South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[Kent Blizzard]

In other news, Quite Foggy around Medway....Again!!  

[Kent Blizzard]

32 minutes ago, Southender said:

Am I the only one that thinks the ECM snow charts are as useful as a choccie teapot? Not sure I’ve ever seen it predict anything correctly. It would genuinely get a nowcast wrong 

Do they not include freezing rain? 

[Alpine glow]

I'm probably the most hopeful one on here!  I'm really excited by this and 100% believe it's going to happen   Come on!  It's going to snow tomorrow!  Even here in Brighton  

[Tim Bland]

Harmonie - image courtesy of Dan Holley. Remember this is 3pm ...it heads south after this..

[yamkin]

8 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Harmonie - image courtesy of Dan Holley. Remember this is 3pm ...it heads south after this..

Harmonie model did very well with last Friday's snow showers off the north sea covering parts of Essex, London & Kent

Harmonie model is going for wintry showers further south covering London & Kent this Thursday from approx 16:00 - 21:00 hrs 

Always remember, subject to change 

[m1chaels]

2 minutes ago, yamkin said:

Harmonie model did very well with last Friday's snow showers off the north sea covering parts of Essex, London & Kent

Harmonie model is going for wintry showers further south covering London & Kent this Thursday from approx 16:00 - 21:00 hrs 

Always remember, subject to change 

I don't think Harmonie got there until right before the event, slightly earlier runs were putting the precipitation further N across central London and then before that N London.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Just wandered into the Midlands Thread, and reports that temperatures are starting to drop away, up there.

                  RECENT TEMPS.                              RECENT DEW POINTS

 

Regards,

Tom.  

[Snowman31]

What is the point of snow with temperatures between 5-7 degrees?

I feel that I would prefer no snow then for if to snow, settle and then melt straight away. 

Can't stand the melting snow dropping sound. 

[Paul Sherman]

I am usually quite conservative but tomorrow really has ramped up a few gears, can only imagine the models are seeing the Occlusion being stronger as the Low exits south eastwards towards Paris and NE France tomorrow afternoon. I always look for cross model agreement in these situation but would not be surprised to see 1-5cm of Snow under heavier precip along the Occluded Front tomorrow around 15z.

We have about 7 Models on board now with the sweet spot probably Herts, Cambs, West Suffolk, NW Essex, Peterborough areas and anywhere else with height in the SE

Just look at ECM, Arpege and ICON Below an eye opener for sure

 

[NewEra21]

Not that I believe it, but finally snow symbols

Edited January 13, 2021 by NewEra21

[scrat]

2 hours ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

And then for some of the older members I don't know if it was a Beast but an incredible Winter of 1962/63 certainly looked like one. 

 

Looking at the charts it was a true beast. 

That footage is incredible.....but the music made me feel like I was watching The Wizard of Oz at times! 

[Britneyfan]

Met office have updated Brentwood to heavy snow tomorrow afternoon and again on Saturday 

[RJBingham]

Well hello

[paget]

Evening everyone

its a very warm (I have the windows open!)  9.3 here in Farnham, Surrey, I’m expecting a lovely day of heavy rain tomorrow! Not even a sleet shower symbol showing!! 
 

 

 

 

[paget]

I’m going to do some online Scottish house shopping!!

I will not be defeated!!

[NewEra21]

2 minutes ago, paget said:

Evening everyone

its a very warm (I have the windows open!)  9.3 here in Farnham, Surrey, I’m expecting a lovely day of heavy rain tomorrow! Not even a sleet shower symbol showing!! 
 

 

 

 

Really is quite a stark difference, here in Suffolk the temperature is currently just 1.5c

[Paul Sherman]

Yh Interestingly UKMO is really going for a Snowy Saturday for London and SE on Saturday whereas ECM not having none of it. 

Hopefully Saturday Includes you Paget as well.

Their Fax Chart shows the front well to the west by then through the Bristol Channel running down through the Isle of Wight. Also the Low Pressure is in a much better position drawing in colder air into the mix. We do not want the Low exiting offshore at all on Sat - No need to worry about any of that yet as we dont even know what tomorrows low is going to do yet.

But if the Meto believe their own fax charts and raw data then a warning for Saturday cant be far away

[Polaris]

Heavy snow from 2pm tomorrow in central Beds to light snow until 7pm 

for once, please let it be right!! 

[SHM040519]

Paul, can I ask what your views out for us in east Kent? We missed out big time last week with the amazing cold rain. A dusting would be fab

[Sparky68]

Looks like the commute home tomorrow could be fun. Got everything crossed for a little bit of snow across the SE

[Freeze]

A tropical 10.2c here, feels warm.

[steveinsussex]

This regional thread is far too big - when some members may get heavy snow and others will get nothing but rain its pretty easy that this covers an area far too big

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Ben Capee McInnes said:

Paul, can I ask what your views out for us in east Kent? We missed out big time last week with the amazing cold rain. A dusting would be fab

I really think our best chance both SE Essex and East Kent will be on Saturday. M1 and M11 corridoor could be in for a few surprises tomorrow from 2pm onwards though 

[Gowon]

28 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

I am usually quite conservative but tomorrow really has ramped up a few gears, can only imagine the models are seeing the Occlusion being stronger as the Low exits south eastwards towards Paris and NE France tomorrow afternoon. I always look for cross model agreement in these situation but would not be surprised to see 1-5cm of Snow under heavier precip along the Occluded Front tomorrow around 15z.

We have about 7 Models on board now with the sweet spot probably Herts, Cambs, West Suffolk, NW Essex, Peterborough areas and anywhere else with height in the SE

Just look at ECM, Arpege and ICON Below an eye opener for sure

 

Yep, I've just looked at all the hi res models on meteociel and most of them have snow over our region.. I missed the BBC and ITV weather forecast earlier but I saw the Channel 4's weather forecast and it didn't have any snow for the SE - it just showed the ppn as rain and petering out in the evening.

Edited January 13, 2021 by D.V.R
typo

[Tim Bland]

Looking at the current temps we only need a 1c drop in the north of the region to be in the snow zone already! It’s colder in Cambridge & Northampton than it is in Buxton!

Edited January 13, 2021 by Tim Bland