South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[WillinGlossop]

9 minutes ago, abovefreezing said:

Yep -- there's still a warning (about to be removed) but nothing predicted to fall from the sky, apart from some light rain tomorrow late afternoon.

We had a dry day forecast today by bbc and met... both have been abysmal to say the least over last three weeks... we’ve had 2-3inches of snow up here today from snow showers... mostly melted below 400m though... don’t pay too much attention to apps and met bbc automated forecasts until 2-3 hours beforehand... they tend to go off radar by then... 

[East Kent Snow Desert]

Hail / graupel shower has turned surfaces white here (Herne)

 

Edited January 23, 2021 by GaryPH

[Downpour]

23 minutes ago, danm said:

Very nice pivot around London. 

Bank. Would smash the Forest (if it turned out exactly like that!).

[abovefreezing]

F-ck! Just missed Ashford by barely a couple of miles, that last shower. Might have Folkestone's name on it, lookin at Radar

[lottiekent]

My blob arrived and it’s sleet  DP slightly too high at 1.1c

The hat is safe for now...

[abovefreezing]

Just now, lottiekent said:

My blob arrived and it’s sleet  DP slightly too high at 1.1c

The hat is safe for now...

Yeh I saw it had your name on it, sorry about the sleet. Meh.

[spear]

Wow what a let down. Precipitation just fizzled away the closer it got to Ipswich. All we had was 30 seconds of ice pellets and then very very light snow for a few mins. I didn't have high hopes but thought it would be a little better than that. Oh well. 

[Zak M]

So, below is the timelapse of the cumulonimbus cloud that gave Cambridge a dusting of snow:

A timelapse of another CB which was looking towards Essex:

And some pictures I took in the afternoon:

      

Overall, a good day for convection!

[abovefreezing]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

So, below is the timelapse of the cumulonimbus cloud that gave Cambridge a dusting of snow:

 

A timelapse of another CB which was looking towards Essex:

 

And some pictures I took in the afternoon:

      

Overall, a good day for convection!

Look at them dark clouds sliding under the nimbus

[Tornadotitan]

Hello everyone first time poster long time lurker. Had some giant flakes in Wethersfield today.

[snowyqueen]

It’s started snowing in Chelmsford yehhhh

[MAF]

looking at the radar, whatever is just Nw of London seems about it for the time being. SE18 may just get an edge of the current ppn but thats about it for the evening i think. lets see what tomorrow brings.

[lottiekent]

5 minutes ago, abovefreezing said:

Yeh I saw it had your name on it, sorry about the sleet. Meh.

Turned to snow, very light but definitely snow. 

I’m trying to cook enchiladas but looking out the window is more important

[alexisj9]

6 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

My blob arrived and it’s sleet  DP slightly too high at 1.1c

The hat is safe for now...

Yep direct hit for you, nothing here yet. I'm sorry that it's just sleet.

[Frostbite1980]

Lools like a very fragmented front moving into Ireland lets hope it gets its act together

[elpy]

Snowing in SE London! Switching between sleet and snow but first fall of the winter so I’ll take it. As I type already over.

[MAF]

3 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

Turned to snow, very light but definitely snow. 

I’m trying to cook enchiladas but looking out the window is more important

Mmmm enchiladas  (said in a homer simpson voice) lol 

[Tom Jarvis]

I will not be happy if I do some how miss out on snow tomorrow. 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Tom Jarvis

[MAF]

3.3C here now and the radar is looking like there may even be a mile in it between falling snow and zero in SE18.

 

[jamesgold]

Agonising miss in Bromley, BBC London and South East forecast still looked encouraging, if out of date, all to play for...

[Jamie M]

Saw some flakes before the blob arrived. Quickly vanished as I was battered by graupel.

[bluearmy]

45 minutes ago, danm said:

Very nice pivot around London. 

I think the latest run of ukv (which I think is the model used) doesnt take the precip so far to the east 

[kold weather]

6 minutes ago, Frostbite1980 said:

Lools like a very fragmented front moving into Ireland lets hope it gets its act together

Yeah its probably going to pulse up and down as it shifts eastwards and as little lows form along the frontal boundary.

Its a set-up that the models struggle with and they appear to have differing ideas as to just how strong the front is. The latest 12z ARPEGE basically totally collapses the front as it moves in and gives little snow to the region because it dries out.

That is very much an outlier solution at the moment, but does show a possible worst case.

Either way I wouldn't expect the front to be *that* active, perhaps 1hr of moderate snow with 1hr either side of lighter stuff that maybe maginal the further SE you go and the closer to the coast you are.

[BLS]

Currently just have rain forecast tomorrow for TN27 in Kent which is very disappointing!! Unless if shifts further south I can see Kent missing out on the white stuff and it being just sleet and rain.

Someone feel free to prove me wrong and give me a glimmer of hope !

[Mark]

11 minutes ago, MAF said:

looking at the radar, whatever is just Nw of London seems about it for the time being. SE18 may just get an edge of the current ppn but thats about it for the evening i think. lets see what tomorrow brings.

What's crossed Central London into SE12 is just a few spots of light rain. Definitely evaporating before it gets to the ground.