Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[Sparkiee storm]

Snowing moderately here, not sure when it started though, but shed roofs are starting turn a little white and a bit on cars.

[Midlands Ice Age]

Up at 04:00,Ground just wet. Temperature 4.1C.  DP 0.5C ,Heavy drizzle.

Went back to bed, after looking at my app. It said turning at 09:00..

Got up at 08;15. No snow flakes, but conservatory roof showing splodges with a temp of 2.1C, DP -0.3C

Now at 8:30 just seen first flakes in a heavier burst with a strong gust.  Temp now at 1.8C with a DP of -0.6C.

5 minutes later discrete flakes showing at 1.7C.    Looks to be setting in. Still fast moving wet flakes though.

I love to watch a rain to snow event.    --- Could snow for 6 hours. 

It will need intensity to settle though. 

MIA

Edited January 30, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[nobble]

Last Sunday were excellent ground conditions as a hard frost the previous night had got temps to -4 widely 

a soaking wet warmer ground today will easily wipe out 3cm of potential depth 

[sheikhy]

1 minute ago, nobble said:

Last Sunday were excellent ground conditions as a hard frost the previous night had got temps to -4 widely 

a soaking wet warmer ground today will easily wipe out 3cm of potential depth 

Mate last sunday was just sumin else

[AltonMatthew]

7 minutes ago, nobble said:

You did very well last week 

stop being greedy

We really did haha  tbh I want to get out and level some ground for my summerhouse so although it’s Heresy to say I could do with it moving away quickly today! 

[gig1968]

Mic of rain and snow in South Birmingham now.

[Gord]

Starting to settle on roofs now, but I think we’re going to end up with a very slushy deposit here if it does continue to settle.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, nobble said:

Last Sunday were excellent ground conditions as a hard frost the previous night had got temps to -4 widely 

a soaking wet warmer ground today will easily wipe out 3cm of potential depth 

Aye, and not like storm Christoph, 10 degrees with rain all day, then heavy instant settlimg snow, this is much milder/light snow

sheikhy, aye, last Sunday was amazing

[MattStoke]

ICON, ECM and Aperge still looking good for snow early next week, particularly for the northern half of the region. Just coming into range of the NMM which looks good so far too.

GEM and GFS not really interested, but the GFS is often too progressive with milder air and frontal systems.

[Diamond Joe]

trying to turn to snow in Shirley, Solihull now

[BhamBoy]

Heavy snow in Harborne and settling on car windscreens at least! Small steps! 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

ICON, ECM and Aperge still looking good for snow early next week, particularly for the northern half of the region. Just coming into range of the NMM which looks good so far too.

GEM and GFS not really interested, but the GFS is often too progressive with milder air and frontal systems.

I dunno, was dead right last week, some silly model was giving us loads of snow Thurs, where as GFS has 11 degrees, also last tues, was dead right

[gig1968]

I'm in Shirley  Hall green border too .  Full on snow I reckon soon.

[Matthew Gill]

It seems anything birmingham westward ATM for snow. 

 

Currently in coventry and it's heavy rain here with the odd sleety interval 

[stewfox]

1 minute ago, Matthew Gill said:

It seems anything birmingham westward ATM for snow. 

 

Currently in coventry and it's heavy rain here with the odd sleety interval 

11 miles south at 500ft just rain

[Wipper179]

Has been a sleety mix here for almost an hour now, refusing to turn to snow.  I'm at 145m, maybe too low of an elevation for this event.  I'll have to go for a walk later and find the snow I guess 

[fiftytwodegreesnorth]

Can’t decide whether it wants to sleet or snow in Bearwood. But I am sure the undercutting  colder air will turn it to snow soon. 
 

It’s a real shame, as if it was just slightly colder in the lead up to this event it could have been another Feb 2007

[Patrick Stokes]

Just started snowing here in shrewsbury after very heavy rain

[Midlands Ice Age]

Just now, Matthew Gill said:

It seems anything birmingham westward ATM for snow. 

 

Currently in coventry and it's heavy rain here with the odd sleety interval 

Don't forget you're a bit further south and its moving down from the north.

Also west of Bham is a bit higher (100m's?)I am at 85Mhere and its turning now.

 

MIA,

[Gustywind]

150m here & turning increasingly to snow here, but not particularly heavy so far so can’t see anything settling for now.

[MattStoke]

9 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

I dunno, was dead right last week, some silly model was giving us loads of snow Thurs, where as GFS has 11 degrees, also last tues, was dead right

I think we’ll see a spell of snow giving a few cm before turning a little milder. Along the lines of the Met Office warnings but expect the length and size of area covered by them to shrink over the next few days as confidence increases. 

Then it looks colder but drier to end the week. Some snow showers, mainly in the east.

[snowangel32]

Guys I cant believe we lucked out again this truly has been a Midlands Winter so far. If it sticks or not just to see snow falling again is incredible. Virtually every time the Midlands has been the place to be wether we have had falling snow or 15cm lol. Met say heavy snow until 4pm here we shall see if it sticks I think we need full on blizzard for that.

[fiftytwodegreesnorth]

5 minutes ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

Don't forget you're a bit further south and its moving down from the north.

Also west of Bham is a bit higher (100m's?)I am at 85Mhere and its turning now.

 

MIA,

Any where south west or west of Bham city centre is great for elevation 170m+ generally. 
 

It has made such a difference so many times in past. 

[Midlands Ice Age]

12 minutes ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

Don't forget you're a bit further south and its moving down from the north.

Also west of Bham is a bit higher (100m's?)I am at 85Mhere and its turning now.

 

MIA,

GFS got this.

Both the P and OP have had it  floating up and down around our area for the last 3 days.

I am afraid to say that the ECM moved it away yesterday and hence the warnings were removed from most of the area.

It is clear that the M.O./ BBC Midlands  use ECM exclusively for any warnings. They are frequently up to 12 hours late with the data.

They take the last run, unless at 18;55,when Shefali pitches it!!  

MIA

Its quite interesting - I have 2 apps. One based upon ECM (MO) and the other based upon GFS.

They  have been interesting to watch the last 2 days. 

EDit Gone lighter now but is stillsnow.

Would describe it as 40% snow,60% sleet

Temp now at 1.6C with the DP at =0.7C

Edited January 30, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, snowangel32 said:

Guys I cant believe we lucked out again this truly has been a Midlands Winter so far. If it sticks or not just to see snow falling again is incredible. Virtually every time the Midlands has been the place to be wether we have had falling snow or 15cm lol. Met say heavy snow until 4pm here we shall see if it sticks I think we need full on blizzard for that.

see if we get lucky tomorrow, looks colder better for settling snaw, here still lots of light flakes, howling wind