Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter

[rotherhamsnowman]

3 minutes ago, YellowSnow said:

I thought I’d post it in this thread rather than model output for fear of being eaten alive by the coldies. 
I just had a look at the GFS 12Z and to be quite honest I was pretty disappointed after seeing all the euphoria in the MO thread. True it does bring an easterly, but it looks fairly short lived and is quickly replaced by a wishy-washy slack northerly before the Atlantic comes piling in again, with just a small chance of a reload in deepest FI. Am I missing something here?

There was something mentioned that if the cold gets in, it will be hard to shift, I am a complete newbie to all this so no idea really. I’m just getting excited at the prospects of a beast!!

Edited February 1, 2021 by rotherhamsnowman
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[DavidS]

50 minutes ago, D.V.R said:

By 2040 in the south they reckon 

Climate change: Snowy UK winters could become thing of the past

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

---

By the 2040s most of southern England may no longer get sub-zero days, new Met Office data suggests.

 

Mmm, not dissimilar to The Independent story from 2000, when Dr David Viner of CRU said children just wouldn’t know what snow is anymore.

[Gowon]

49 minutes ago, GSP said:

Thanks. 19 years to enjoy yet!

It's hard to get snowy winters in the UK anyway so you might only get to enjoy it a few more times within them 19 years

Edited February 1, 2021 by D.V.R
missing words

[StormyLincs]

Just now, rotherhamsnowman said:

There was something mentioned that if the cold gets in, it will be hard to shift, I am a complete Newby to all this so no idea really. I’m just getting excited at the prospects or a beast!!

I’m excited by the prospects of a cold and snowy spell but completely underwhelmed by the GFS 12z, although in fairness most of the other models are cracking for cold. 

[StormyLincs]

3 minutes ago, D.V.R said:

Try looking at the ECM 

I have and it’s good. But the GFS was king up until now. 

[Gowon]

1 minute ago, YellowSnow said:

I’m excited by the prospects of a cold and snowy spell but completely underwhelmed by the GFS 12z, although in fairness most of the other models are cracking for cold. 

GFSP is stunning too.

[Gowon]

Just now, YellowSnow said:

I have and it’s good. But the GFS was king up until now. 

Says who?

[StormyLincs]

1 minute ago, D.V.R said:

GFSP is stunning too.

Just more than slightly concerned by the GFS 12z that’s all really. I’ve been watching these charts for 2 decades now and I just think it looks cold but nothing exceptional and quickly dispensed with. 

[StormyLincs]

1 minute ago, D.V.R said:

Says who?

Says most of the people in the MO thread when it was the only one showing Siberian conditions

[Gowon]

 

2 minutes ago, YellowSnow said:

Says most of the people in the MO thread when it was the only one showing Siberian conditions

Not all of them - most of us was waiting nervously for the ECM to come on board (not saying it's definitely going to happen)

[StormyLincs]

Just now, D.V.R said:

 

Not all of them - most of us was waiting nervously for the ECM to come on board (not saying it's definitely going to happen)

The ECM was awful up until today but now seems to be the king, whereas the GFS’s halo has slipped somewhat this evening. 
My gut feeling for a long while is that we’ll get a very cold spell in February, so I’m not too bothered about what it’s showing (at the moment). 

[Gowon]

2 minutes ago, YellowSnow said:

The ECM was awful up until today but now seems to be the king, whereas the GFS’s halo has slipped somewhat this evening. 
My gut feeling for a long while is that we’ll get a very cold spell in February, so I’m not too bothered about what it’s showing (at the moment). 

Whatever!  

[Gowon]

25 minutes ago, YellowSnow said:

The ECM was awful up until today but now seems to be the king, whereas the GFS’s halo has slipped somewhat this evening. 
My gut feeling for a long while is that we’ll get a very cold spell in February, so I’m not too bothered about what it’s showing (at the moment). 

You've jinxed it now.

[StormyLincs]

3 minutes ago, D.V.R said:

You've jinxed it now.

Looks like it doesn’t it.

[Gowon]

6 minutes ago, YellowSnow said:

Looks like it doesn’t it.

Next time keep your gut feelings to yourself 

[Andypvfc]

Must admit I do find it strange how Snow can turn grown blokes into toys out the pram mode . Yes it looks nice on a Christmas card and I do like Severe weather events, but I've never got to the point of losing the plot over it lol

Edited February 2, 2021 by Andypvfc
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[Jordan S]

3 hours ago, Had Worse said:

Can't pm you Jordan but something must have changed as MO have issued Amber at 20.38 which caused a few ripples in the NW regionals.

Hi,

Local detail regarding snow for northern England may of changed, increased likelihood of impacts/amounts of snow expected which is why an Amber warning is issued.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

7 hours ago, D.V.R said:

Next time keep your gut feelings to yourself 

Someone always manages to jinx it by over ramping prematurely!

Watch the GFS pick the spoiler and see the other lemmings follow!

Edited February 2, 2021 by prolongedSnowLover

[knocker]

"the ecm has lost the plot"......"it hasn't been the same since the upgrade"......"never was much cop with these blocking scenarios....."the gfs is King"........OH, OH wait up, it's sniffing the coffee

Edited February 2, 2021 by knocker

[Bevbrighton]

Can it be true Brighton will miss out again...I may have jinxed our chances by telling my family it looks good ‘potentially’ next week, it really was only a mild ramp honest

[Big Dave]

Where has all the drama gone? 

I'm an occasional lurker so I missed quite a bit but seems a number of big personalities missing from the MOD thread which is strange given the current output.   

[sheikhy]

Just as i thought much better run!!!oh gfs your hopeless!!!

[Drifter]

Still rubbish imo but at least an improvement. 

[That ECM]

1 minute ago, TSNWK said:

Oh dear.  I'm on phone.. what's happening beyond 120

It’s looking much improved.

[turkishfella]

OMG I can't believe how big the change in models from last night and this morning!!! Rubbish for SE England. Let's hope it will change again.