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Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

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By #windysnow#
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ISAAC Rookie

ISAAC

Posted
  • Location: Stoke-On-Trent (178m ASL)
  • Location: Stoke-On-Trent (178m ASL)
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

good to see you back ISAAC, remember you from few years ago

Hey, hope you're well Mark

Apparently, the last post i made was over 7 years ago. Has it really been that long .

Feeling quite optimistic for the weeks ahead, battleground snow prospects on the cards.

 

Edited by ISAAC
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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:

20 miles further West and the whole Midlands gets plastered. Ironic as models look better automated forecasts look worse.

20miles is well within the scope of adjustment at this time range. However i think settling snow maybe hard to come by in the midlands. Hopefully im wrong. Shame we can't travel as bardon hill 278m and beacon hill at 248m both in leicestershire may do well. 

Bardon hill even gets its own mountain weather forecast ⛰️

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Bardon Hill Weather Forecast (278m)

WWW.MOUNTAIN-FORECAST.COM
Bardon Hill, Cannock Chase, Other ranges of England, United Kingdom Mountain weather forecast for 278m. Detailed 6 day mountain...

 

Edited by MKN
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Sparkiee storm Seasoned

Sparkiee storm

Posted
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Heatwaves, thunderstorms, cold/snowy spells.
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands 135m/442ft ASL
Posted

Am i right in thinking pretty much every model now has snow for at least some parts of the Midlands tomorrow?

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shunthebartlett92 Enthusiast

shunthebartlett92

Posted
  • Location: West Mids, 100m asl
  • Location: West Mids, 100m asl
Posted

I think it'll be wet snow at best from what i've seen sparkie, wouldnt expect any accumulations. And that just sums up this winter, i feel blessed to have seen some snowfall but its always been transient and not part of some deep embedded good old fashioned cold spell. That said, 6 days of lying snow thus far has been fantastic but doesnt anyone else just feel a sense of inevitability that its just 'one of those winters' that has shown signs of promise but either there wasnt enough of a cold pool out to our east or the atlantic has been too strong? Danny defeatist here, but ive got low expectations for the days, possibly even weeks, ahead

1 minute ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Am i right in thinking pretty much every model now has snow for at least some parts of the Midlands tomorrow?

 

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BlueHedgehog074 Veteran

BlueHedgehog074

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
Posted

Would be happy just to see snow falling again as it’s pretty to watch. But I hope you guys further East do well, especially with how the previous cold spell went for some of you. Some of the snow shields to our East could do with a massive kick up the bottom. (Don’t mind if snow shields in the Western part of the Midlands get smashed apart either )

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Essan Community Regular

Essan

Posted
  • Location: Evesham, Worcs, Albion
  • Location: Evesham, Worcs, Albion
Posted
19 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Am i right in thinking pretty much every model now has snow for at least some parts of the Midlands tomorrow?

The models are looking good for some if not all of the Midlands - even down to here.

But I wouldn't count on anything.   Expect rain.  Be prepared to be surprised.  Don't be disappointed if you are not

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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted (edited)

Temperatures now going beyond what was predicted today. Many places into double digits, and with dew points doing the same, it's a right mild miserable soup out there.

What is amazing is the temperature difference across short distances. I could drive for only an hour and go from 10C to 3C.

Going to be interesting to watch how this all meanders around for the next couple of days.

Edited by Gord
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jimben Rising Star

jimben

Posted
  • Location: Lake District at the foot of Blencathra 610 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Ice
  • Location: Lake District at the foot of Blencathra 610 ft asl
Posted
12 minutes ago, Gord said:

Temperatures now going beyond what was predicted today. Many places into double digits, and with dew points doing the same, it's a right mild miserable soup out there.

What is amazing is the temperature difference across short distances. I could drive for only an hour and go from 10C to 3C.

Going to be interesting to watch how this all meanders around for the next couple of days.

Currently (15:05) 4c in Scaldwell part of Northants

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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted

slight shift west  on 12z models   Icon nowhere near perfect  for all  but quite a shift west from its previous run    Arome slightly more west also.

To be honest  models always struggle  with blocks to our east   Window time.

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Midlander Community Regular

Midlander

Posted
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Snow, Snow and Cold
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
Posted

12 ICON More realistic in my opinion, although of course I hope it has drastically underestimated snowfall!

 

iconeu_uk1-46-30-0.png

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weirpig Maestro

weirpig

Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
Posted
3 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

12 ICON More realistic in my opinion, although of course I hope it has drastically underestimated snowfall!

 

iconeu_uk1-46-30-0.png

Yep  however the icon is further east.  The latest Arome gives most of The midlands 8-10 hours of snow   will it stick is another matter

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Midlander Community Regular

Midlander

Posted
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Snow, Snow and Cold
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
Posted
1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Yep  however the icon is further east.  The latest Arome gives most of The midlands 8-10 hours of snow   will it stick is another matter

Yes AROME does look better, also apparently the 12Z UKV is better than the 9Z for snow (courtesy of model thread)

 

UKV12z.png.10ff647b2d1393944abfe53adc067763.png

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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Few spots according to that model   may see a wintery theme 

image.thumb.png.6f44c20b2722866437022dc523305225.png

Got any charts from icon mate?good start to the 12zs for the midlands!!2 to 5cms in general!awaiting gfs and gfs para!!ukv waay to far west for me!!

Edited by sheikhy
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DIS1970 Community Regular

DIS1970

Posted
  • Location: Wolverhampton
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme Weather, Tornado's, Heavy snowfall, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wolverhampton
Posted (edited)

Met Office says 1 hour of light sleet here, ready for rain then drizzly with thick cloud i think.

Edited by DIS1970
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snowangel32 Rising Star

snowangel32

Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
Posted
57 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Another shunt west from the arp 12z

image.thumb.png.74b29d05be3cb2547735bcfe44ada475.png    image.thumb.png.7729de1e492ab4bb93edf45dacb84a5a.png

Think we need it more south now to drag the cold air into the Mids. I think a few flakes on the back edge for West Mids with East Mids getting a few cms.

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Definite upgrade there!!!just 2 runs ago gfs hardly had anything at all!!!

GFSP has more widespread snow and large accumulations but it’s known to have a cold bias.

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