantocks and Cotswolds. I don't want to jinx things, but timing of the precipitation could be in our favour as it could last well after 4pm.

[Captain Shortwave]

It has completely clouded over now. A bit of sunshine this morning after a frosty start. Looks like a little patchy rain/sleet is heading this way.