South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[Coopsy]

4 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

So..... anyhow want a game of deepest depth recorded?

I'm going for 14cm in the North Downs.

I’ll go South Downs - 9cm’s

Ive a friend at blue bell hill (north downs) at 600ft so will find out from her tomorrow for you 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Coopsy

[BeazleyBlizzard]

I'll go for Bracknell 12.9cm 

[Ultima Thule]

2 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

So..... anyhow want a game of deepest depth recorded?

I'm going for 14cm in the North Downs.

North Downs stretch from Dover to western Surrey.  Whereabouts??

[Radiating Dendrite]

Just now, Ultima Thule said:

North Downs stretch from Dover to western Surrey.  Whereabouts??

West Surrey downs. I'm near riddlesdown here (10 min walk up the hill).....I shall be paying a visit tomorrow afternoon as it sits around 170m.

[jamesgold]

Steve Murr says on twitter that the ECM is decent for us, 4-5cm in NW Kent. Soon time to just watch the radar

[Snow Queen one]

0 cms for me

[Radiating Dendrite]

1 minute ago, jamesgold said:

Steve Murr says on twitter that the ECM is decent for us, 4-5cm in NW Kent. Soon time to just watch the radar

What is his handle? Really miss him......shall we start a vote?

[John Stevens]

14cm in the Surrey Hills, Holmbury Hill

[saintkip]

2 minutes ago, jamesgold said:

Steve Murr says on twitter that the ECM is decent for us, 4-5cm in NW Kent. Soon time to just watch the radar

Is he still crying?

[jamesgold]

2 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

What is his handle? Really miss him......shall we start a vote?

@Steve_RSport

[NO LONGER POSTING]

4 minutes ago, John Stevens said:

14cm in the Surrey Hills, Holmbury Hill

Im with this one... Good call somewhere around the Surrey Hills.. 

 

What about leith Hill? 

[kold weather]

I'm probably going to head to either Downs (depends on radar returns, etc) first thing with the dog as both are not that far away. I suspect they will do very well as is normally the case in these set-ups. Maybe North Downs just to reduce the marginality that maybe present further south which may impact the settling ratios a little on the South Downs.

Maybe Blackdown Hill or somewhere like that which has solid altitude or go to Devils punchbowl which also has some decent altitude in parts. 

 

[kold weather]

Looking at the radar position the 12z ECM is a good match.

This is good news as it probably reduces the risk for southern areas of the sleety stuff encroaching further up the coast as the time will coincide with the natural coldest part of the day anyways for a greater chunk of the region.

I don't see tomorrow being a huge event, but even 3-5cms is better than what we've seen in the last 20 months.

[Tim Bland]

I’ll go with Chilterns north of High Wycombe 10cm. Think ECM is a bit far north 

 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Tim Bland

[paget]

7 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Im with this one... Good call somewhere around the Surrey Hills.. 

 

What about leith Hill? 

I’ve lived in Surrey 53 years and didn’t  hear the term Surrey Hills until a few years ago!! I always think it’s weird as it seems quite flat around here!!!! I never know where it actually is!!!  

Edited January 23, 2021 by paget

[zubzero]

Only GFS and ECM look good for me imby. Most of the more hi-res models show it further south.

If the front dose slow and pivot, somewhere in the region could hit the jackpot

https://weather.us/model-charts/standard/england/significant-weather/20210124-1700z.html 

 

 

 

[alexisj9]

18 minutes ago, Ultima Thule said:

North Downs stretch from Dover to western Surrey.  Whereabouts??

Not here I'm sure. Lol.

[Great Plum]

6 minutes ago, paget said:

I’ve lived in Surrey 53 years and didn’t  hear the term Surrey Hills until a few years ago!! I always think it’s weird as it seems quite flat around here!!!! I never know where it actually is!!!  

There is an area of outstanding Natural beauty called the Surrey hills  

[80sWeather]

1 hour ago, lottiekent said:

Turned to snow, very light but definitely snow. 

I’m trying to cook enchiladas but looking out the window is more important

Mmmm, Snow and enchiladas now that’s a perfect day.

[jimbo36]

13 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Im with this one... Good call somewhere around the Surrey Hills.. 

 

What about leith Hill? 

I'd take that as live part way up

[alexisj9]

4 minutes ago, paget said:

I’ve lived in Surrey 53 years and fudge hear the term Surrey Hills until a few years ago!! I always think it’s weird as it seems quite flat around here!!!! I never know where it actually is!!!  

East of you near the Kent side, and south of you toward Sussex. I love the hills, though I don't know quite which ones are in Surrey. Used to live near riddles down, although I didn't know, till my eldest was looking at secondary schools lol. There's the Purley downs, and then you have box hill and some other. Can't quite recall all the name. A 20 is a nice drive through them if I remember right, it might be a 22 I'm thinking of, lol.

[paget]

1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:

East of you near the Kent side, and south of you toward Sussex. I love the hills, though I don't know quite which ones are in Surrey. Used to live near riddles down, although I didn't know, till my eldest was looking at secondary schools lol. There's the Purley downs, and then you have box hill and some other. Can't quite recall all the name. A 20 is a nice drive through them if I remember right, it might be a 22 I'm thinking of, lol.

Thanks 

I know box hill, I guess they must have named it that a while back as I’m sure it didn’t used to have a name!! I think I’m in it technically!! My lane’s quite steep!!!

[kold weather]

10 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

I’ll go with Chilterns north of High Wycombe 10cm. Think ECM is a bit far north 

 

Interestingly the 12z ECM is the only model that has a pretty accurate representation of the location and forward speed of the front.

Basically the further east it is, the further north the precip shield and pivot will be.

So the 12z ECM may well be in the ballpark based on that basic analysis. 

On the upside, it also means a faster front = slightly less marginality for those closer to the coast.

So maybe a bit less snow for the northern parts of the SE, but a wider area get snow, so I don't think we can complain overall can we.

 

[winterfreak]

What’s it looking like for West Kent?

[sukayuonsensnow]

34 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

So..... anyhow want a game of deepest depth recorded?

I'm going for 14cm in the North Downs.

15cm in Odiham.